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Citadel vs Longwood Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 70-75
25-33 45-42
Position#330
Record5-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#101
Record6-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Longwood winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#60
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H11/11
NCAA
Morris College
#580
W
109-66
109
66
+43
H16/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A25/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H03/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
67-100
67
100
-33
A14/12
NCAA
1H
2H
31-45
38-35
35-35
35-23
54-30
55-36
22-53
20-36
29-35
43-30
33-34
38-40
41-11
33-42
42-34
34-39
27-41
30-38
33-48
34-52
144.4Avg total
70.7Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)70.773.7144.4-3.050%
Season at home (4)76.869.2146.0+7.550%
Season away (6)66.776.7143.3-10.050%
Last 10 (10)70.773.7144.4-3.050%
Last 5 (5)69.075.8144.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)68.183.0151.1-14.913%
vs Similar (11)74.973.7148.6+1.264%
vs Weaker (3)77.371.0148.3+6.367%
This opponent (Longwood) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LongwoodUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#120
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A12/11
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#522
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H13/11
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
90-58
90
58
+32
H18/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
99-83
99
83
+16
H19/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
56-61
56
61
-5
H20/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#627
W
112-60
112
60
+52
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
68-71
68
71
-3
A29/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
75-49
75
49
+26
A03/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
63-81
63
81
-18
A10/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
63-57
63
57
+6
A13/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-49
31-34
51-29
49-39
46-27
44-31
47-37
52-46
27-35
29-26
55-27
57-33
26-34
42-37
38-31
37-18
29-43
34-38
32-24
31-33
146.6Avg total
79.5Scored
67.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.267.8145.0+9.455%
Season at home (5)91.466.0157.4+25.480%
Season away (6)65.369.3134.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)79.567.1146.6+12.460%
Last 5 (5)76.263.6139.8+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.075.0129.0-21.00%
vs Similar (4)66.870.0136.8-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)74.566.7141.2+7.883%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +7.1+7.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: -1.9-1.91st half: +5.3+5.32nd half2nd half: -1.1-1.12nd half: +7.1+7.1
CitadelLongwood
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Clemson
#60
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H11/11
NCAA
Morris College
#580
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H16/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
41-11
41
11
+30
A25/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H03/12
NCAA
North Carolina
#117
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A14/12
NCAA
71.3Avg total
34.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.438.571.9-5.023%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.338.171.4-4.815%-
Last 30 away (17)33.538.872.3-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)34.736.671.3-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.233.668.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)31.341.372.7-10.013%-
vs Similar (11)35.037.872.8-2.827%-
vs Weaker (3)31.329.360.7+2.033%-
This opponent (Longwood) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LongwoodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
George Mason
#120
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Pfeiffer Falcons
#522
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H13/11
NCAA
VMI
#356
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H19/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#141
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H20/11
NCAA
Mary Baldwin
#627
W
55-27
55
27
+28
H25/11
NCAA
San Diego Toreros
#298
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A29/11
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A03/12
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A10/12
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
32-24
32
24
+8
A13/12
NCAA
72.5Avg total
38.9Scored
33.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.431.667.0+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.931.769.6+6.269%-
Last 30 away (14)32.531.664.1+0.950%-
Last 10 (10)38.933.672.5+5.360%-
Last 5 (5)36.031.867.8+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)26.034.060.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (4)34.235.269.5-1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)35.231.166.3+4.062%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Citadel wins
0
Longwood wins
DateGameScore
19/12/20Longwood v Citadel89-91
20/12/19Longwood v Citadel99-102 OT
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/22ANorth Carolina67-100
03/12/22HCharleston57-79
01/12/22ACharleston Southern76-73
25/11/22AIUPUI74-53
24/11/22HDenver71-74
23/11/22ANew Orleans72-65
20/11/22AButler42-89
16/11/22HMorris College109-66
11/11/22HPresbyterian70-58
08/11/22AClemson69-80
Longwoodlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22ASt. Francis Brooklyn63-57
10/12/22AWichita State63-81
03/12/22ADelaware State75-49
29/11/22ASan Diego Toreros68-71
25/11/22HMary Baldwin112-60
20/11/22HSiu Edwardsville56-61
19/11/22HFairleigh Dickinson99-83
18/11/22HVMI90-58
13/11/22HPfeiffer Falcons100-68
12/11/22AGeorge Mason69-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game70.776.866.7
Allowed / game73.769.276.7
Point differential-3.0+7.5-10.0
Avg total144.4146.0143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Longwood
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %55%80%33%
Points / game77.291.465.3
Allowed / game67.866.069.3
Point differential+9.4+25.4-4.0
Avg total145.0157.4134.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%80%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs118373%82.067.1+14.9
2 Furman117464%81.572.6+8.8
3 Samford116555%82.871.0+11.8
4 Wofford116555%74.667.8+6.8
5 Citadel105550%70.773.7-3.0
6 Mercer115645%76.569.5+7.1
7 Western Carolina115645%76.171.1+5.0
8 NC Greensboro115645%66.367.2-0.9
9 VMI125742%76.874.2+2.7
10 East Tennessee St114736%71.168.2+2.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big South conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 High Point108280%85.477.8+7.6
2 UNC Asheville117464%82.573.8+8.7
3 Radford116555%75.766.3+9.5
4 Longwood116555%77.267.8+9.4
5 USC Upstate105550%71.072.3-1.3
6 Winthrop115645%76.075.8+0.2
7 Charleston Southern93633%72.075.9-3.9
8 Gardner Webb103730%68.263.0+5.2
9 Presbyterian123925%62.267.9-5.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Citadel254570
Longwood334275
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