Crailsheim Merlins vs Essen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Nov 2013

Tip-off: 19:00

Final 81-95

21-20 13-25 22-21 25-29

Position#2

Record7-3

FormWWWWL

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game74.7

Crailsheim Merlins

Essen 🏆

Position#9

Record4-6

FormLWLLW

Points / game72.2

Allowed / game73.2

Pro ARound 11

Other2013-14

Meetings · Crailsheim Merlins v Essen

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Essen winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Crailsheim Merlins Germany

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

#12

80-75

A28/09

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

100-85

100

+15

H03/10

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

83-48

+35

H12/10

Pro A

Giessen

56-71

-15

A16/10

Pro A

Gottingen

82-86

-4

A19/10

Pro A

Magdeburg

#15

84-69

+15

A27/10

Pro A

Gotha

83-67

+16

H01/11

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

83-70

+13

A03/11

Pro A

Nurnberger

112-84

112

+28

H09/11

Pro A

Jena

78-92

-14

A16/11

Pro A

20-14

15-18

28-21

17-22

25-20

29-22

20-16

26-27

23-6

25-14

19-12

16-16

17-21

14-15

10-25

15-10

21-15

21-22

22-22

18-27

–

20-14

12-24

25-13

26-16

19-15

9-17

29-12

26-26

39-28

23-14

20-20

30-22

10-29

22-20

20-23

26-20

158.8Avg total

84.1Scored

74.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	84.1	74.7	158.8	+9.4	70%
Season at home (4)	94.5	71.0	165.5	+23.5	100%
Season away (6)	77.2	77.2	154.3	+0.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.1	74.7	158.8	+9.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	88.0	76.4	164.4	+11.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	76.7	85.5	162.2	-8.8	17%
vs Similar (14)	81.6	80.2	161.8	+1.4	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	88.4	74.3	162.7	+14.1	90%

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Essen

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

88-95

-7

A28/09

Pro A

Heidelberg

76-70

H03/10

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

59-61

-2

A05/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

73-74

-1

H12/10

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

70-66

A19/10

Pro A

Giessen

67-74

-7

H26/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

76-70

A01/11

Pro A

Gottingen

60-78

-18

H03/11

Pro A

Gotha

79-81

-2

A09/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

74-63

+11

H16/11

Pro A

17-27

20-22

19-25

32-21

16-21

14-14

24-17

22-18

14-15

15-19

16-12

28-22

21-19

13-16

11-17

21-14

20-16

12-15

17-21

18-17

12-22

18-17

19-18

15-19

17-15

20-18

24-18

20-25

16-17

14-11

10-25

23-24

26-20

20-17

10-20

15-10

11-16

25-11

23-26

145.4Avg total

72.2Scored

73.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	72.2	73.2	145.4	-1.0	40%
Season at home (5)	70.0	71.8	141.8	-1.8	40%
Season away (5)	74.4	74.6	149.0	-0.2	40%
Last 10 (10)	72.2	73.2	145.4	-1.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	71.2	73.2	144.4	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	68.0	74.0	142.0	-6.0	50%
vs Similar (5)	76.2	77.4	153.6	-1.2	20%
vs Weaker (3)	68.3	65.7	134.0	+2.7	67%

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Crailsheim MerlinsEssen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.2	19.4	40.6	+1.9	59%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	23.0	18.6	41.6	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (12)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.6	18.0	39.6	+3.6	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.7	21.8	41.4	-2.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	24.0	16.8	40.8	+7.2	88%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 away (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.4	38.1	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	19.0	37.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	18.0	23.0	41.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.2	20.0	40.2	+0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	16.7	16.0	32.7	+0.7	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	33%	-
Last 10 (9)	18.9	18.4	37.3	+0.4	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	19.4	36.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	19.6	20.6	40.2	-1.0	40%	-
vs Similar (9)	17.0	18.1	35.1	-1.1	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.0	18.9	37.9	+0.1	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	14.8	17.6	32.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.1	17.6	34.7	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.0	34.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	15.0	15.5	30.5	-0.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	17.0	15.3	32.3	+1.7	67%	-

Crailsheim MerlinsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Paderborn

#12

35-32

A28/09

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

54-42

+12

H03/10

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

48-20

+28

H12/10

Pro A

Giessen

31-36

-5

A16/10

Pro A

Gottingen

42-37

A19/10

Pro A

Gotha

32-38

-6

H01/11

Pro A

BG Eisbaeren

#16

28-32

-4

A03/11

Pro A

Nurnberger

62-42

+20

H09/11

Pro A

Jena

32-49

-17

A16/11

Pro A

76.9Avg total

40.4Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	39.5	38.3	77.9	+1.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	42.1	37.6	79.7	+4.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.4	38.9	76.3	-1.5	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	40.4	36.4	76.9	+4.0	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.6	78.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.6	60%	-
vs Similar (9)	36.7	39.9	76.6	-3.2	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	43.0	35.6	78.6	+7.4	62%	-

This opponent (Essen) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EssenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nurnberger

