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Colorado vs Dayton Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2019
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 78-76 (OT)
32-36 34-30 12-10
Position#100
Record6-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game60.0
vs
Position#4
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game64.9
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Colorado v Dayton
21 Dec 2019
COLO78
DAYT76
19 Mar 2019
COLO78
DAYT73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Colorado winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dayton winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ColoradoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#16
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A26/03
NIT
Texas
#1
L
55-68
55
68
-13
A28/03
NIT
Wyoming
#325
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#210
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H01/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymnt
#299
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H05/12
NCAA
Kansas
#6
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A08/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
76-79
76
79
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#97
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A14/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#67
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H20/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
43-23
0-0
33-37
0-0
19-44
0-0
36-24
0-0
15-15
0-0
41-26
0-0
33-36
0-0
38-31
0-0
24-16
0-0
35-29
0-0
30-34
0-0
46-30
0-0
22-34
0-0
36-38
0-0
32-33
0-0
44-46
0-0
27-12
0-0
29-36
0-0
35-28
0-0
48-36
127.4Avg total
66.6Scored
60.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)66.960.0126.9+6.975%
Season at home (4)73.563.0136.5+10.575%
Season away (4)60.257.0117.2+3.275%
Last 10 (10)66.660.8127.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)69.865.4135.2+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)63.073.0136.0-10.00%
vs Similar (4)66.261.5127.8+4.850%
vs Weaker (7)72.660.4133.0+12.1100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
A15/03
NIT
Iowa
#13
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A13/03
NIT
Colorado
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A20/03
NIT
Georgia
#245
W
80-61
80
61
+19
H25/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
89-62
89
62
+27
A27/11
NCAA
Kansas
#6
L
84-90 OT
84
90
-6
A27/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
W
99-68
99
68
+31
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#33
W
78-68
78
68
+10
A08/12
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
78-47
78
47
+31
H15/12
NCAA
North Texas
#54
W
71-58
71
58
+13
H18/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
30-43
0-0
54-51
0-0
41-44
0-0
34-40
0-0
35-37
0-0
38-41
0-0
43-25
0-0
37-36
0-0
49-31
0-0
40-31
0-0
37-36
0-0
36-37
0-0
49-42
0-0
50-26
0-0
46-25
0-0
32-43
0-0
34-22
0-0
44-25
0-0
34-19
0-0
37-39
152.1Avg total
81.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.764.9147.6+17.986%
Season at home (4)82.058.5140.5+23.5100%
Season away (3)83.773.3157.0+10.367%
Last 10 (10)81.171.0152.1+10.160%
Last 5 (5)82.066.2148.2+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)84.090.0174.0-6.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.560.7143.2+21.8100%
This opponent (Colorado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: +7.4+7.42nd half2nd half: +5.3+5.32nd half: +3.3+3.3
ColoradoDayton
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ColoradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#16
W
43-23
43
23
+20
A26/03
NIT
Texas
#1
L
19-44
19
44
-25
A28/03
NIT
Wyoming
#325
D
15-15
15
15
+0
A25/11
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A27/11
NCAA
Sacramento State
#210
W
24-16
24
16
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Loyola Marymnt
#299
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H05/12
NCAA
Kansas
#6
L
22-34
22
34
-12
A08/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#29
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H11/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#97
W
27-12
27
12
+15
A14/12
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#67
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H20/12
NCAA
55.5Avg total
28.0Scored
27.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)31.830.161.9+1.756%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.931.266.1+3.770%-
Last 30 away (8)28.028.856.8-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)28.027.555.5+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)29.228.257.4+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)24.337.061.3-12.70%-
vs Similar (4)30.826.056.8+4.875%-
vs Weaker (7)31.127.058.1+4.157%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#7
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A15/03
NIT
Iowa
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/03
NIT
Colorado
#6
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/03
NIT
Georgia
#245
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H25/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
49-31
49
31
+18
A27/11
NCAA
Kansas
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A27/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#350
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H04/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#33
W
46-25
46
25
+21
A08/12
NCAA
Drake
#138
W
34-22
34
22
+12
H15/12
NCAA
North Texas
#54
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H18/12
NCAA
72.2Avg total
39.8Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)39.832.472.2+7.470%-
Last 30 at home (4)40.027.067.0+13.0100%-
Last 30 away (6)39.736.075.7+3.750%-
Last 10 (10)39.832.472.2+7.470%-
Last 5 (5)40.028.868.8+11.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)37.036.073.0+1.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)42.527.369.8+15.2100%-
This opponent (Colorado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Colorado wins
0
Dayton wins
DateGameScore
20/03/19Colorado v Dayton78-73
Coloradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/19HPrairie View A&M83-64
14/12/19AColorado State56-48
11/12/19HNorthern Iowa76-79
08/12/19AKansas58-72
05/12/19HLoyola Marymnt76-64
01/12/19HSacramento State59-45
27/11/19AClemson71-67
25/11/19AWyoming56-41
28/03/19ATexas55-68
26/03/19ANorfolk State76-60
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/19HNorth Texas71-58
15/12/19HDrake78-47
08/12/19ASt. Marys (CA)78-68
04/12/19HHouston Christian99-68
27/11/19AKansas84-90 OT
27/11/19AVirginia Tech89-62
25/11/19HGeorgia80-61
20/03/19AColorado73-78
13/03/12AIowa75-84
15/03/11ACharleston84-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Colorado
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW75%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game66.973.560.2
Allowed / game60.063.057.0
Point differential+6.9+10.5+3.2
Avg total126.9136.5117.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%75%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dayton
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game82.782.083.7
Allowed / game64.958.573.3
Point differential+17.9+23.5+10.3
Avg total147.6140.5157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+86%100%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor660100%74.860.3+14.5
2 West Virginia87188%75.060.9+14.1
3 Kansas76186%82.063.1+18.9
4 UCF Knights97278%72.163.8+8.3
5 Brigham Young86275%80.466.5+13.9
6 Arizona86275%83.870.8+13.0
7 Colorado86275%66.960.0+6.9
8 Utah Utes86275%75.570.0+5.5
9 Arizona State86275%70.468.2+2.1
10 Houston75271%75.064.0+11.0
11 TCU75271%70.160.9+9.3
12 Texas Tech85362%71.865.4+6.4
13 Cincinnati85362%74.472.1+2.2
14 Oklahoma State74357%70.967.7+3.1
15 Iowa State63350%79.877.8+2.0
16 Kansas State62433%67.862.5+5.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duquesne660100%76.358.5+17.8
2 Richmond Spiders87188%71.660.2+11.4
3 St. Bonaventure87188%69.458.4+11.0
4 La Salle87188%74.567.8+6.8
5 Dayton76186%82.764.9+17.9
6 George Mason76186%68.662.1+6.4
7 St. Louis Billikens65183%70.361.2+9.2
8 Loyola Chicago75271%69.360.0+9.3
9 Rhode Island64267%76.372.7+3.7
10 VCU Rams85362%68.861.6+7.1
11 George Washington74357%68.969.7-0.9
12 Davidson63350%68.565.3+3.2
13 Fordham82625%63.063.8-0.8
14 Saint Josephs Hawks71614%68.382.1-13.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Colorado32341278
Dayton36301076
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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