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Cividale vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 62-77
13-31 16-20 14-14 19-12
Position#13
Record1-2
FormLLLWL
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game81.3
vs
Position#2
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game74.0
ItalySerie A2Round 4· PalaGesteco
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cividale v Avellino Basket
17 Oct 2026
CIVI62
AVEL77
20 Dec 2025
CIVI75
AVEL82
06 Dec 2024
CIVI85
AVEL90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cividale winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CividaleItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCividale
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
79-73
79
73
+6
61avg 68
H10/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 68
A13/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
90-78
90
78
+12
90avg 68
A15/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
69-84
69
84
-15
60avg 68
H21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-69
85
69
+16
79avg 68
H23/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
66-83
66
83
-17
54avg 68
A26/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
66avg 68
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#8
L
68-85
68
85
-17
6avg 68
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
W
86-83
86
83
+3
16avg 68
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
L
59-76
59
76
-17
51avg 68
A11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
22-18
10-14
24-23
22-16
21-21
14-12
25-24
24-16
27-18
13-21
26-23
16-25
21-23
18-16
14-20
19-18
13-17
33-18
20-16
19-22
14-27
23-19
10-15
25-21
22-24
12-24
17-18
15-27
8-21
23-16
22-21
23-19
19-23
18-22
26-19
25-23
10-15
17-19
7-19
155.1Avg total
76.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)71.081.3152.3-10.333%
Season at home (1)68.085.0153.0-17.00%
Season away (2)72.579.5152.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)76.079.1155.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)71.082.8153.8-11.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)63.580.5144.0-17.00%
vs Similar (18)77.277.2154.3+0.056%
vs Weaker (10)83.470.2153.6+13.280%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
87-68
87
68
+19
87avg 73
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
81-75
81
75
+6
71avg 73
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
58-76
58
76
-18
43avg 73
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
64-69
64
69
-5
55avg 73
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
62avg 73
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
59avg 73
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-93
61
93
-32
53avg 73
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
87-69
87
69
+18
86avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
23avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#8
W
94-81
94
81
+13
96avg 73
H11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
28-17
20-11
16-21
24-24
18-21
15-16
24-14
14-21
8-19
18-23
18-13
21-22
22-17
17-18
4-12
12-21
18-24
27-13
18-13
17-23
18-14
25-16
16-14
9-28
19-17
15-26
18-22
29-10
26-16
11-23
21-20
23-23
11-22
21-11
18-16
25-19
24-21
24-23
21-18
149.7Avg total
75.6Scored
74.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)84.774.0158.7+10.7100%
Season at home (2)90.575.0165.5+15.5100%
Season away (1)73.072.0145.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.674.1149.7+1.570%
Last 5 (5)78.276.4154.6+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.081.5154.5-8.525%
vs Similar (18)77.678.0155.6-0.461%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.578.4166.9+10.188%
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +1.1+1.1
CividaleAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CividaleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H10/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A13/05
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
51-34
51
34
+17
A15/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H21/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H23/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A26/05
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A28/05
Serie A2
Forli
#8
L
23-48
23
48
-25
H26/09
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#3
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A11/10
Serie A2
80.0Avg total
38.8Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.637.776.3+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.134.872.9+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.140.679.7-1.540%-
Last 10 (10)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)36.044.480.4-8.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)29.043.072.0-14.00%-
vs Similar (18)38.138.876.9-0.744%-
vs Weaker (10)41.534.676.1+6.980%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H26/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H03/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
22-40
22
40
-18
A07/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A09/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H12/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H14/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A17/05
Serie A2
Vigevano
#16
W
55-26
55
26
+29
H27/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A04/10
Serie A2
Forli
#8
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H11/10
Serie A2
78.7Avg total
38.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.580.3-0.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.838.180.8+4.756%-
Last 30 away (14)36.443.479.8-6.929%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.878.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.678.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.542.278.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (18)38.541.680.1-3.139%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)44.437.281.6+7.175%-
This opponent (Cividale) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cividaletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cividale: 62.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.013.6
46.9%
51.5%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.4
34.9%
34.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.013.4
74.4%
70.9%13.4
They take 50.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.013.6
50.4%
51.5%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.9
33.9%
34.5%29.7
🏀 Free throws17.413.4
77.0%
70.9%13.4
They take 56.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cividale
LWLLLWLWWW
Avellino Basket
WWWLWWLLWW
#13
League position
#2
-13.8
Net rating
+1.5
86.2
Offensive rating
95.4
99.9
Defensive rating
93.9
49.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.6%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
33.9%
69.5%
Assist %
66.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence86.2 · 95.4Defence99.9 · 93.9Shooting49.2% · 50.6%3-point %34.9% · 33.9%Ball care14.4% · 12.6%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Cividale   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Cividale wins
3
Avellino Basket wins
Cividalelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26ABasket Torino59-76
04/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-83
26/09/26HForli68-85
28/05/26ARimini76-87
26/05/26ARimini66-83
23/05/26HRimini85-69
21/05/26HRimini69-84
15/05/26ASebastiani Rieti90-78
13/05/26ASebastiani Rieti82-73
10/05/26HSebastiani Rieti79-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26HForli94-81
04/10/26ARimini73-72
27/09/26HVigevano87-69
17/05/26AFortitudo Bologna61-93
14/05/26HFortitudo Bologna76-67
12/05/26HFortitudo Bologna75-71
09/05/26AFortitudo Bologna64-69
07/05/26AFortitudo Bologna58-76
03/05/26HJuVi Cremona81-75
26/04/26HRoseto87-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cividale
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game71.068.072.5
Allowed / game81.385.079.5
Point differential-10.3-17.0-7.0
Avg total152.3153.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.790.573.0
Allowed / game74.075.072.0
Point differential+10.7+15.5+1.0
Avg total158.7165.5145.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno330100%75.361.3+14.0
2 Fortitudo Bologna330100%84.372.3+12.0
3 Avellino Basket330100%84.774.0+10.7
4 Sebastiani Rieti330100%79.369.0+10.3
5 Brindisi330100%82.072.7+9.3
6 Pesaro330100%88.780.7+8.0
7 Forli32167%82.078.3+3.7
8 Sassari32167%76.374.3+2.0
9 Basket Torino32167%72.371.7+0.7
10 Rimini31233%74.070.0+4.0
11 Cento31233%84.088.0-4.0
12 Ruvo Di Puglia31233%83.088.7-5.7
13 Mestre31233%67.377.3-10.0
14 Cividale31233%71.081.3-10.3
15 Montecatini31233%72.784.0-11.3
16 JuVi Cremona3030%72.076.0-4.0
17 Urania Milano3030%79.083.3-4.3
18 Caserta3030%77.082.3-5.3
19 Pistoia3030%69.775.0-5.3
20 Vigevano3030%73.788.0-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cividale1316141962
Avellino Basket3120141277
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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