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Croatia vs Greece Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-89
16-24 14-22 32-24 23-19
Position#12
Record4-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.3
vs
Greece 🏆
Position#2
Record4-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game76.8
EuropeEuroBasketRound 1
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Greece winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Tunisia
#25
W
75-70
75
70
+5
no box
H01/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
L
76-86
76
86
-10
no box
A03/07
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#24
L
74-76
74
76
-2
no box
H25/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
71-77
71
77
-6
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
64-70
64
70
-6
no box
H25/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
72-69
72
69
+3
71avg 78
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
84-53
84
53
+31
86avg 78
H28/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-11
22-17
14-29
19-13
23-19
22-24
18-13
13-30
19-16
20-25
17-14
18-21
15-14
19-20
21-25
16-18
15-18
20-17
10-17
19-18
14-21
12-20
24-18
29-20
8-33
27-21
16-22
18-21
17-21
17-22
27-17
18-21
11-15
10-16
28-16
23-22
22-10
28-16
20-15
14-12
154.6Avg total
76.9Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)73.766.3140.0+7.367%
Season at home (3)69.361.0130.3+8.367%
Season away (3)78.071.7149.7+6.367%
Last 10 (10)76.977.7154.6-0.840%
Last 5 (5)81.879.6161.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)74.281.3155.5-7.118%
vs Similar ◀ (4)74.074.8148.8-0.850%
vs Weaker (9)73.662.8136.3+10.878%
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGreece
Date
Competition
China
#29
W
105-80
105
80
+25
no box
A01/07
Olympic Games
Turkey
#10
W
81-63
81
63
+18
no box
A03/07
Olympic Games
Czech Republic
#11
L
72-97
72
97
-25
no box
A04/07
Olympic Games
Great Britain
#75
L
69-78
69
78
-9
no box
A25/11
World Cup
Belarus
#15
W
77-67
77
67
+10
no box
H28/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
72-71
72
71
+1
no box
H25/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
76-67
76
67
+9
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H30/06
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
94-100 OT
94
100
-6
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
85-68
85
68
+17
no box
H28/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-14
24-18
24-27
29-21
8-22
19-12
24-13
30-16
22-32
21-18
11-31
18-16
23-23
15-10
19-23
12-22
16-18
22-12
20-18
19-19
13-20
27-12
20-24
12-15
17-15
19-18
26-13
14-21
19-20
20-18
30-10
24-23
25-31
19-20
19-19
24-17
30-15
19-18
15-11
21-24
158.6Avg total
82.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)76.576.8153.3-0.367%
Season at home (3)69.374.7144.0-5.333%
Season away (3)83.779.0162.7+4.7100%
Last 10 (10)82.476.2158.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)84.075.4159.4+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.784.7167.3-2.050%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.474.1150.5+2.370%
vs Weaker (14)83.774.0157.7+9.786%
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -0.9-0.9Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +4.9+4.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.9+0.9
CroatiaGreece
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tunisia
#25
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H01/07
Olympic Games
Germany
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A03/07
Olympic Games
Slovenia
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H25/11
World Cup
Finland
#22
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A28/11
World Cup
Sweden
#33
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H25/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H28/08
EuroBasket
73.7Avg total
36.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.535.372.8+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.631.970.5+6.767%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.775.1-2.440%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.673.7-1.530%-
Last 5 (5)33.239.072.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.238.774.9-2.535%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)40.538.078.5+2.550%-
vs Weaker (9)38.627.866.3+10.889%-
This opponent (Greece) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GreeceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
China
#29
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A01/07
Olympic Games
Turkey
#10
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A03/07
Olympic Games
Czech Republic
#11
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A04/07
Olympic Games
Great Britain
#75
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A25/11
World Cup
Belarus
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/11
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H25/02
World Cup
Turkey
#50
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A28/02
World Cup
Great Britain
#75
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H30/06
World Cup
Serbia
#13
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A25/08
World Cup
Belgium
#35
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H28/08
World Cup
77.2Avg total
40.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.577.3+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.436.377.6+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)38.438.677.1-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.677.2+4.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.637.479.0+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)42.241.283.3+1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.036.475.4+2.660%-
vs Weaker (14)39.436.876.1+2.657%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.0
59.2%
-42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.5
25.5%
-19.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
-16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Greecetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Croatia wins
1
Greece wins
DateGameScore
08/07/16Greece v Croatia61-66
03/09/14Greece v Croatia76-65
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/22HSwitzerland84-53
25/08/22APoland72-69
03/07/22HFinland79-81
30/06/22ASlovenia69-97
28/02/22ASweden105-98 OT
25/02/22HSweden64-70
28/11/21AFinland71-77
25/11/21HSlovenia74-76
03/07/21AGermany76-86
01/07/21HTunisia75-70
Greecelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/08/22HBelgium85-68
25/08/22ASerbia94-100 OT
30/06/22HGreat Britain93-71
28/02/22ATurkey76-67
25/02/22HTurkey72-71
28/11/21HBelarus77-67
25/11/21AGreat Britain69-78
04/07/21ACzech Republic72-97
03/07/21ATurkey81-63
01/07/21AChina105-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL67%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game73.769.378.0
Allowed / game66.361.071.7
Point differential+7.3+8.3+6.3
Avg total140.0130.3149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Greece
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%33%100%
Points / game76.569.383.7
Allowed / game76.874.779.0
Point differential-0.3-5.3+4.7
Avg total153.3144.0162.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %33%0%67%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bosnia & Herzegovina76186%79.066.9+12.1
2 Israel76186%82.375.6+6.7
3 Belgium119282%81.269.8+11.4
4 Great Britain1511473%78.571.7+6.8
5 Spain75271%87.976.4+11.4
6 Ukraine75271%78.367.9+10.4
7 Slovenia75271%80.374.1+6.1
8 Serbia64267%85.876.2+9.7
9 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
10 Croatia64267%73.766.3+7.3
11 Italy64267%85.281.2+4.0
12 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
13 Greece64267%76.576.8-0.3
14 Lithuania74357%82.681.1+1.4
15 France74357%75.474.3+1.1
16 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
17 Turkey74357%74.976.4-1.6
18 Georgia74357%83.485.1-1.7
19 Hungary74357%74.778.6-3.9
20 Poland63350%81.775.5+6.2
21 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
22 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Netherlands63350%67.369.0-1.7
25 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
26 Finland73443%76.479.0-2.6
27 Montenegro73443%72.475.3-2.9
28 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
29 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
30 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
31 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
32 Estonia62433%76.584.2-7.7
33 Czech Republic62433%80.288.2-8.0
34 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
35 Germany72529%76.677.7-1.1
36 Bulgaria72529%73.486.9-13.4
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia1614322385
Greece2422241989
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