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Germany vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Jul 2021
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 86-76
19-23 24-22 13-18 30-13
Position#12
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game71.5
Germany 🏆
vs
Position#17
Record1-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeOlympic GamesOlympic Games - Semi-finals
Other2020
Meetings · Germany v Croatia
01 Mar 2026
GERM91
CROA89
03 Jul 2021
GERM86
CROA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#14
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A24/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
L
74-80
74
80
-6
H27/11
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A29/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A22/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#16
W
95-62
95
62
+33
H18/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#32
W
102-75
102
75
+27
H19/06
Friendly International
Italy
#13
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H20/06
Friendly International
Mexico
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H29/06
Olympic Games
Russia
#20
W
69-67
69
67
+2
A01/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
17-23
22-16
12-25
24-18
15-20
16-21
19-21
22-25
19-17
18-19
15-25
21-28
24-19
23-19
13-17
22-24
10-21
22-17
21-20
27-17
24-16
28-13
16-16
29-19
26-14
26-19
21-23
22-18
20-28
29-12
20-21
19-22
21-20
22-25
20-9
15-17
17-18
18-18
19-14
158.7Avg total
81.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)75.571.5147.0+4.0100%
Season at home (1)82.076.0158.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)69.067.0136.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)81.677.1158.7+4.550%
Last 5 (5)87.871.8159.6+16.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.382.3156.7-8.033%
vs Similar (10)76.878.0154.8-1.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)86.871.5158.2+15.376%
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#22
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H27/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
W
87-72
87
72
+15
A29/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
L
57-65
57
65
-8
H20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
80-94
80
94
-14
H16/06
Friendly International
Slovenia
#8
L
88-97
88
97
-9
A18/06
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#31
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H23/06
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#31
W
72-66
72
66
+6
H24/06
Friendly International
Brazil
#4
L
67-94
67
94
-27
A30/06
Olympic Games
Tunisia
#25
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H01/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-7
21-17
12-19
22-19
22-16
26-15
20-22
19-19
19-11
16-16
13-22
9-16
21-21
19-21
25-20
13-22
21-20
19-26
18-30
22-18
15-26
37-24
18-27
18-20
22-21
20-10
14-16
18-12
22-18
24-9
10-17
16-22
20-25
14-20
21-26
12-23
20-11
22-17
14-29
19-13
152.0Avg total
75.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)71.082.0153.0-11.050%
Season at home (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
Season away (1)67.094.0161.0-27.00%
Last 10 (10)75.776.3152.0-0.650%
Last 5 (5)75.277.2152.4-2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)73.482.9156.3-9.58%
vs Similar (5)74.673.8148.4+0.860%
vs Weaker (11)76.265.3141.5+10.982%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +4.3+4.3Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: -1.6-1.6
GermanyCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Great Britain
#14
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A24/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/11
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/11
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H20/02
EuroBasket
Montenegro
#24
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A22/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#16
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H18/06
Friendly International
Tunisia
#32
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H19/06
Friendly International
Italy
#13
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H20/06
Friendly International
Mexico
#16
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H29/06
Olympic Games
Russia
#20
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A01/07
Olympic Games
81.7Avg total
41.6Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.837.877.6+2.043%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.738.780.3+3.056%-
Last 30 away (12)37.036.673.6+0.425%-
Last 10 (10)41.640.181.7+1.530%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.881.8+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)37.040.077.0-3.033%-
vs Similar (10)36.239.475.6-3.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)42.436.578.9+5.959%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turkey
#22
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H27/11
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A29/11
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H20/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H16/06
Friendly International
Slovenia
#8
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A18/06
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#31
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H23/06
Friendly International
Puerto Rico
#31
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H24/06
Friendly International
Brazil
#4
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/06
Olympic Games
Tunisia
#25
W
42-28
42
28
+14
H01/07
Olympic Games
77.5Avg total
42.4Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.375.9+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.333.672.9+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)39.939.078.9+0.960%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.177.5+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.279.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.340.879.1-2.546%-
vs Similar (5)40.238.879.0+1.440%-
vs Weaker (11)41.430.471.7+11.091%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Germany wins
0
Croatia wins
No previous meetings.
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/21ARussia69-67
29/06/21HMexico82-76
20/06/21HItaly91-79
19/06/21HTunisia102-75
18/06/21HCzech Republic95-62
22/02/21AMontenegro75-82
20/02/21HGreat Britain81-83
29/11/20AFrance74-86
27/11/20HMontenegro74-80
24/02/20AGreat Britain73-81
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/07/21HTunisia75-70
30/06/21ABrazil67-94
24/06/21HPuerto Rico72-66
23/06/21HPuerto Rico74-59
18/06/21ASlovenia88-97
16/06/21HSlovenia80-94
22/02/21ATurkey78-84
20/02/21HNetherlands57-65
29/11/20ASweden87-72
27/11/20HTurkey79-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Germany
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game75.582.069.0
Allowed / game71.576.067.0
Point differential+4.0+6.0+2.0
Avg total147.0158.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Croatia
Olympic Games 2020
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game71.075.067.0
Allowed / game82.070.094.0
Point differential-11.0+5.0-27.0
Avg total153.0145.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Slovenia330100%109.371.7+37.7
2 Brazil330100%93.066.0+27.0
3 Lithuania220100%86.061.0+25.0
4 Canada220100%103.085.0+18.0
5 Italy220100%84.571.0+13.5
6 Turkey220100%91.078.0+13.0
7 Serbia220100%88.576.0+12.5
8 Germany220100%75.571.5+4.0
9 Greece21150%98.088.5+9.5
10 Czech Republic21150%75.083.0-8.0
11 Poland21150%80.088.0-8.0
12 Croatia21150%71.082.0-11.0
13 Dominican Republic31233%76.380.0-3.7
14 Venezuela31233%76.384.7-8.3
15 Mexico31233%74.082.7-8.7
16 Russia2020%65.570.5-5.0
17 Uruguay2020%82.587.5-5.0
18 Puerto Rico1010%83.090.0-7.0
19 Tunisia2020%63.579.0-15.5
20 Philippines2020%71.588.5-17.0
21 South Korea2020%68.595.0-26.5
22 China2020%79.5107.0-27.5
23 Angola2020%66.0100.5-34.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Germany1924133086
Croatia2322181376
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