The NCAA matchup on 12 November 2026 pits Bradley, the model favourite, against Coppin State, who are expected to struggle as the underdog; the Pythia model projects a 59% chance for Bradley and a 41% chance for Coppin State, with a 72-69 projected score and a total of 140.5 points, and Bradley is given a -8.0 line with an 18% chance to cover while the over on 135.5 points has a 61% probability; the game carries a 5% overtime probability. Coppin State has gone 1-2 so far, scoring 65.0 points per game and allowing 69.7, while Bradley has the same record but averages 60.7 points and concedes 55.3; Coppin State's sole home game was a 90-53 win over Cheyney Wolves, their last five games were 1-4, and their recent results include a 90-53 home win, a 51-68 loss to George Mason and a 54-88 loss to Virginia Tech; Bradley's last five were 2-3, with a 45-62 loss to Davidson, a 52-63 loss to Pacific and an 85-41 win over Monmouth. The most recent head-to-head encounter is not recorded in the data. The projected outcome suggests Bradley's defence will hold Coppin State to a lower score, but the game could still swing on a few key possessions.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Coppin State winLost
40.9%fair 2.44
Best odds6.75
Implied14.3%
Edge+26.6pp
Bradley winWon
59.1%fair 1.69
Best odds1.22
Implied85.7%
Edge-26.6pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Coppin State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 128Actual: Under 128
Over 128
77.7%
@ 1.40+11.7pp
Under 128
22.3%
@ 2.72-11.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.72
Over/Under 133 · main lineActual: Under 133
Over 133
67.3%
@ 1.91+17.3pp
Under 133
32.7%
@ 1.95-17.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.90
SBO
1.88
Bet365
1.80
Under
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathon Be
1.81
SBO
1.81
Over/Under 138Actual: Under 138
Over 138
55.4%
@ 2.55+11.9pp
Under 138
44.6%
@ 1.68-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Pinnacle
2.18
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathon Be
1.63
Bet365
1.47
📊 3. Team Totals
Coppin State total 59.5Actual: Coppin State under 59.5
Over 59.5
no forecast
@ 1.05
Under 59.5
no forecast
@ 8.25
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.05
Under
Bet365
8.25
Coppin State total 63.5 · main lineActual: Coppin State under 63.5
Over 63.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 63.5
no forecast
@ 5.50
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
4.75
BetVictor
1.85
Coppin State total 67.5Actual: Coppin State under 67.5
Over 67.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
Under 67.5
no forecast
@ 3.25
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.25
Bet365
3.10
Betano
2.92
Bradley total 68Actual: Bradley under 68
Over 68
63.9%
Under 68
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bradley total 72 · main lineActual: Bradley under 72
Over 72
48.0%
@ 1.85-2.0pp
Under 72
52.0%
@ 1.85+2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Bradley total 76Actual: Bradley under 76
Over 76
32.4%
Under 76
67.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Coppin State -11.5Actual: Bradley +11.5
COPP -11.5
11.4%
@ 2.09-34.5pp
BRAD +11.5
88.6%
@ 1.80+34.5pp
Best 5 market prices
COPP
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.00
Betano
1.98
SBO
1.96
Marathon Be
1.95
BRAD
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Be
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
Spread Coppin State -8.5 · main lineActual: Bradley +8.5
COPP -8.5
17.1%
@ 2.45-29.5pp
BRAD +8.5
82.9%
@ 1.85+29.5pp
Best 5 market prices
COPP
Betano
2.45
Bet365
2.40
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Be
1.90
BetVictor
1.88
BRAD
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathon Be
1.67
Bet365
1.52
Spread Coppin State -5.5Actual: Bradley +5.5
COPP -5.5
24.8%
@ 3.25-3.6pp
BRAD +5.5
75.2%
@ 1.30+3.6pp
Best 5 market prices
COPP
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
BRAD
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
Coppin StateBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Coppin StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Delaware State
#353
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H07/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A14/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
L
22-28
22
28
-6
A16/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H21/02
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
L
29-42
29
42
-13
H28/02
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
29-46
29
46
-17
A03/03
NCAA
Morgan State
#244
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A06/03
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#48
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A04/11
