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Citadel vs Houston Christian Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 65-72
32-35 33-37
Position#302
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.3
Allowed / game76.7
vs
Position#297
Record3-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game70.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Christian winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
42-85
42
85
-43
A27/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H01/03
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Erskine
#496
W
105-61
105
61
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H11/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
92-100
92
100
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#215
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H20/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-41
42-35
11-44
31-41
23-38
43-43
27-36
35-37
47-21
58-40
24-38
23-38
48-45
38-51
39-47
53-53
35-23
35-34
31-35
27-35
147.8Avg total
70.3Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.376.7153.0-0.333%
Season at home (4)79.871.0150.8+8.850%
Season away (2)69.588.0157.5-18.50%
Last 10 (10)70.377.5147.8-7.220%
Last 5 (5)70.679.8150.4-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)62.178.3140.4-16.25%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.879.2149.0-9.30%
vs Weaker (3)99.767.7167.3+32.0100%
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
58-66
58
66
-8
H22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A01/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
48-62
48
62
-14
A09/03
NCAA
Southern Arkansas
#380
W
74-70
74
70
+4
H04/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
60-78
60
78
-18
A09/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H14/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H21/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
26-27
32-39
28-25
44-31
30-23
26-38
18-34
41-29
24-34
24-28
37-30
37-40
21-35
39-43
33-43
39-18
45-23
40-44
38-35
31-39
131.1Avg total
65.3Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)72.070.0142.0+2.060%
Season at home (3)77.066.0143.0+11.0100%
Season away (2)64.576.0140.5-11.50%
Last 10 (10)65.365.8131.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)72.070.0142.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)60.969.5130.4-8.625%
vs Similar ◀ (7)68.967.7136.6+1.143%
vs Weaker (6)77.769.0146.7+8.783%
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -5.0-5.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +0.4+0.4
CitadelHouston Christian
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
11-44
11
44
-33
A27/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H01/03
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Erskine
#496
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#215
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H20/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/11
NCAA
68.6Avg total
31.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.337.969.1-6.620%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.635.469.9-0.831%-
Last 30 away (14)27.540.768.2-13.27%-
Last 10 (10)31.836.868.6-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)35.437.673.0-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)27.938.566.4-10.610%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)33.038.871.8-5.817%-
vs Weaker (3)51.331.783.0+19.7100%-
This opponent (Houston Christian) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston ChristianLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lamar
#123
L
26-27
26
27
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#244
W
28-25
28
25
+3
H25/02
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#198
W
30-23
30
23
+7
A01/03
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#363
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#134
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A09/03
NCAA
Southern Arkansas
#380
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H04/11
NCAA
UC San Diego
#64
L
21-35
21
35
-14
A09/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#369
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H14/11
NCAA
CBS Ambassadors
#681
W
45-23
45
23
+22
H21/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/11
NCAA
60.9Avg total
30.0Scored
30.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.931.463.3+0.660%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.230.865.0+3.369%-
Last 30 away (17)30.231.862.0-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)30.030.960.9-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)34.833.268.0+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)29.931.261.1-1.456%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)31.930.162.0+1.771%-
vs Weaker (6)36.733.370.0+3.350%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Citadel wins
0
Houston Christian wins
No previous meetings.
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/25HBellarmine58-70
20/11/25HNorth Greenville70-57
15/11/25AWest Georgia92-100
11/11/25HCharleston Southern86-96
07/11/25ABoston College47-76
04/11/25HErskine105-61
08/03/25AVMI62-73
01/03/25HEast Tennessee St66-81
27/02/25AFurman42-85
22/02/25AChattanooga Mocs75-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/25ABellarmine69-74
21/11/25HCBS Ambassadors85-67
14/11/25HLouisiana Monroe72-61
09/11/25AUC San Diego60-78
04/11/25HSouthern Arkansas74-70
09/03/25ATexas A&M-CC48-62
04/03/25ATX A&M Commerce59-63
01/03/25ANorthwestern St.56-61
25/02/25HStephen F. Austin72-56
22/02/25HLamar58-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game76.379.869.5
Allowed / game76.771.088.0
Point differential-0.3+8.8-18.5
Avg total153.0150.8157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Houston Christian
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game72.077.064.5
Allowed / game70.066.076.0
Point differential+2.0+11.0-11.5
Avg total142.0143.0140.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St65183%82.262.0+20.2
2 Mercer64267%82.278.3+3.8
3 Wofford74357%76.979.0-2.1
4 Furman63350%74.068.8+5.2
5 Chattanooga Mocs63350%74.873.5+1.3
6 Western Carolina63350%71.775.7-4.0
7 Samford94544%73.779.2-5.6
8 Citadel62433%76.376.7-0.3
9 VMI93633%77.078.4-1.4
10 NC Greensboro81712%71.885.2-13.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State76186%93.066.3+26.7
2 Stephen F. Austin65183%81.869.3+12.5
3 Lamar53260%74.668.6+6.0
4 Houston Christian53260%72.070.0+2.0
5 Incarnate Word74357%88.974.9+14.0
6 New Orleans83538%77.480.1-2.8
7 Texas A&M-CC62433%75.874.5+1.3
8 UTRGV41325%82.280.2+2.0
9 SE Louisiana51420%61.867.2-5.4
10 Northwestern St.61517%72.584.8-12.3
11 Nicholls State5050%66.280.8-14.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel323365
Houston Christian353772
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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