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VMI vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 73-62
36-27 37-35
Position#250
Record13-18
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game73.6
VMI 🏆
USA
vs
Citadel
USA
Position#361
Record5-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.7
Allowed / game75.1
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · VMI v Citadel
16 Jan 2027
VMI v CITA
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
VMI68
CITA82
07 Mar 2025
VMI73
CITA62
08 Feb 2025
VMI82
CITA70
20 Jan 2024
VMI70
CITA63
21 Jan 2023
VMI52
CITA60
12 Feb 2022
VMI79
CITA83
16 Jan 2021
VMI110
CITA103
18 Jan 2020
VMI88
CITA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

VMI winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VMIUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
W
74-67
74
67
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
80-76 OT
80
76
+4
A01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H05/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H08/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A13/02
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
80-71
80
71
+9
A15/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
43-82
43
82
-39
H19/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A22/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
83-95
83
95
-12
H27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
70-91
70
91
-21
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
41-25
33-42
37-34
34-37
26-39
29-23
41-31
41-39
23-52
31-28
36-34
44-37
17-44
26-38
27-30
44-45
38-45
45-50
32-44
38-47
146.1Avg total
69.2Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.973.6147.5+0.242%
Season at home (14)79.368.9148.2+10.450%
Season away (17)69.477.5146.9-8.135%
Last 10 (10)69.276.9146.1-7.740%
Last 5 (5)69.482.8152.2-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.280.0145.2-14.814%
vs Similar (6)71.576.2147.7-4.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.666.2148.8+16.389%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
L
46-80
46
80
-34
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
58-83
58
83
-25
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H06/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
70-82
70
82
-12
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
H13/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
L
73-76
73
76
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
42-85
42
85
-43
A27/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H01/03
NCAA
1H
2H
18-34
28-46
29-47
29-36
32-34
29-42
31-41
39-41
31-32
35-34
35-30
38-46
25-29
27-33
33-41
42-35
11-44
31-41
23-38
43-43
138.9Avg total
61.4Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)66.775.1141.8-8.417%
Season at home (17)71.372.2143.5-0.929%
Season away (12)60.279.2139.5-19.00%
Last 10 (10)61.477.5138.9-16.10%
Last 5 (5)61.676.0137.6-14.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)60.478.6139.0-18.30%
vs Similar (7)72.173.7145.9-1.614%
vs Weaker (3)93.366.0159.3+27.3100%
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -10.2-10.22nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -5.6-5.6
-13-6+0+6+131st half1st half: -6.0-6.01st half: -10.2-10.22nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -5.6-5.6
VMICitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
VMILast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wofford
#169
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A30/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A01/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H05/02
NCAA
Citadel
#361
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H08/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
23-52
23
52
-29
A13/02
NCAA
Mercer
#264
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
17-44
17
44
-27
H19/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A22/02
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H27/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H01/03
NCAA
69.6Avg total
31.8Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.936.871.7-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.834.671.4+2.254%-
Last 30 away (17)33.538.471.9-4.941%-
Last 10 (10)31.837.869.6-6.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.039.469.4-9.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)30.339.970.2-9.621%-
vs Similar (6)33.038.371.3-5.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)41.632.173.7+9.489%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mercer
#264
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A30/01
NCAA
Samford
#61
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H01/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#105
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H06/02
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A08/02
NCAA
Wofford
#169
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H13/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#338
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A15/02
NCAA
Mercer
#264
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#46
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A22/02
NCAA
Furman
#40
L
11-44
11
44
-33
A27/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#130
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H01/03
NCAA
63.8Avg total
26.8Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.037.268.3-6.223%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.234.969.1-0.835%-
Last 30 away (13)26.940.267.2-13.38%-
Last 10 (10)26.837.063.8-10.210%-
Last 5 (5)25.436.461.8-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)26.539.265.7-12.70%-
vs Similar (7)33.135.068.1-1.943%-
vs Weaker (3)53.034.787.7+18.3100%-
This opponent (VMI) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
VMI wins
4
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
08/02/25VMI v Citadel82-70
18/01/25Citadel v VMI70-75
17/02/24Citadel v VMI76-51
20/01/24VMI v Citadel70-63
03/02/23Citadel v VMI69-75
21/01/23VMI v Citadel52-60
12/02/22VMI v Citadel79-83
15/01/22Citadel v VMI85-90
20/02/21Citadel v VMI75-74
16/01/21VMI v Citadel110-103
VMIlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HChattanooga Mocs70-91
27/02/25HSamford83-95
22/02/25AFurman71-75
19/02/25HWofford43-82
15/02/25AMercer80-71
13/02/25ANC Greensboro54-80
08/02/25HCitadel82-70
05/02/25HEast Tennessee St55-62
01/02/25AWestern Carolina80-76 OT
30/01/25AWofford74-67
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/25HEast Tennessee St66-81
27/02/25AFurman42-85
22/02/25AChattanooga Mocs75-76
20/02/25HMercer52-62
15/02/25AWestern Carolina73-76
13/02/25HWofford71-74 OT
08/02/25AVMI70-82
06/02/25HNC Greensboro61-76
01/02/25HSamford58-83
30/01/25AMercer46-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

VMI
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL42%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWWLWL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311417
Win %42%50%35%
Points / game73.979.369.4
Allowed / game73.668.977.5
Point differential+0.2+10.4-8.1
Avg total147.5148.2146.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)0% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Citadel
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %17%29%0%
Points / game66.771.360.2
Allowed / game75.172.279.2
Point differential-8.4-0.9-19.0
Avg total141.8143.5139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (7)0% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %10%18%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman3123874%76.768.4+8.3
2 Chattanooga Mocs3123874%79.072.1+6.9
3 Samford3122971%83.574.5+9.0
4 NC Greensboro31201165%73.465.4+8.0
5 East Tennessee St31191261%72.366.3+6.0
6 Wofford31161552%74.669.8+4.8
7 Mercer32141844%76.675.3+1.3
8 VMI31131842%73.973.6+0.2
9 Western Carolina3082227%69.779.0-9.4
10 Citadel2952417%66.775.1-8.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
VMI363773
Citadel273562
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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