NCAA
George Mason
#65
L
23-46
23
46
-23
A07/11
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#441
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H09/11
NCAA
64.0Avg total
29.5Scored
34.5Allowed
1st half
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the half
Over 62.5
Last 30 (30)
30.6
37.2
67.7
-6.6
27%
63%
Last 30 at home (10)
34.7
31.1
65.8
+3.6
50%
60%
Last 30 away (20)
28.5
40.2
68.7
-11.7
15%
65%
Last 10 (10)
29.5
34.5
64.0
-5.0
30%
60%
Last 5 (5)
31.6
38.8
70.4
-7.2
20%
100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)
29.9
39.0
68.9
-9.2
24%
68%
vs Similar (3)
23.0
31.0
54.0
-8.0
0%
0%
vs Weaker (2)
50.5
23.0
73.5
+27.5
100%
100%
This opponent (Bradley) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Bradley +22.5
97.9%
5.00
Bet365
5.00
-
-
-
-
+79.4pp
Won
Bradley +20.5
97.1%
4.25
Bet365
4.25
-
-
-
-
+75.1pp
Won
Bradley +20
97.1%
4.20
Bet365
4.20
-
-
-
-
+74.9pp
Won
Bradley +19
96.6%
3.70
Bet365
3.70
-
-
-
-
+71.3pp
Won
Bradley +19.5
96.6%
3.55
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.35
-
-
-
+70.5pp
Won
Bradley +18
96.0%
3.30
Bet365
3.30
-
-
-
-
+67.9pp
Won
Bradley +18.5
96.0%
3.20
Bet365
3.35
Betano
3.05
-
-
-
+67.1pp
Won
Bradley +17
95.3%
3.00
Bet365
3.00
-
-
-
-
+64.3pp
Won
Coppin State +9.5
72.7%
11.00
Bet365
11.00
-
-
-
-
+64.2pp
Won
Bradley +17.5
95.3%
2.92
Bet365
3.05
Betano
2.80
-
-
-
+63.6pp
Won
Bradley +16
94.5%
2.70
Bet365
2.70
-
-
-
-
+60.2pp
Won
Bradley +16.5
94.6%
2.66
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.57
-
-
-
+59.7pp
Won
Bradley +15
93.6%
2.50
Bet365
2.50
-
-
-
-
+56.1pp
Won
Bradley +15.5
93.7%
2.45
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.35
-
-
-
+55.7pp
Won
Bradley +14.5
92.6%
2.30
Pinnacle
2.43
Bet365
2.30
Betano
2.18
-
-
+53.2pp
Won
Bradley +14
92.5%
2.22
Bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
2.22
-
-
-
+49.5pp
Won
Bradley +13.5
91.5%
2.11
Pinnacle
2.13
Bet365
2.12
Betano
2.07
-
-
+46.5pp
Won
Bradley +13
91.3%
2.01
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathon Bet
1.94
-
-
+44.3pp
Won
Bradley over 65.5
72.2%
3.16
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.20
Betano
2.87
-
-
+43.3pp
Lost
Bradley +12.5
90.1%
1.91
Bet365
1.95
Pinnacle
1.94
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.88
+40.9pp
Won
Bradley over 64.5
75.4%
2.61
1xBet
2.62
Betano
2.60
-
-
-
+40.2pp
Lost
Bradley over 63.5
78.3%
2.26
Bet365
2.65
1xBet
2.50
Betano
2.35
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87
+39.9pp
Lost
Bradley +12
90.0%
1.84
Bet365
1.86
Pinnacle
1.86
Marathon Bet
1.82
SBO
1.81
-
+38.3pp
Won
Bradley over 61.5
83.6%
1.91
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.00
Marathon Bet
1.85
WilliamHill
1.85
Bet365
1.80
+38.2pp
Lost
Bradley over 60
87.7%
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
-
-
-
-
+37.7pp
Lost
Bradley over 60.5
85.9%
1.86
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathon Bet
1.87
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
+37.4pp
Lost
Bradley over 61
85.6%
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88
-
-
-
-
+36.4pp
Lost
Bradley over 59.5
88.0%
1.77
Pinnacle
1.83
Betano
1.70
-
-
-
+36.4pp
Lost
Bradley over 62.5
81.1%
2.01
1xBet
2.25
Betano
2.12
Pinnacle
2.08
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Bet
1.87
+35.8pp
Lost
Bradley +11.5
88.6%
1.77
Betano
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathon Bet
1.76
BetVictor
1.75
+34.5pp
Won
Bradley over 62
83.2%
1.87
Marathon Bet
1.87
-
-
-
-
+33.7pp
Lost
Bradley +11
88.4%
1.75
SBO
1.81
Bet365
1.74
Marathon Bet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
-
+32.0pp
Won
Bradley over 63
80.6%
1.88
Marathon Bet
1.88
-
-
-
-
+31.4pp
Lost
Bradley +9
84.7%
1.67
SBO
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.54
-
-
+30.8pp
Won
Bradley +8
82.5%
1.67
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.45
-
-
+30.1pp
Won
Bradley +8.5
82.9%
1.67
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.52
+29.5pp
Won
Bradley over 58.5
89.8%
1.47
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Bet365
1.34
-
-
+29.0pp
Lost
Bradley over 57.5
91.5%
1.48
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.44
-
-
+29.0pp
Lost
Bradley +10.5
86.9%
1.71
BetVictor
1.80
SBO
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.68
Bet365
1.68
+28.5pp
Won
Bradley +10
86.7%
1.70
SBO
1.78
Marathon Bet
1.77
Bet365
1.64
Pinnacle
1.59
-
+26.4pp
Won
Bradley over 56.5
92.9%
1.36
1xBet
1.44
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.28
-
-
+26.4pp
Lost
Bradley +9.5
85.0%
1.69
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.78
BetVictor
1.75
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.60
+24.4pp
Won
Bradley over 55.5
94.1%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
+24.1pp
Won
Bradley +7.5
