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Croatia U18 vs Italy U18 Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Aug 2012
Tip-off: 18:15
Final 76-69
20-19 15-9 22-13 19-28
Position#1
Record5-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.7
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#10
Record3-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game69.5
EuropeEuroBasket U18EuroBasket U18 - Quarter-finals
Other2012
Meetings · Croatia U18 v Italy U18
30 Jul 2022
CROA64
ITAL73
17 Dec 2016
CROA78
ITAL84
02 Aug 2015
CROA57
ITAL73
30 Jul 2014
CROA81
ITAL65
24 Jul 2013
CROA92
ITAL78
17 Aug 2012
CROA76
ITAL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia U18 winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy U18 winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Croatia U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia U18
#3
L
59-84
59
84
-25
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
L
60-87
60
87
-27
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
L
61-80
61
80
-19
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A09/08
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#12
W
105-80
105
80
+25
H10/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H11/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#9
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H13/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#8
W
82-62
82
62
+20
A14/08
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#13
L
65-84
65
84
-19
H15/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
18-29
11-24
12-13
12-14
13-11
11-19
14-20
13-21
19-20
10-22
18-24
14-18
30-19
10-16
7-27
19-14
21-15
23-20
23-25
32-20
23-25
37-18
13-17
19-21
18-12
20-14
17-16
11-19
18-14
17-9
32-20
21-12
19-11
26-20
16-19
18-27
11-23
18-20
18-14
146.0Avg total
72.0Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)81.770.8152.5+10.883%
Season at home (4)80.572.2152.8+8.275%
Season away (2)84.068.0152.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)72.074.0146.0-2.050%
Last 5 (5)80.870.2151.0+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)59.570.5130.1-11.027%
vs Similar (5)76.467.6144.0+8.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.468.4147.8+11.088%
This opponent (Italy U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#13
W
85-83 OT
85
83
+2
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#5
W
70-52
70
52
+18
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#3
L
61-67
61
67
-6
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#6
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
86-63
86
63
+23
A09/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#11
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H10/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
L
71-81
71
81
-10
A11/08
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#5
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H13/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A14/08
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#14
W
76-51
76
51
+25
H15/08
EuroBasket U18
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
12-22
14-16
28-17
13-11
23-9
15-9
19-23
24-12
9-12
13-16
15-27
21-19
20-13
9-19
15-18
26-11
26-16
21-14
13-22
15-15
15-11
20-9
21-31
23-24
18-12
12-26
18-19
17-19
16-21
14-22
27-16
16-17
23-21
11-17
13-23
15-15
27-15
17-6
17-15
141.0Avg total
72.2Scored
68.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.569.5143.0+4.050%
Season at home (3)73.765.0138.7+8.767%
Season away (3)73.374.0147.3-0.733%
Last 10 (10)72.268.8141.0+3.450%
Last 5 (5)71.070.8141.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)66.480.1146.6-13.70%
vs Similar (8)78.575.5154.0+3.038%
vs Weaker (6)82.763.5146.2+19.2100%
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -2.5-2.5
Croatia U18Italy U18
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Croatia U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia U18
#3
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A27/07
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#1
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
France U18
#4
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H31/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#15
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A09/08
EuroBasket U18
Slovenia U18
#12
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H10/08
EuroBasket U18
Russia U18
#7
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H11/08
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#9
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H13/08
EuroBasket U18
Latvia U18
#8
W
40-23
40
23
+17
A14/08
EuroBasket U18
Bulgaria U18
#13
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H15/08
EuroBasket U18
73.0Avg total
36.7Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)35.234.269.5+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.437.572.8-2.146%-
Last 30 away (11)35.030.565.5+4.555%-
Last 10 (10)36.736.373.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.036.874.8+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.634.766.4-3.127%-
vs Similar (5)40.434.675.0+5.880%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)36.933.470.2+3.562%-
This opponent (Italy U18) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Italy U18Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latvia U18
#13
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H27/07
EuroBasket U18
Poland U18
#5
W
36-20
36
20
+16
A29/07
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#3
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H30/07
EuroBasket U18
Turkey U18
#6
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A31/07
EuroBasket U18
Denmark U18
#16
W
52-27
52
27
+25
A09/08
EuroBasket U18
Greece U18
#11
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H10/08
EuroBasket U18
Lithuania U18
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A11/08
EuroBasket U18
Serbia U18
#5
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H13/08
EuroBasket U18
Spain U18
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A14/08
EuroBasket U18
Ukraine U18
#14
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H15/08
EuroBasket U18
69.9Avg total
38.2Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)37.235.072.2+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (11)37.234.671.8+2.555%-
Last 30 away (12)37.235.472.6+1.858%-
Last 10 (10)38.231.769.9+6.580%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.071.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)34.037.971.9-3.944%-
vs Similar (8)36.835.171.9+1.650%-
vs Weaker (6)42.530.773.2+11.883%-
This opponent (Croatia U18) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Croatia U18 wins
0
Italy U18 wins
DateGameScore
27/07/10Italy U18 v Croatia U1861-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/08/12HBulgaria U1865-84
14/08/12ALatvia U1882-62
13/08/12HTurkey U1878-62
11/08/12HRussia U1874-63
10/08/12HSlovenia U18105-80
09/08/12APoland U1886-74
31/07/11HFrance U1861-80
30/07/11HLithuania U1860-87
29/07/11ASpain U1850-64
27/07/11ASerbia U1859-84
Italy U18last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/08/12HUkraine U1876-51
14/08/12ASpain U1863-78
13/08/12HSerbia U1874-78
11/08/12ALithuania U1871-81
10/08/12HGreece U1871-66
09/08/12ADenmark U1886-63
31/07/11ATurkey U1865-69
30/07/11HSerbia U1861-67
29/07/11APoland U1870-52
27/07/11HLatvia U1885-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia U18
EuroBasket U18 2012
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL83%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %83%75%100%
Points / game81.780.584.0
Allowed / game70.872.268.0
Point differential+10.8+8.2+16.0
Avg total152.5152.8152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+83%75%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy U18
EuroBasket U18 2012
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game73.573.773.3
Allowed / game69.565.074.0
Point differential+4.0+8.7-0.7
Avg total143.0138.7147.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Lithuania U18770100%76.062.3+13.7
2 Croatia U1865183%81.770.8+10.8
3 Spain U1875271%73.963.9+10.0
4 Serbia U1875271%74.968.6+6.3
5 France U1875271%67.362.4+4.9
6 Russia U1875271%64.463.3+1.1
7 Latvia U1874357%62.165.6-3.4
8 Italy U1863350%73.569.5+4.0
9 Bulgaria U1873443%75.774.0+1.7
10 Germany U1873443%64.364.7-0.4
11 Slovenia U1873443%73.677.3-3.7
12 Turkey U1862433%72.876.3-3.5
13 Greece U1872529%63.766.4-2.7
14 Ukraine U1861517%55.872.0-16.2
15 Denmark U1871614%61.773.1-11.4
16 Poland U187070%60.172.0-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia U182015221976
Italy U18199132869
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