PythiaBasketballBETA
SuperleagueRound 6· Otar Korkia and Nodar Jorjikia Tbilisi Sports Palace (Tbilisi Arena)
On 8 November 2026 the Superleague will see CIU host Iverioni, and the Pythia model names CIU the favourite with a 75% chance of winning, a 25% chance for Iverioni, and projects a 86-79 score for a 165.1-point total; CIU's 4-0 season record, 93.2 points per game and 72.0 allowed per game, and a 3-0 home record with 97.7 points per game, give the model confidence, while Iverioni's 2-2 record, 77.0 points per game and 78.2 allowed per game, and 1-1 road record with 74.5 points per game, show a more balanced performance. CIU has won four of its last five games, including a 88-68 home win over Akhaltsikhe, whereas Iverioni has won two of its last five, including a 75-70 away win over Black Fortress; the teams have met eight times, Iverioni winning six, most recently 82-72 on 18 April 2026. The model gives CIU a 75% chance to cover the home line and a 4% chance of overtime, while Iverioni has a 25% chance to win. The game will likely feature CIU's strong offense against Iverioni's solid defence, with the last meeting's 82-72 result hinting at a close contest.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 93.2 | 72.0 | 165.2 | +21.2 | 100% |
| Season at home (3) | 97.7 | 72.3 | 170.0 | +25.3 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 80.0 | 71.0 | 151.0 | +9.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.6 | 78.6 | 162.2 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.8 | 74.4 | 160.2 | +11.4 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 76.6 | 85.6 | 162.2 | -9.0 | 10% |
| vs Similar (10) | 87.8 | 83.7 | 171.5 | +4.1 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 88.5 | 76.2 | 164.7 | +12.3 | 70% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 77.0 | 78.2 | 155.2 | -1.2 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 79.5 | 82.5 | 162.0 | -3.0 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 74.5 | 74.0 | 148.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.4 | 88.8 | 169.2 | -8.4 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.6 | 81.4 | 160.0 | -2.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 80.4 | 88.8 | 169.1 | -8.4 | 38% |
| vs Similar (11) | 80.9 | 84.8 | 165.7 | -3.9 | 27% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 85.3 | 67.7 | 153.0 | +17.7 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.0 | 40.5 | 83.4 | +2.5 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 44.9 | 40.2 | 85.2 | +4.7 | 69% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 40.7 | 40.7 | 81.4 | +0.0 | 57% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 44.3 | 39.5 | 83.8 | +4.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 46.0 | 38.8 | 84.8 | +7.2 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 39.5 | 41.4 | 80.9 | -1.9 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (10) | 43.3 | 40.3 | 83.6 | +3.0 | 80% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 46.1 | 39.7 | 85.8 | +6.4 | 60% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.9 | 42.4 | 84.3 | -0.5 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.6 | 42.5 | 85.1 | +0.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 41.1 | 42.3 | 83.5 | -1.2 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.8 | 44.9 | 83.7 | -6.1 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 37.4 | 42.0 | 79.4 | -4.6 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 42.4 | 43.6 | 86.0 | -1.1 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 39.7 | 43.6 | 83.4 | -3.9 | 36% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 46.7 | 31.7 | 78.3 | +15.0 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.0 | 22.4 | 48.2% | 44.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.6 | 8.1 | 31.1% | 24.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.6 | 14.5 | 64.0% | 14.5 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 33.3 | 14.3 | 48.2% | 28.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 36.2 | 11.3 | 31.1% | 33.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.9 | 13.4 | 64.0% | 13.4 |
CIU
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 | Iverioni v CIU | 82-72 |
| 27/12/25 | CIU v Iverioni | 99-73 |
| 01/02/25 | CIU v Iverioni | 79-84 |
| 27/01/25 | CIU v Iverioni | 96-87 |
| 22/01/25 | Iverioni v CIU | 79-66 |
| 12/10/24 | Iverioni v CIU | 97-86 |
| 10/03/24 | CIU v Iverioni | 84-89 |
| 11/11/23 | Iverioni v CIU | 88-87 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10/26 | H | Jonava | 67-80 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Batumi | 80-71 |
| 19/10/26 | H | Akhaltsikhe | 88-68 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Lausanne Basket | 97-88 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Kutaisi | 97-65 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Black Fortress | 108-84 |
| 29/09/26 | A | Dubrava | 82-87 |
| 28/04/26 | H | TSU | 73-80 |
| 25/04/26 | A | TSU | 70-78 |
| 23/04/26 | A | TSU | 74-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 93.2 | 97.7 | 80.0 |
| Allowed / game | 72.0 | 72.3 | 71.0 |
| Point differential | +21.2 | +25.3 | +9.0 |
| Avg total | 165.2 | 170.0 | 151.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWL | 50% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 77.0 | 79.5 | 74.5 |
| Allowed / game | 78.2 | 82.5 | 74.0 |
| Point differential | -1.2 | -3.0 | +0.5 |
| Avg total | 155.2 | 162.0 | 148.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 100% (1) | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CIU | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 93.2 | 72.0 | +21.2 |
| 2 |  Orbi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 84.0 | 82.4 | +1.6 |
| 3 |  Rustavi | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 87.2 | 86.6 | +0.6 |
| 4 |  Batumi | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 77.8 | 77.2 | +0.5 |
| 5 | Akhaltsikhe | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 76.0 | 78.8 | -2.8 |
| 6 | Telavi | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 83.8 | 81.7 | +2.2 |
| 7 |  TSU | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 84.5 | 84.2 | +0.3 |
| 8 | Iverioni | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 77.0 | 78.2 | -1.2 |
| 9 |  Margveti | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 77.6 | 81.0 | -3.4 |
| 10 |  Kutaisi | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 79.0 | 83.8 | -4.8 |
| 11 | Black Fortress | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 79.8 | 87.8 | -8.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CIU | 27 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 103 |
| Iverioni | 18 | 23 | 22 | 26 | 89 |
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