37-49

-12

A28/09

Pro A

Heidelberg

30-35

-5

H03/10

Pro A

Cuxhaven

#14

28-30

-2

A05/10

Pro A

Kirchheim

#11

49-41

H12/10

Pro A

Leverkusen

#13

41-30

+11

A19/10

Pro A

Giessen

30-39

-9

H26/10

Pro A

Paderborn

#12

32-34

-2

A01/11

Pro A

Gottingen

36-42

-6

H03/11

Pro A

Gotha

49-44

A09/11

Pro A

Chemnitz

#10

26-26

H16/11

Pro A

72.8Avg total

35.8Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	34.2	36.6	70.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (5)	37.4	37.4	74.8	+0.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.8	37.0	72.8	-1.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	37.0	71.6	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	33.0	38.5	71.5	-5.5	0%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.2	39.8	78.0	-1.6	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	33.7	31.3	65.0	+2.3	33%	-

This opponent (Crailsheim Merlins) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	55%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.9	19.4	40.3	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	21.4	18.2	39.7	+3.2	56%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	20.2	23.8	44.0	-3.6	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.3	18.8	40.1	+2.6	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.9	18.8	40.6	+3.1	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	18.8	14.4	33.2	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (5)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.6	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.6	34.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	14.8	34.2	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	19.0	14.0	33.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	17.2	36.2	+1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	15.7	17.3	33.0	-1.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	21.3	20.4	41.7	+0.9	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	22.9	19.9	42.8	+3.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	42%	-
Last 10 (9)	22.2	20.7	42.9	+1.6	44%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	22.2	47.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	15.0	19.6	34.6	-4.6	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	23.8	21.1	44.9	+2.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	22.5	20.1	42.6	+2.4	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	17.0	20.8	37.8	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (5)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	19.6	38.0	-1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.4	38.6	-4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	16.0	21.5	37.5	-5.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	19.0	17.0	36.0	+2.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	42.6	40.3	82.9	+2.3	64%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	43.8	39.3	83.1	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (12)	41.6	41.2	82.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (9)	43.7	38.9	82.6	+4.8	78%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	40.2	88.6	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)	35.2	43.4	78.6	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	45.1	39.9	85.0	+5.2	78%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	44.4	38.9	83.2	+5.5	75%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (10)	36.4	36.2	72.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	35.8	35.2	71.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 away (5)	37.0	37.2	74.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	36.2	72.6	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.6	36.2	72.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)	35.0	35.5	70.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.0	37.6	75.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	34.7	34.3	69.0	+0.3	33%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Crailsheim Merlins wins

Essen wins

No previous meetings.

Crailsheim Merlinslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/13	A	Jena	78-92
09/11/13	H	Nurnberger	112-84
03/11/13	A	BG Eisbaeren	83-70
01/11/13	H	Gotha	83-67
27/10/13	A	Magdeburg	84-69
19/10/13	A	Gottingen	82-86
16/10/13	A	Giessen	56-71
12/10/13	H	Cuxhaven	83-48
03/10/13	H	Leverkusen	100-85
28/09/13	A	Paderborn	80-75

Essenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/11/13	H	Chemnitz	74-63
09/11/13	A	Gotha	79-81
03/11/13	H	Gottingen	60-78
01/11/13	A	Paderborn	76-70
26/10/13	H	Giessen	67-74
19/10/13	A	Leverkusen	70-66
12/10/13	H	Kirchheim	73-74
05/10/13	A	Cuxhaven	59-61
03/10/13	H	Heidelberg	76-70
28/09/13	A	Nurnberger	88-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Crailsheim Merlins

Pro A 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWL	70%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	LLWWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	4	6
Win %	70%	100%	50%
Points / game	84.1	94.5	77.2
Allowed / game	74.7	71.0	77.2
Point differential	+9.4	+23.5	+0.0
Avg total	158.8	165.5	154.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	100%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Essen

Pro A 2013-14

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLW	40%
Home	WLLLW	40%
Away	LLWWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	40%	40%	40%
Points / game	72.2	70.0	74.4
Allowed / game	73.2	71.8	74.6
Point differential	-1.0	-1.8	-0.2
Avg total	145.4	141.8	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	10%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	25% (4)	0% (1)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Gottingen	10	9	1	90%	87.0	72.5	+14.5
2	Heidelberg	10	7	3	70%	90.1	77.1	+13.0
3	Jena	10	7	3	70%	95.8	83.3	+12.5
4	Crailsheim Merlins	10	7	3	70%	84.1	74.7	+9.4
5	Giessen	10	7	3	70%	76.5	72.3	+4.2
6	Chemnitz	10	7	3	70%	77.9	75.4	+2.5
7	Kirchheim	11	7	4	64%	84.7	81.8	+2.9
8	Ehingen	10	6	4	60%	81.1	76.4	+4.7
9	Nurnberger	11	6	5	55%	84.5	83.5	+1.0
10	Gotha	11	6	5	55%	74.8	75.6	-0.8
11	Essen	10	4	6	40%	72.2	73.2	-1.0
12	Paderborn	11	4	7	36%	78.5	86.6	-8.1
13	Magdeburg	11	2	9	18%	76.2	87.5	-11.3
14	Cuxhaven	11	2	9	18%	69.5	84.5	-15.0
15	BG Eisbaeren	10	1	9	10%	74.0	85.7	-11.7
16	Leverkusen	10	1	9	10%	70.4	84.1	-13.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Crailsheim Merlins	21	13	22	25	81
Essen	20	25	21	29	95

← all games of the day

Crailsheim Merlins vs Essen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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