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Colorado State vs UMKC Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 84-61
38-27 46-34
Position#52
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#200
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game63.0
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UMKC winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H04/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
67-65
67
65
+2
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
61-64
61
64
-3
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
105-77
105
77
+28
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
83-64
83
64
+19
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-24
33-33
26-41
32-36
40-30
44-41
22-27
24-36
41-35
51-49
36-29
31-36
25-27
36-37
33-34
48-39
45-42
60-35
41-28
42-36
143.2Avg total
73.7Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)89.771.3161.0+18.3100%
Season at home (2)93.075.0168.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)83.064.0147.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)73.769.5143.2+4.270%
Last 5 (5)79.468.6148.0+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.478.1148.6-7.722%
vs Similar (17)72.471.6144.0+0.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)84.765.7150.3+19.067%
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#169
W
76-64
76
64
+12
A10/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
43-73
43
73
-30
A12/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
58-69
58
69
-11
H17/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H19/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
50-73
50
73
-23
A24/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
48-82
48
82
-34
A26/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
L
61-73
61
73
-12
H04/03
NCAA
Avila
#448
W
79-48
79
48
+31
H07/11
NCAA
Saint Mary
#662
W
95-42
95
42
+53
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
61-99
61
99
-38
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-30
–
20-34
23-39
24-28
34-41
27-35
46-46
23-34
27-39
24-34
24-48
22-45
39-28
39-22
40-26
57-29
38-13
33-51
28-48
134.8Avg total
64.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)78.363.0141.3+15.367%
Season at home (2)87.045.0132.0+42.0100%
Season away (1)61.099.0160.0-38.00%
Last 10 (10)64.470.4134.8-6.030%
Last 5 (5)68.868.8137.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)62.671.3133.9-8.731%
vs Similar (11)65.667.7133.4-2.145%
vs Weaker (2)71.559.0130.5+12.550%
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -3.2-3.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +1.9+1.91st half: -4.4-4.42nd half2nd half: +2.3+2.32nd half: -3.2-3.2
Colorado StateUMKC
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fresno State
#295
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/03
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H08/03
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A09/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#54
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H07/11
NCAA
Wright State
#160
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#132
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A15/11
NCAA
65.3Avg total
33.6Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.266.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.532.769.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)28.633.962.4-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)33.631.765.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.068.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.235.966.1-5.722%-
vs Similar (17)31.931.963.8+0.053%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)39.028.367.3+10.767%-
This opponent (UMKC) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UMKCLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Western Illinois
#169
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A10/02
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#139
L
20-34
20
34
-14
A12/02
NCAA
North Dakota St
#200
L
24-28
24
28
-4
H17/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H19/02
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A24/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A26/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
L
22-45
22
45
-23
H04/03
NCAA
Avila
#448
W
39-22
39
22
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Saint Mary
#662
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H12/11
NCAA
Baylor
#58
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A15/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.8Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.031.560.4-2.530%-
Last 30 at home (16)29.330.259.6-0.931%-
Last 30 away (14)28.632.961.4-4.329%-
Last 10 (10)29.834.264.0-4.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.036.271.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)28.733.662.2-4.919%-
vs Similar (11)25.829.955.7-4.127%-
vs Weaker (2)34.524.559.0+10.0100%-
This opponent (Colorado State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Colorado State wins
0
UMKC wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ANorthern Colorado83-64
11/11/23HWright State105-77
07/11/23HLouisiana Tech81-73
09/03/23ASan Diego State61-64
08/03/23HFresno State67-65
04/03/23HNew Mexico92-84
01/03/23ASan Jose State46-63
25/02/23HWyoming84-71
22/02/23ASan Diego State58-77
18/02/23AFresno State60-57
UMKClast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ABaylor61-99
12/11/23HSaint Mary95-42
07/11/23HAvila79-48
04/03/23HNebraska O.61-73
26/02/23ASouth Dakota Coyotes48-82
24/02/23ASouth Dakota St.50-73
19/02/23HNorth Dakota73-81
17/02/23HNorth Dakota St58-69
12/02/23ASt. Thomas (Minn.)43-73
10/02/23AWestern Illinois76-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game89.793.083.0
Allowed / game71.375.064.0
Point differential+18.3+18.0+19.0
Avg total161.0168.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
UMKC
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game78.387.061.0
Allowed / game63.045.099.0
Point differential+15.3+42.0-38.0
Avg total141.3132.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grand Canyon220100%88.561.0+27.5
2 Nevada330100%82.759.3+23.3
3 Boise State220100%76.056.5+19.5
4 Colorado State330100%89.771.3+18.3
5 Wyoming43175%80.065.2+14.8
6 Utah State32167%86.768.0+18.7
7 San Diego State32167%78.769.0+9.7
8 New Mexico32167%77.369.0+8.3
9 Fresno State32167%77.771.0+6.7
10 Air Force53260%70.064.6+5.4
11 San Jose State42250%75.567.2+8.2
12 UNLV21150%71.070.0+1.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Dakota Coyotes43175%82.571.2+11.2
2 UMKC32167%78.363.0+15.3
3 North Dakota32167%82.080.3+1.7
4 North Dakota St53260%72.873.6-0.8
5 St. Thomas (Minn.)42250%70.059.8+10.2
6 Denver52340%84.883.0+1.8
7 Nebraska O.52340%73.673.0+0.6
8 South Dakota St.31233%75.375.7-0.3
9 Oral Roberts41325%70.075.5-5.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State384684
UMKC273461
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