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Estonia vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Feb 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 75-71
15-14 32-22 13-18 15-17
Position#55
Record1-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game69.0
Allowed / game72.5
Estonia 🏆
vs
Position#53
Record0-2
FormWLLLL
Points / game65.0
Allowed / game70.5
EuropeWorld CupRound 3
Other2023
Meetings · Estonia v Poland
24 Nov 2024
ESTO86
POLA88
25 Feb 2022
ESTO75
POLA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#18
W
71-70
71
70
+1
H21/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A24/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
81-72
81
72
+9
A20/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
L
56-84
56
84
-28
H28/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
105-101 OT
105
101
+4
A19/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
L
52-75
52
75
-23
A21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A25/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-16
17-18
18-20
22-16
21-27
27-15
12-20
24-15
20-18
25-5
15-23
21-26
18-18
29-23
14-18
20-28
14-18
13-23
15-21
14-22
20-21
34-23
28-22
12-28
15-17
12-16
18-20
7-22
27-18
22-20
20-25
15-23
17-18
13-16
25-19
14-13
14-20
22-19
17-22
16-18
154.9Avg total
75.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)69.072.5141.5-3.550%
Season at home (1)69.079.0148.0-10.00%
Season away (1)69.066.0135.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.279.7154.9-4.550%
Last 5 (5)75.881.4157.2-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.780.6151.3-9.938%
vs Similar (6)73.575.2148.7-1.750%
vs Weaker (2)72.562.5135.0+10.050%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
W
80-69
80
69
+11
A23/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#25
W
91-61
91
61
+30
A28/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A30/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H19/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#25
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H21/02
EuroBasket
Angola
#30
W
83-64
83
64
+19
H29/06
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
L
77-112
77
112
-35
A01/07
Olympic Games
Lithuania
#5
L
69-88
69
88
-19
A03/07
Olympic Games
Israel
#52
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A25/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
H28/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
23-16
27-20
15-14
24-7
21-17
26-23
20-14
18-16
14-25
20-21
20-16
27-26
16-17
22-27
23-19
34-26
16-21
25-16
13-18
24-19
19-12
19-14
21-19
26-29
20-34
14-20
17-29
19-23
26-23
6-16
18-26
21-12
6-19
12-18
22-20
13-16
17-24
21-21
18-11
156.1Avg total
77.8Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)65.070.5135.5-5.50%
Season at home (1)69.072.0141.0-3.00%
Season away (1)61.069.0130.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)77.878.3156.1-0.540%
Last 5 (5)71.881.0152.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.683.1157.7-8.527%
vs Similar (8)84.273.9158.1+10.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.966.1146.0+13.786%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -4.6-4.6Q4: +0.1+0.1
EstoniaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Serbia
#18
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H21/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A24/02
World Cup
North Macedonia
#15
W
45-23
45
23
+22
A20/02
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H23/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
L
27-41
27
41
-14
H28/11
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A19/02
EuroBasket
Russia
#6
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H22/02
EuroBasket
Germany
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A25/11
World Cup
Israel
#52
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/11
World Cup
76.3Avg total
39.4Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (24)36.637.674.2-1.046%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.238.174.3-1.842%-
Last 30 away (12)37.037.274.2-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)39.436.976.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.676.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)35.438.473.8-3.131%-
vs Similar (6)39.237.376.5+1.867%-
vs Weaker (2)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A23/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#25
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A28/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#10
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A30/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/02
EuroBasket
Romania
#25
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H21/02
EuroBasket
Angola
#30
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H29/06
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#3
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A01/07
Olympic Games
Lithuania
#5
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A03/07
Olympic Games
Israel
#52
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A25/11
World Cup
Germany
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H28/11
World Cup
80.0Avg total
39.9Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.038.277.2+0.743%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.937.575.5+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)40.038.978.9+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.180.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)38.242.280.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.942.580.3-4.627%-
vs Similar (8)42.035.877.8+6.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.932.069.9+5.943%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia wins
0
Poland wins
No previous meetings.
