Croatia vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2017

Tip-off: 17:00

Final 64-80

23-15 9-20 15-25 17-20

Position#52

Record0-1

FormWLWLL

Points / game61.0

Allowed / game68.0

Croatia

Italy 🏆

Position#14

Record1-0

FormLLLWW

Points / game75.0

Allowed / game70.0

World Cup

Other2019

Meetings · Croatia v Italy

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Italy winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tunisia

#25

72-52

+20

H06/07

Olympic Games

Greece

66-61

A08/07

Olympic Games

Italy

84-78 OT

H09/07

Olympic Games

Spain

72-70

H07/08

Olympic Games

Argentina

82-90

-8

A10/08

Olympic Games

Brazil

#13

80-76

A11/08

Olympic Games

Nigeria

#19

76-90

-14

H14/08

Olympic Games

Lithuania

#12

90-81

A16/08

Olympic Games

Serbia

83-86

-3

H18/08

Olympic Games

Netherlands

#50

61-68

-7

A24/11

World Cup

12-12

17-12

22-12

21-16

31-13

13-21

8-15

14-12

19-12

20-22

15-18

16-18

13-21

19-17

15-16

25-16

22-22

18-24

14-27

28-17

19-17

22-14

18-19

21-26

28-21

11-22

17-27

20-20

13-21

34-20

28-14

15-26

19-20

19-12

14-34

31-20

13-18

18-15

17-17

13-18

151.8Avg total

76.6Scored

75.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	61.0	68.0	129.0	-7.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	61.0	68.0	129.0	-7.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.6	75.2	151.8	+1.4	60%
Last 5 (5)	78.0	80.2	158.2	-2.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	70.8	74.6	145.3	-3.8	33%
vs Similar (5)	80.0	82.2	162.2	-2.2	40%
vs Weaker (8)	82.0	72.2	154.2	+9.8	75%

This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bosnia & Herzegovina

73-62

+11

A28/08

Acropolis Tournament

Greece

65-79

-14

A29/08

Acropolis Tournament

Tunisia

#25

68-41

+27

A04/07

Olympic Games

Croatia

#10

67-60

H05/07

Olympic Games

Mexico

#17

79-54

+25

H08/07

Olympic Games

Croatia

#10

78-84 OT

-6

A09/07

Olympic Games

Serbia

65-73

-8

A23/08

Acropolis Tournament

Greece

70-73 OT

-3

A24/08

Acropolis Tournament

Georgia

73-65

A25/08

Acropolis Tournament

Romania

#58

75-70

H24/11

World Cup

18-14

17-15

19-26

19-7

17-24

13-22

17-13

18-20

19-12

13-15

22-2

14-12

21-23

12-12

21-12

13-13

19-13

19-15

20-13

21-13

12-19

22-20

18-15

18-16

24-22

14-18

18-19

9-14

16-20

15-13

14-17

19-14

26-17

15-14

17-24

15-10

26-15

16-13

17-15

16-27

137.4Avg total

71.3Scored

66.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	75.0	70.0	145.0	+5.0	100%
Season at home (1)	75.0	70.0	145.0	+5.0	100%
Season away	no games
Last 10 (10)	71.3	66.1	137.4	+5.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	72.2	73.0	145.2	-0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	70.0	79.7	149.7	-9.7	33%
vs Similar (3)	69.3	70.3	139.7	-1.0	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	77.0	63.1	140.1	+13.9	88%

This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CroatiaItaly

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.2	16.6	36.9	+3.6	59%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	20.3	15.4	35.7	+4.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	17.7	37.8	+2.5	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	17.7	36.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	19.4	37.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	44%	-
vs Similar (5)	20.4	16.4	36.8	+4.0	80%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.6	15.2	35.9	+5.4	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.9	16.9	36.8	+2.9	64%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	20.6	16.8	37.4	+3.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.4	17.0	36.4	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.9	37.7	+1.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.7	17.3	35.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	22.0	19.7	41.7	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	19.9	15.8	35.6	+4.1	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	17.5	18.3	35.8	-0.8	45%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.3	17.2	35.5	+1.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.8	19.2	36.0	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	16.6	37.4	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	15.0	17.8	32.8	-2.8	33%	-
vs Similar (5)	18.2	20.2	38.4	-2.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.2	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	15.6	17.6	33.2	-1.9	43%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	16.4	17.4	33.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	15.2	17.7	32.9	-2.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	15.7	31.3	-0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	15.6	32.0	+0.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.3	21.0	33.3	-8.7	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	14.7	15.0	29.7	-0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	17.2	17.2	34.5	+0.0	50%	-

CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tunisia

#25

29-24

H06/07

Olympic Games

Greece

44-34

+10

A08/07

Olympic Games

Italy

39-34

H09/07

Olympic Games

Spain

32-38

-6

H07/08

Olympic Games

Argentina

40-46

-6

A10/08

Olympic Games

Brazil

#13

41-31

+10

A11/08

Olympic Games

Nigeria

#19

39-43

-4

H14/08

Olympic Games

Lithuania

#12

47-41

A16/08

Olympic Games

Serbia

38-32

H18/08

Olympic Games

Netherlands

#50

31-33

-2

A24/11

World Cup

73.6Avg total

38.0Scored

35.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	37.7	34.9	72.6	+2.8	64%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	38.6	32.6	71.2	+6.0	70%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.0	36.8	73.8	+0.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.0	35.6	73.6	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	36.0	75.2	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.8	35.8	70.6	-1.0	56%	-
vs Similar (5)	38.6	36.6	75.2	+2.0	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.5	32.9	73.4	+7.6	75%	-

This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bosnia & Herzegovina

35-29

A28/08

Acropolis Tournament

Greece

30-46

-16

A29/08

Acropolis Tournament

Tunisia

#25

32-27

A04/07

Olympic Games

Croatia

#10

33-35

-2

H05/07

Olympic Games

Mexico

#17

38-28

+10

H08/07

Olympic Games

Croatia

#10

34-39

-5

A09/07

Olympic Games

Serbia

38-40

-2

A23/08

Acropolis Tournament

Greece

31-33

-2

A24/08

Acropolis Tournament

Georgia

41-31

+10

A25/08

Acropolis Tournament

Romania

#58

42-28

+14

H24/11

World Cup

69.0Avg total

35.4Scored

33.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	35.5	34.5	70.0	+1.0	43%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	37.0	34.2	71.2	+2.8	40%	-
Last 30 away (9)	34.7	34.7	69.3	+0.0	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	33.6	69.0	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	34.2	71.4	+3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	30.0	38.3	68.3	-8.3	0%	-
vs Similar (3)	36.7	34.7	71.3	+2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	37.1	33.0	70.1	+4.1	62%	-

This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	17.4	19.9	37.3	-2.5	36%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.8	19.9	36.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.2	41.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	14.0	20.0	34.0	-6.0	11%	-
vs Similar (5)	17.6	22.8	40.4	-5.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.1	17.9	39.0	+3.2	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	19.1	15.1	34.2	+3.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	18.6	14.2	32.8	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (9)	19.3	15.7	35.0	+3.7	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	15.6	33.9	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	17.0	33.3	-0.7	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	20.0	36.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	21.1	12.6	33.8	+8.5	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	20.7	20.0	40.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.5	20.6	41.1	-0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	20.4	17.9	38.3	+2.6	67%	-
vs Similar (5)	23.8	22.8	46.6	+1.0	40%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.1	20.6	39.8	-1.5	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	16.9	15.6	32.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	16.0	18.4	34.4	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 away (9)	17.3	14.0	31.3	+3.3	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	14.6	30.8	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.4	16.2	31.6	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	17.0	18.0	35.0	-1.0	33%	-
vs Similar (3)	14.3	12.7	27.0	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	17.8	15.8	33.5	+2.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (22)	38.1	39.9	78.0	-1.7	36%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	39.5	39.0	78.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.0	40.6	77.6	-3.6	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	38.8	76.0	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	44.2	83.0	-5.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)	34.4	37.9	72.3	-3.4	22%	-
vs Similar (5)	41.4	45.6	87.0	-4.2	20%	-
vs Weaker (8)	40.2	38.5	78.8	+1.8	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (14)	35.9	30.7	66.6	+5.2	71%	-
Last 30 at home (5)	34.6	32.6	67.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 away (9)	36.7	29.7	66.3	+7.0	78%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.5	30.2	64.7	+4.3	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.2	34.2	66.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.3	35.0	68.3	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar (3)	30.7	32.7	63.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)	38.9	28.4	67.2	+10.5	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Croatia wins

