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Cremona vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 19 Jun 2023
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 89-74
23-9 29-18 23-23 14-24
Position#3
Record29-10
FormWLWWW
Points / game79.1
Allowed / game71.4
Cremona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record32-8
FormWWWLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game69.1
ItalySerie A2Serie A2 - Final
Other2022-23
Meetings · Cremona v Forli
19 Jun 2023
CRE89
FORL74
23 Apr 2023
CRE82
FORL88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cremona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CremonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H07/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
83-67
83
67
+16
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
79-63
79
63
+16
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H28/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
87-75
87
75
+12
H30/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
92-93 OT
92
93
-1
A02/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A04/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A14/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
69-64
69
64
+5
A16/06
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
14-19
24-15
19-22
22-14
15-21
20-7
26-25
21-25
16-13
27-14
15-11
20-23
14-15
23-21
27-25
20-23
21-19
21-15
21-17
18-16
27-20
20-23
22-16
17-17
26-19
14-26
23-18
19-14
17-12
16-8
17-15
12-24
30-20
18-11
17-17
17-12
14-23
24-12
14-17
152.7Avg total
80.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)79.171.4150.5+7.874%
Season at home (19)82.972.9155.8+10.179%
Season away (20)75.569.9145.4+5.670%
Last 10 (10)80.372.4152.7+7.980%
Last 5 (5)78.870.6149.4+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)72.373.1145.4-0.844%
vs Weaker (21)81.571.3152.8+10.281%
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#6
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H30/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A07/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
68-62
68
62
+6
H14/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
73-60
73
60
+13
A22/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
H02/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H04/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
A07/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
L
64-69
64
69
-5
H16/06
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
23-19
19-11
16-14
20-21
16-9
25-19
12-15
18-17
14-19
22-9
14-17
25-10
14-21
22-17
12-12
21-17
23-19
16-29
29-11
15-19
22-16
23-19
12-16
14-16
27-12
21-14
21-16
25-21
20-11
11-23
27-10
24-12
20-30
11-18
17-17
12-17
23-14
12-24
17-14
141.8Avg total
75.6Scored
66.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)76.269.1145.2+7.180%
Season at home (21)75.567.7143.2+7.881%
Season away (19)76.970.6147.5+6.379%
Last 10 (10)75.666.2141.8+9.480%
Last 5 (5)74.867.8142.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)71.768.8140.5+2.960%
vs Weaker (20)80.569.7150.1+10.895%
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
CremonaForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CremonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
L
24-39
24
39
-15
H07/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H13/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H15/05
Serie A2
Agrigento
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A19/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H28/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H30/05
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A02/06
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A04/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A14/06
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A16/06
Serie A2
73.9Avg total
37.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.435.574.9+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.636.377.9+5.367%-
Last 30 away (15)37.134.771.9+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.973.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.474.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)36.237.473.7-1.233%-
vs Weaker (21)40.734.775.4+6.071%-
This opponent (Forli) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Treviglio
#6
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H30/04
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H14/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A22/05
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A24/05
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H02/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H04/06
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A07/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H14/06
Serie A2
Cremona
#3
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H16/06
Serie A2
73.4Avg total
39.7Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.435.775.2+3.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.835.375.1+4.575%-
Last 30 away (14)39.036.275.2+2.871%-
Last 10 (10)39.733.773.4+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)40.433.674.0+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.335.271.5+1.170%-
vs Weaker (20)41.036.077.0+5.075%-
This opponent (Cremona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cremonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cremona: 71.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.717.3
45.9%
50.9%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
34.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws14.811.2
75.7%
73.9%11.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Forlitheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cremona wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
16/06/23Forli v Cremona64-69
14/06/23Forli v Cremona72-77
23/04/23Cremona v Forli82-88
02/04/23Forli v Cremona60-64
Cremonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/23AForli69-64
14/06/23AForli77-72
04/06/23AFortitudo Bologna69-49
02/06/23AFortitudo Bologna92-93 OT
30/05/23HFortitudo Bologna87-75
28/05/23HFortitudo Bologna83-74
19/05/23AAgrigento97-91 OT
15/05/23HAgrigento79-63
13/05/23HAgrigento83-67
07/05/23HCento67-76
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/06/23HCremona64-69
14/06/23HCremona72-77
07/06/23AUdine83-65
04/06/23HUdine83-58
02/06/23HUdine72-70
24/05/23AChiusi89-76
22/05/23AChiusi73-60
14/05/23HChiusi68-62
07/05/23ACantu73-64
30/04/23HTreviglio79-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cremona
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW74%
HomeLWWWW79%
AwayWLWWW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391920
Win %74%79%70%
Points / game79.182.975.5
Allowed / game71.472.969.9
Point differential+7.8+10.1+5.6
Avg total150.5155.8145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%53%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)60% (5)50% (8)
Overtime %13%11%15%
Forli
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL80%
HomeWWWLL81%
AwayWWWWW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %80%81%79%
Points / game76.275.576.9
Allowed / game69.167.770.6
Point differential+7.1+7.8+6.3
Avg total145.2143.2147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%38%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)50% (8)67% (6)
Overtime %2%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Forli4032880%76.269.1+7.1
3 Cremona39291074%79.171.4+7.8
4 Cantu39281172%79.971.5+8.4
5 Pistoia45311469%75.569.7+5.8
6 Treviglio38261268%79.172.6+6.5
7 Basket Torino42281467%81.579.1+2.4
8 Udine40231757%76.975.8+1.0
9 Cento32171553%77.174.5+2.6
10 Urania Milano34181653%79.081.3-2.3
11 Agrigento33171652%80.879.6+1.2
12 Cividale37181949%73.073.1-0.1
13 Rimini36162044%74.776.7-2.0
14 Pallacanestro Nardo36162044%82.084.0-2.0
15 Assigeco Piacenza34151944%79.979.3+0.6
16 Fortitudo Bologna39172244%77.177.4-0.3
17 Mantova37162143%75.176.9-1.7
18 Stella Azzurra32131941%77.480.4-2.9
19 Latina30121840%74.777.1-2.4
20 San Severo38152339%72.676.8-4.3
21 Ferrara2391439%76.081.5-5.5
22 Monferrato36142239%76.778.1-1.4
23 Chiusi34132138%72.474.6-2.1
24 Trapani30111937%69.476.1-6.7
25 JuVi Cremona32112134%73.878.0-4.2
26 Chieti Basket38132534%72.476.2-3.8
27 Ravenna34112332%73.979.1-5.2
28 NPC Rieti3292328%68.274.6-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cremona2329231489
Forli918232474
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