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Croatia vs Estonia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 73-70
20-16 13-13 20-19 20-22
Position#12
Record5-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game69.0
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#34
Record2-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game82.8
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H25/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
64-70
64
70
-6
no box
H25/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
72-69
72
69
+3
71avg 78
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
84-53
84
53
+31
86avg 78
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
20-25
17-14
18-21
15-14
19-20
21-25
16-18
15-18
20-17
10-17
19-18
14-21
12-20
24-18
29-20
8-33
27-21
16-22
18-21
17-21
17-22
27-17
18-21
11-15
10-16
28-16
23-22
22-10
28-16
20-15
14-12
16-24
14-22
32-24
23-19
20-17
17-14
35-9
14-25
156.4Avg total
78.9Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.669.0145.6+7.662%
Season at home (4)73.268.0141.2+5.250%
Season away (4)80.070.0150.0+10.075%
Last 10 (10)78.977.5156.4+1.440%
Last 5 (5)81.271.4152.6+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.581.9156.3-7.420%
vs Similar (5)76.277.6153.8-1.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)74.863.0137.8+11.880%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstonia
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
W
69-66
69
66
+3
no box
A25/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
69-79
69
79
-10
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Poland
#53
W
75-71
75
71
+4
no box
H25/02
World Cup
Poland
#53
L
68-70
68
70
-2
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
57-88
57
88
-31
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
77-96
77
96
-19
no box
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
83-104
83
104
-21
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
68-76
68
76
-8
no box
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
62-83
62
83
-21
no box
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
L
73-74
73
74
-1
no box
H03/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
13-16
25-19
14-13
14-20
22-19
17-22
16-18
15-14
32-22
13-18
15-17
21-12
21-26
14-17
12-15
11-18
11-13
16-36
19-21
22-29
22-19
13-24
20-24
23-27
15-29
25-21
20-27
21-23
15-24
18-10
14-19
18-21
15-31
19-17
10-14
21-15
14-18
26-23
12-18
150.8Avg total
70.1Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.282.8157.0-8.525%
Season at home (4)73.582.8156.2-9.20%
Season away (4)75.082.8157.8-7.850%
Last 10 (10)70.180.7150.8-10.620%
Last 5 (5)72.686.6159.2-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)70.281.6151.7-11.426%
vs Similar (6)73.575.2148.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (1)69.075.0144.0-6.00%
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +5.3+5.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
CroatiaEstonia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A28/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H25/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
72.3Avg total
34.1Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.435.773.1+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.132.970.9+5.260%-
Last 30 away (15)36.738.675.3-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)34.138.272.3-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)34.435.469.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.439.575.9-3.133%-
vs Similar (5)38.439.678.0-1.240%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)38.428.166.5+10.390%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Germany
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/11
World Cup
Poland
#53
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H25/02
World Cup
Poland
#53
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A28/02
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
22-31
22
31
-9
H30/06
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A03/07
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A25/08
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H28/08
World Cup
Italy
#11
L
33-52
33
52
-19
A02/09
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H03/09
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
36.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.175.5-2.740%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.738.374.0-2.740%-
Last 30 away (15)37.239.977.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.341.477.7-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.247.284.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)35.739.775.4-4.130%-
vs Similar (6)39.237.376.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (1)38.035.073.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.0
59.2%
-42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.5
25.5%
-19.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
-16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estoniatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Estonia wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/22AGreat Britain86-65
02/09/22HGreece85-89
28/08/22HSwitzerland84-53
25/08/22APoland72-69
03/07/22HFinland79-81
30/06/22ASlovenia69-97
28/02/22ASweden105-98 OT
25/02/22HSweden64-70
28/11/21AFinland71-77
25/11/21HSlovenia74-76
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/09/22HUkraine73-74
02/09/22AItaly62-83
28/08/22HFinland68-76
25/08/22ASlovenia83-104
03/07/22AIsrael77-96
30/06/22HGermany57-88
28/02/22APoland68-70
25/02/22HPoland75-71
28/11/21HIsrael69-79
25/11/21AGermany69-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW62%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%50%75%
Points / game76.673.280.0
Allowed / game69.068.070.0
Point differential+7.6+5.2+10.0
Avg total145.6141.2150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%50%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estonia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLLLL0%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game74.273.575.0
Allowed / game82.882.882.8
Point differential-8.5-9.2-7.8
Avg total157.0156.2157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina97278%81.372.6+8.8
2 Israel97278%80.775.7+5.0
3 Belgium1310377%80.570.5+9.9
4 Serbia86275%87.075.1+11.9
5 Ukraine86275%77.868.5+9.2
6 Greece86275%79.178.4+0.8
7 Great Britain1611569%77.772.6+5.1
8 Spain96367%86.475.8+10.7
9 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
10 Slovenia96367%84.278.2+6.0
11 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
12 France96367%75.974.1+1.8
13 Croatia85362%76.669.0+7.6
14 Italy85362%84.479.2+5.1
15 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
16 Poland95456%81.478.0+3.4
17 Turkey95456%78.778.9-0.2
18 Montenegro95456%74.975.3-0.4
19 Georgia95456%81.885.4-3.7
20 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
21 Finland84450%78.076.5+1.5
22 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
25 Germany94544%81.981.4+0.4
26 Lithuania94544%84.283.8+0.4
27 Hungary94544%76.181.2-5.1
28 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
29 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
30 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
31 Netherlands83538%68.473.5-5.1
32 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
33 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
34 Estonia82625%74.282.8-8.5
35 Czech Republic82625%79.188.6-9.5
36 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
37 Bulgaria92722%75.888.9-13.1
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia2013202073
Estonia1613192270
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