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North Carolina vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-67
48-33 52-34
Position#117
Record6-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game74.2
vs
Position#330
Record5-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game71.1
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · North Carolina v Citadel
21 Dec 2026
NORT v CITA
upcoming
13 Dec 2022
NORT100
CITA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

North Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

North CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#58
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
W
102-86
102
86
+16
H12/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
89-81
89
81
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
101-103 OT
101
103
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
65-77
65
77
-12
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
75-59
75
59
+16
H10/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-21
37-35
43-50
59-36
26-22
46-44
45-26
35-38
40-38
49-43
34-32
31-38
34-37
43-40
29-35
36-42
27-37
45-43
39-26
36-33
153.2Avg total
79.0Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.074.2153.2+4.860%
Season at home (5)79.666.2145.8+13.4100%
Season away (5)78.482.2160.6-3.820%
Last 10 (10)79.074.2153.2+4.860%
Last 5 (5)75.677.8153.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)84.480.2164.7+4.267%
vs Similar (9)68.367.1135.4+1.256%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)81.168.5149.6+12.692%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
W
70-58
70
58
+12
H11/11
NCAA
Morris College
#580
W
109-66
109
66
+43
H16/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
L
42-89
42
89
-47
A20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
W
72-65
72
65
+7
A23/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
71-74
71
74
-3
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A25/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H03/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-37
43-34
31-45
38-35
35-35
35-23
54-30
55-36
22-53
20-36
29-35
43-30
33-34
38-40
41-11
33-42
42-34
34-39
27-41
30-38
141.4Avg total
70.6Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)71.170.8141.9+0.356%
Season at home (4)76.869.2146.0+7.550%
Season away (5)66.672.0138.6-5.460%
Last 10 (10)70.670.8141.4-0.250%
Last 5 (5)70.068.8138.8+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)68.281.8150.0-13.614%
vs Similar (12)74.874.0148.8+0.858%
vs Weaker (3)77.371.0148.3+6.367%
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +1.6+1.6
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +2.5+2.51st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +1.6+1.6
North CarolinaCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
North CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NC Wilmington
#58
W
32-21
32
21
+11
H08/11
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
43-50
43
50
-7
H12/11
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#222
W
26-22
26
22
+4
H16/11
NCAA
James Madison
#69
W
45-26
45
26
+19
H20/11
NCAA
Portland
#263
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Iowa State
#136
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/11
NCAA
Alabama
#11
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Indiana
#76
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A01/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A04/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#241
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H10/12
NCAA
67.3Avg total
34.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.168.1+6.063%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.429.467.8+8.969%-
Last 30 away (14)35.532.968.4+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)34.932.467.3+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)32.633.466.0-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)37.035.072.0+2.033%-
vs Similar (9)31.128.159.2+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.530.371.8+11.283%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#30
L
23-37
23
37
-14
A05/03
NCAA
Clemson
#60
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A08/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#363
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H11/11
NCAA
Morris College
#580
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H16/11
NCAA
Butler
#256
L
22-53
22
53
-31
A20/11
NCAA
New Orleans
#290
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Denver
#233
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H24/11
NCAA
IUPUI
#364
W
41-11
41
11
+30
A25/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#319
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A01/12
NCAA
Charleston
#8
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H03/12
NCAA
69.2Avg total
33.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.738.071.7-4.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.837.871.6-4.021%-
Last 30 away (16)33.638.271.8-4.631%-
Last 10 (10)33.735.569.2-1.830%-
Last 5 (5)34.431.065.4+3.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)31.240.972.1-9.614%-
vs Similar (12)35.437.572.9-2.133%-
vs Weaker (3)31.329.360.7+2.033%-
This opponent (North Carolina) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
North Carolina wins
0
Citadel wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/22HGeorgia Tech75-59
04/12/22AVirginia Tech72-80
01/12/22AIndiana65-77
27/11/22AAlabama101-103 OT
25/11/22AIowa State65-70
24/11/22APortland89-81
20/11/22HJames Madison80-64
16/11/22HGardner Webb72-66
12/11/22HCharleston102-86
08/11/22HNC Wilmington69-56
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/22HCharleston57-79
01/12/22ACharleston Southern76-73
25/11/22AIUPUI74-53
24/11/22HDenver71-74
23/11/22ANew Orleans72-65
20/11/22AButler42-89
16/11/22HMorris College109-66
11/11/22HPresbyterian70-58
08/11/22AClemson69-80
05/03/22AChattanooga Mocs66-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

North Carolina
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW60%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%100%20%
Points / game79.079.678.4
Allowed / game74.266.282.2
Point differential+4.8+13.4-3.8
Avg total153.2145.8160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
Citadel
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL56%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game71.176.866.6
Allowed / game70.869.272.0
Point differential+0.3+7.5-5.4
Avg total141.9146.0138.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia880100%72.157.9+14.2
2 Virginia Tech1110191%76.563.6+12.8
3 Duke1210283%73.258.7+14.5
4 NC State129375%81.968.0+13.9
5 Clemson118373%74.667.4+7.3
6 Wake Forest107370%77.770.3+7.4
7 Miami (FL)2014670%76.770.3+6.4
8 Notre Dame107370%72.468.9+3.5
9 Pittsburgh117464%74.567.2+7.3
10 Syracuse117464%74.568.6+5.8
11 North Carolina106460%79.074.2+4.8
12 Georgia Tech106460%70.867.9+2.9
13 Boston College115645%63.968.1-4.2
14 Stanford93633%66.265.7+0.6
15 SMU Mustangs103730%66.870.1-3.3
16 Florida State112918%66.472.5-6.1
17 California110110%57.667.3-9.6
18 Louisville9090%56.974.0-17.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chattanooga Mocs107370%82.066.5+15.5
2 Furman117464%81.572.6+8.8
3 Citadel95456%71.170.8+0.3
4 Samford116555%82.871.0+11.8
5 Wofford116555%74.667.8+6.8
6 Mercer115645%76.569.5+7.1
7 Western Carolina115645%76.171.1+5.0
8 VMI125742%76.874.2+2.7
9 East Tennessee St104640%70.767.2+3.5
10 NC Greensboro104640%65.467.2-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
North Carolina4852100
Citadel333467
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