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Colorado State vs Fresno State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 08 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-65
36-29 31-36
Position#238
Record14-17
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#295
Record11-19
FormLWLLW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game65.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Colorado State v Fresno State
17 Jan 2027
COLO v FRES
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
COLO67
FRES63
24 Feb 2026
COLO74
FRES70
07 Jan 2025
COLO91
FRES64
08 Mar 2023
COLO67
FRES65
07 Jan 2023
COLO79
FRES57
11 Feb 2022
COLO65
FRES50
11 Mar 2021
COLO72
FRES62
30 Dec 2020
COLO81
FRES59
28 Dec 2020
COLO75
FRES53
22 Jan 2020
COLO86
FRES68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fresno State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Colorado StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A29/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
71-83
71
83
-12
H01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
79-88
79
88
-9
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
69-53
69
53
+16
A08/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
58-77
58
77
-19
A22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
84-71
84
71
+13
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H04/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-44
30-36
30-39
41-44
32-33
47-55
32-26
37-27
31-36
47-44
27-24
33-33
26-41
32-36
40-30
44-41
22-27
24-36
41-35
51-49
143.2Avg total
69.6Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.071.8144.8+1.245%
Season at home (17)79.672.7152.4+6.953%
Season away (14)64.970.7135.6-5.836%
Last 10 (10)69.673.6143.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)68.070.4138.4-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.879.2150.0-8.422%
vs Similar ◀ (17)70.070.1140.1-0.147%
vs Weaker (3)85.362.0147.3+23.367%
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
L
62-85
62
85
-23
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
70-62
70
62
+8
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
80-94
80
94
-14
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
108-69
108
69
+39
H05/03
NCAA
1H
2H
25-47
37-38
37-43
45-36
29-27
41-35
32-34
34-43
25-23
18-22
24-27
33-33
28-29
46-40
30-34
26-26
42-50
38-44
51-38
57-31
139.8Avg total
69.8Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)63.665.5129.2-1.937%
Season at home (14)63.459.9123.2+3.550%
Season away (16)63.970.5134.4-6.625%
Last 10 (10)69.870.0139.8-0.240%
Last 5 (5)75.070.4145.4+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)62.967.1130.0-4.329%
vs Similar ◀ (15)64.064.7128.7-0.740%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -2.5-2.51st half: -2.9-2.92nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +2.7+2.7
Colorado StateFresno State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Colorado StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boise State
#57
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/01
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H01/02
NCAA
Utah State
#41
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
W
32-26
32
26
+6
A08/02
NCAA
Boise State
#57
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H16/02
NCAA
Fresno State
#295
W
27-24
27
24
+3
A18/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A22/02
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H25/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
L
22-27
22
27
-5
A01/03
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H04/03
NCAA
64.5Avg total
31.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.765.0-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.631.667.2+3.962%-
Last 30 away (14)28.633.962.6-5.329%-
Last 10 (10)31.033.564.5-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.231.462.6-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)30.437.067.4-6.622%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)31.030.961.9+0.153%-
vs Weaker (3)38.725.364.0+13.367%-
This opponent (Fresno State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fresno StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wyoming
#334
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A01/02
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/02
NCAA
San Jose State
#121
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A11/02
NCAA
San Diego State
#10
W
25-23
25
23
+2
H16/02
NCAA
Colorado State
#238
L
24-27
24
27
-3
H18/02
NCAA
Air Force
#251
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Nevada
#74
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H25/02
NCAA
New Mexico
#70
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A01/03
NCAA
Chicago State
#297
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H05/03
NCAA
67.5Avg total
32.3Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.331.962.2-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)31.129.160.2+1.957%-
Last 30 away (16)29.634.263.9-4.619%-
Last 10 (10)32.335.267.5-2.930%-
Last 5 (5)35.035.670.6-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)31.433.164.5-1.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)29.130.759.8-1.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Colorado State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Colorado State wins
0
Fresno State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23HNew Mexico92-84
01/03/23ASan Jose State46-63
25/02/23HWyoming84-71
22/02/23ASan Diego State58-77
18/02/23AFresno State60-57
16/02/23HBoise State78-80
08/02/23AAir Force69-53
05/02/23HUtah State79-88
01/02/23HUNLV71-83
29/01/23ABoise State59-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/23HChicago State108-69
01/03/23ANew Mexico80-94
25/02/23HNevada56-60
22/02/23AAir Force74-69
18/02/23HColorado State57-60
16/02/23HSan Diego State43-45
11/02/23ANevada66-77
08/02/23HSan Jose State70-62
04/02/23AUNLV82-79
01/02/23AWyoming62-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeLLLWW53%
AwayLWWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %45%53%36%
Points / game73.079.664.9
Allowed / game71.872.770.7
Point differential+1.2+6.9-5.8
Avg total144.8152.4135.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%41%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %10%12%7%
Fresno State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW37%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %37%50%25%
Points / game63.663.463.9
Allowed / game65.559.970.5
Point differential-1.9+3.5-6.6
Avg total129.2123.2134.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%21%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mountain West conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Diego State3024680%72.964.4+8.5
2 Utah State3124777%79.170.0+9.1
3 Boise State3123874%72.163.7+8.4
4 Nevada3122971%72.566.4+6.1
5 New Mexico31211068%81.273.4+7.8
6 Grand Canyon31201165%70.665.4+5.2
7 San Jose State31191261%67.766.4+1.3
8 UNLV30181260%74.169.5+4.6
9 Colorado State31141745%73.071.8+1.2
10 Air Force31141745%66.866.7+0.1
11 Fresno State30111937%63.665.5-1.9
12 Wyoming3092130%68.971.6-2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Colorado State363167
Fresno State293665
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