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Crailsheim Merlins vs Dresden Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 23 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-77
19-9 14-21 18-33 27-14
Position#3
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game84.1
vs
Position#11
Record6-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game85.3
GermanyPro ARound 14· Arena Hohenlohe
Other2024-25
Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Dresden
23 Dec 2024
CME78
DRES77
22 Oct 2016
CME97
DRES71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dresden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim MerlinsGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#10
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A19/10
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H26/10
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
78-80
78
80
-2
H02/11
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
100-66
100
66
+34
A08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A10/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
87-94
87
94
-7
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
102-114
102
114
-12
H27/11
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
87-89
87
89
-2
A01/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H07/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
99-77
99
77
+22
A16/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
14-35
26-19
22-23
16-20
26-13
20-14
18-15
21-23
24-16
14-21
19-20
30-15
22-19
22-17
26-15
24-24
16-22
17-11
20-27
27-19
17-24
17-23
26-28
18-27
25-35
28-25
31-27
15-17
22-23
26-22
24-27
25-18
24-12
26-26
20-13
28-15
20-19
29-21
22-22
173.4Avg total
89.6Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)90.884.1174.8+6.754%
Season at home (6)87.781.0168.7+6.750%
Season away (7)93.486.7180.1+6.757%
Last 10 (10)89.683.8173.4+5.840%
Last 5 (5)94.088.6182.6+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.490.7174.1-7.329%
vs Similar (5)90.693.4184.0-2.820%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)89.380.0169.3+9.360%
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#5
L
72-98
72
98
-26
A12/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H20/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
76-86
76
86
-10
A26/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
W
72-71
72
71
+1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
100-97
100
97
+3
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
92-75
92
75
+17
H15/12
Pro A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
15-34
18-18
20-26
18-21
15-12
18-20
16-18
21-21
16-23
30-21
9-21
23-27
19-22
24-19
17-28
16-16
16-17
16-22
24-16
27-21
22-19
22-20
18-22
13-22
19-22
23-24
13-29
30-23
33-31
18-21
19-22
25-22
25-10
30-22
22-20
20-16
25-26
21-16
26-17
166.8Avg total
82.1Scored
84.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.885.3168.2-2.546%
Season at home (7)87.683.0170.6+4.657%
Season away (6)77.388.0165.3-10.733%
Last 10 (10)82.184.7166.8-2.650%
Last 5 (5)90.285.0175.2+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.688.6169.2-8.040%
vs Similar (11)82.882.5165.4+0.336%
vs Weaker (14)89.382.6171.9+6.757%
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -3.5-3.5
Crailsheim MerlinsDresden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Munster
#10
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A19/10
Pro A
Artland
#15
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H26/10
Pro A
Giessen
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H02/11
Pro A
Dusseldorf
#16
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A08/11
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A10/11
Pro A
Bochum
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H16/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
L
43-62
43
62
-19
H27/11
Pro A
Jena
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A01/12
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H07/12
Pro A
Koblenz
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
A16/12
Pro A
86.5Avg total
44.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.344.186.4-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.342.886.1+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)41.145.686.7-4.629%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.286.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)44.241.886.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)39.644.984.5-5.221%-
vs Similar (5)42.851.294.0-8.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.340.085.3+5.370%-
This opponent (Dresden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DresdenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bremerhaven
#5
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A12/10
Pro A
Tubingen
#7
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H20/10
Pro A
Kirchheim
#6
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A26/10
Pro A
Bochum
#9
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H02/11
Pro A
Bayreuth
#13
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A08/11
Pro A
Trier
#2
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H10/11
Pro A
Giessen
#4
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/11
Pro A
Vechta 2
#18
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A30/11
Pro A
Munster
#10
W
50-32
50
32
+18
H07/12
Pro A
Phoenix Hagen
#8
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/12
Pro A
84.2Avg total
41.7Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.841.084.8+2.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.240.886.0+4.460%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.283.5+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.584.2-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)47.842.490.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)39.646.085.6-6.440%-
vs Similar (11)42.142.084.1+0.127%-
vs Weaker (14)46.638.485.0+8.179%-
This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Crailsheim Merlinstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crailsheim Merlins: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.4
58.3%
-40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.69.6
32.4%
-28.8
🏀 Free throws18.414.3
77.7%
-14.3
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dresdentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dresden: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.0 pts a game · 9% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
-38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.013.0
36.1%
-39.0
🏀 Free throws9.08.0
88.9%
-8.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Crailsheim Merlins
WWLLLLWLWL
Dresden
WWWLWWLLLL
#3
League position
#11
-5.5
Net rating
-1.2
106.6
Offensive rating
102.7
112.1
Defensive rating
103.9
53.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
19.0%
Turnover %
19.1%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
11.8%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.13
32.4%
3-point %
36.1%
58.7%
Assist %
75.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Crailsheim Merlins   ■ Dresden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Crailsheim Merlins wins
0
Dresden wins
DateGameScore
19/03/17Dresden v Crailsheim Merlins74-104
22/10/16Crailsheim Merlins v Dresden97-71
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/24AKoblenz99-77
07/12/24HVechta 295-69
01/12/24AJena87-89
27/11/24HTrier102-114
16/11/24HBochum87-94
10/11/24APhoenix Hagen77-84
08/11/24ADusseldorf100-66
02/11/24HGiessen78-80
26/10/24HArtland80-62
19/10/24AMunster91-103
Dresdenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HPhoenix Hagen92-75
07/12/24HMunster102-74
30/11/24AVechta 2100-97
16/11/24AGiessen68-97
10/11/24HTrier89-82
08/11/24ABayreuth72-71
02/11/24HBochum83-96
26/10/24AKirchheim76-86
20/10/24HTubingen67-71
12/10/24ABremerhaven72-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeWLLLW50%
AwayLWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %54%50%57%
Points / game90.887.793.4
Allowed / game84.181.086.7
Point differential+6.7+6.7+6.7
Avg total174.8168.7180.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dresden
Pro A 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW46%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game82.887.677.3
Allowed / game85.383.088.0
Point differential-2.5+4.6-10.7
Avg total168.2170.6165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jena1412286%87.974.7+13.2
2 Bochum1411379%85.177.9+7.3
3 Trier1410471%90.178.6+11.5
4 Tubingen1410471%79.977.9+2.1
5 Giessen149564%85.576.6+8.9
6 Bremerhaven149564%84.978.1+6.7
7 Munster149564%87.681.6+5.9
8 Phoenix Hagen149564%83.779.4+4.3
9 Kirchheim149564%80.478.1+2.4
10 Crailsheim Merlins137654%90.884.1+6.7
11 Dresden136746%82.885.3-2.5
12 Koblenz145936%73.684.1-10.6
13 PS Karlsruhe1441029%74.579.5-5.0
14 Artland1441029%81.186.8-5.7
15 Bayreuth1441029%85.091.4-6.4
16 Nurnberger1431121%73.381.0-7.7
17 Dusseldorf1431121%74.786.0-11.3
18 Vechta 2141137%76.495.8-19.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Crailsheim Merlins1914182778
Dresden921331477
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