80.6%
1.61
BetVictor
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Marathon Bet
1.71
Bet365
1.43
Betano
1.40
+21.3pp
Won
Bradley over 53.5
96.1%
1.23
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
+20.3pp
Won
Bradley over 54.5
95.2%
1.23
1xBet
1.29
Bet365
1.18
-
-
-
+19.9pp
Won
Over 131
71.7%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.72
Bet365
1.62
-
-
+16.6pp
Lost
Over 131.5
70.2%
1.72
Marathon Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
WilliamHill
1.73
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.66
+16.3pp
Lost
Coppin State under 74.5
70.7%
1.63
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.52
-
-
+15.7pp
Won
Bradley over 51.5
97.4%
1.13
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
+15.2pp
Won
Over 130
73.8%
1.59
Marathon Bet
1.63
Bet365
1.55
-
-
-
+14.1pp
Lost
Over 130.5
72.3%
1.62
Marathon Bet
1.68
Betano
1.60
Bet365
1.57
-
-
+14.0pp
Lost
Bradley over 52.5
96.8%
1.12
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
+13.9pp
Won
Bradley +7
80.0%
1.38
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
-
+13.1pp
Won
Over 129.5
74.3%
1.52
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.50
-
-
-
+13.0pp
Lost
Over 128.5
76.3%
1.46
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
-
-
-
+12.6pp
Lost
Coppin State under 76.5
76.9%
1.41
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Bet365
1.35
-
-
+12.4pp
Won
Over 129
75.8%
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
-
+12.4pp
Lost
Over 127.5
78.1%
1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+12.1pp
Lost
Coppin State under 77.5
79.7%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Won
Over 128
77.7%
1.40
Bet365
1.40
-
-
-
-
+11.7pp
Lost
Over 127
79.5%
1.36
Bet365
1.36
-
-
-
-
+11.5pp
Lost
Coppin State under 75.5
73.9%
1.51
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+11.4pp
Won
Over 125.5
81.6%
1.31
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
+11.4pp
Lost
Over 126.5
79.9%
1.35
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+11.1pp
Lost
Over 126
81.3%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+10.3pp
Lost
Bradley +6.5
78.0%
1.35
Bet365
1.36
Betano
1.34
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Won
Coppin State under 79.5
84.6%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Coppin State under 83.5
91.9%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Coppin State under 78.5
82.3%
1.26
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.23
-
-
+8.6pp
Won
Over 124.5
83.2%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Lost
Coppin State under 81.5
88.7%
1.14
Bet365
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Bradley +6
77.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.32
-
-
-
-
+6.9pp
Won
Coppin State under 80.5
86.8%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
+6.3pp
Won
Coppin State under 82.5
90.4%
1.11
1xBet
1.12
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Coppin State under 87.5
96.2%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.7pp
Won
Coppin State under 85.5
94.3%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+5.6pp
Won
Coppin State under 88.5
96.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.4pp
Won
Coppin State under 89.5
97.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.2pp
Won
Coppin State under 84.5
93.2%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Coppin State under 86.5
95.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.9pp
Won
Coppin State under 91.5
98.4%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.7pp
Won
Coppin State under 90.5
98.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Bradley +5.5
75.2%
1.29
Bet365
1.30
Betano
1.29
-
-
-
+3.6pp
Won
Overtime: no
94.7%
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2pp
Won
Bradley +5
74.4%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
+0.6pp
Won
Bradley +4.5
72.1%
1.26
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Bradley +4
71.1%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
Under 160.5
88.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-4.2pp
Won
Under 159.5
87.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-5.3pp
Won
Under 155.5
82.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.6pp
Won
Under 154.5
80.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-9.2pp
Won
Under 150.5
73.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-12.3pp
Won
Bradley under 80.5
81.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-12.6pp
Won
Under 149.5
71.3%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-14.3pp
Won
Bradley under 78.5
75.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-16.2pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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