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HIsrael69-79
25/11/21AGermany69-66
22/02/21HNorth Macedonia84-86
21/02/21ARussia52-75
19/02/21AItaly105-101 OT
28/11/20HRussia56-84
23/02/20HItaly81-87
20/02/20ANorth Macedonia81-72
24/02/19AGeorgia84-77
21/02/19HSerbia71-70
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/21HGermany69-72
25/11/21AIsrael61-69
03/07/21ALithuania69-88
01/07/21ASlovenia77-112
29/06/21HAngola83-64
21/02/21HRomania88-81
19/02/21HSpain88-89
30/11/20AIsrael72-78
28/11/20ARomania91-61
23/02/20ASpain80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
World Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game69.069.069.0
Allowed / game72.579.066.0
Point differential-3.5-10.0+3.0
Avg total141.5148.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
World Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game65.069.061.0
Allowed / game70.572.069.0
Point differential-5.5-3.0-8.0
Avg total135.5141.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New Zealand110100%101.046.0+55.0
2 Canada220100%114.075.0+39.0
3 Australia110100%98.061.0+37.0
4 Dominican Republic220100%93.560.5+33.0
5 Argentina220100%87.555.0+32.5
6 Brazil220100%79.054.0+25.0
7 China220100%92.568.0+24.5
8 Philippines110100%88.064.0+24.0
9 Spain330100%90.366.7+23.7
10 France330100%81.759.0+22.7
11 Venezuela220100%74.054.5+19.5
12 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
13 Belgium220100%78.063.0+15.0
14 Ivory Coast330100%76.363.0+13.3
15 South Sudan110100%68.056.0+12.0
16 Uruguay220100%82.572.0+10.5
17 D.R. Congo110100%66.056.0+10.0
18 Lithuania330100%80.370.7+9.7
19 Kazakhstan330100%79.371.3+8.0
20 Mexico220100%86.079.0+7.0
21 Montenegro76186%79.470.4+9.0
22 Latvia65183%90.776.5+14.2
23 Iceland139469%84.479.5+4.8
24 Lebanon32167%89.758.7+31.0
25 Sweden64267%90.071.5+18.5
26 Iran32167%83.767.7+16.0
27 Angola32167%69.754.7+15.0
28 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
29 Saudi Arabia32167%76.066.0+10.0
30 Nigeria32167%79.372.7+6.7
31 Bosnia & Herzegovina32167%86.381.0+5.3
32 Israel32167%71.767.0+4.7
33 Mali32167%70.065.3+4.7
34 Jordan32167%68.765.3+3.3
35 Finland32167%75.073.0+2.0
36 Germany32167%69.768.3+1.3
37 Greece32167%72.772.0+0.7
38 Georgia32167%80.080.7-0.7
39 Slovenia32167%82.083.0-1.0
40 Portugal138562%73.071.6+1.4
41 Puerto Rico21150%77.575.0+2.5
42 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
43 Serbia21150%85.086.5-1.5
44 Estonia21150%69.072.5-3.5
45 Great Britain21150%72.576.5-4.0
46 Slovakia125742%71.473.8-2.4
47 Turkey31233%75.074.3+0.7
48 Cape Verde31233%70.370.7-0.3
49 Ukraine31233%78.379.0-0.7
50 Syria31233%75.076.3-1.3
51 Italy31233%86.090.7-4.7
52 Bulgaria31233%74.381.3-7.0
53 Guinea31233%68.075.3-7.3
54 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
55 Uganda31233%70.781.7-11.0
56 Hungary31233%67.378.7-11.3
57 North Macedonia72529%66.675.1-8.6
58 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
59 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
60 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
61 Croatia2020%72.576.5-4.0
62 Netherlands3030%73.078.0-5.0
63 Poland2020%65.070.5-5.5
64 Czech Republic3030%75.383.3-8.0
65 Cuba2020%66.075.5-9.5
66 Kenya1010%56.066.0-10.0
67 Colombia2020%72.082.5-10.5
68 Rwanda1010%56.068.0-12.0
69 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
70 Panama2020%54.574.0-19.5
71 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
72 Central African Republic3030%61.082.0-21.0
73 Bahrain3030%64.787.3-22.7
74 Japan2020%68.092.5-24.5
75 Chile2020%54.079.0-25.0
76 Paraguay2020%55.087.5-32.5
77 United States Virgin Islands2020%60.593.5-33.0
78 Chinese Taipei1010%61.098.0-37.0
79 Bahamas2020%75.0114.0-39.0
80 India2020%55.094.5-39.5
81 Indonesia3030%56.0100.3-44.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 81 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia1532131575
Poland1422181771
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