Italy wins

Date	Game	Score
09/07/16	Croatia v Italy	84-78 OT
05/07/16	Italy v Croatia	67-60

Croatialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/17	A	Netherlands	61-68
18/08/16	H	Serbia	83-86
16/08/16	A	Lithuania	90-81
14/08/16	H	Nigeria	76-90
11/08/16	A	Brazil	80-76
10/08/16	A	Argentina	82-90
07/08/16	H	Spain	72-70
09/07/16	H	Italy	84-78 OT
08/07/16	A	Greece	66-61
06/07/16	H	Tunisia	72-52

Italylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/11/17	H	Romania	75-70
25/08/17	A	Georgia	73-65
24/08/17	A	Greece	70-73 OT
23/08/17	A	Serbia	65-73
09/07/16	A	Croatia	78-84 OT
08/07/16	H	Mexico	79-54
05/07/16	H	Croatia	67-60
04/07/16	A	Tunisia	68-41
29/08/13	A	Greece	65-79
28/08/13	A	Bosnia & Herzegovina	73-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia

World Cup 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	61.0	-	61.0
Allowed / game	68.0	-	68.0
Point differential	-7.0	-	-7.0
Avg total	129.0	-	129.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Italy

World Cup 2019

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	W	100%
Home	W	100%
Away	-	-

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	1	-
Win %	100%	100%	-
Points / game	75.0	75.0	-
Allowed / game	70.0	70.0	-
Point differential	+5.0	+5.0	-
Avg total	145.0	145.0	-
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	-
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	-

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Tunisia	2	2	0	100%	98.5	48.0	+50.5
2	Australia	1	1	0	100%	104.0	66.0	+38.0
3	Lithuania	1	1	0	100%	99.0	61.0	+38.0
4	Jordan	1	1	0	100%	109.0	72.0	+37.0
5	Lebanon	1	1	0	100%	107.0	72.0	+35.0
6	Argentina	1	1	0	100%	96.0	63.0	+33.0
7	China	2	2	0	100%	94.0	62.5	+31.5
8	Canada	1	1	0	100%	93.0	69.0	+24.0
9	Cameroon	2	2	0	100%	90.5	69.0	+21.5
10	Serbia	1	1	0	100%	85.0	64.0	+21.0
11	Czech Republic	1	1	0	100%	89.0	69.0	+20.0
12	Israel	1	1	0	100%	88.0	68.0	+20.0
13	Venezuela	1	1	0	100%	85.0	71.0	+14.0
14	Brazil	1	1	0	100%	86.0	73.0	+13.0
15	Slovenia	1	1	0	100%	87.0	74.0	+13.0
16	Spain	1	1	0	100%	79.0	66.0	+13.0
17	Uruguay	1	1	0	100%	86.0	73.0	+13.0
18	Kazakhstan	1	1	0	100%	82.0	70.0	+12.0
19	France	1	1	0	100%	70.0	59.0	+11.0
20	Dominican Republic	1	1	0	100%	99.0	89.0	+10.0
21	Poland	1	1	0	100%	70.0	60.0	+10.0
22	Turkey	2	2	0	100%	76.0	66.5	+9.5
23	Germany	1	1	0	100%	79.0	70.0	+9.0
24	Iraq	1	1	0	100%	74.0	66.0	+8.0
25	Mexico	1	1	0	100%	72.0	66.0	+6.0
26	Philippines	1	1	0	100%	77.0	71.0	+6.0
27	Angola	2	2	0	100%	65.0	60.0	+5.0
28	Italy	1	1	0	100%	75.0	70.0	+5.0
29	Greece	1	1	0	100%	95.0	92.0	+3.0
30	Finland	1	1	0	100%	82.0	80.0	+2.0
31	Netherlands	5	4	1	80%	84.0	65.0	+19.0
32	Bulgaria	5	4	1	80%	83.0	71.2	+11.8
33	Bosnia & Herzegovina	7	5	2	71%	83.3	77.3	+6.0
34	Egypt	3	2	1	67%	65.3	64.0	+1.3
35	Austria	5	3	2	60%	78.0	69.8	+8.2
36	Estonia	5	3	2	60%	73.4	70.8	+2.6
37	New Zealand	2	1	1	50%	106.5	80.0	+26.5
38	Montenegro	2	1	1	50%	78.5	73.0	+5.5
39	Sweden	8	4	4	50%	78.1	76.6	+1.5
40	Ukraine	2	1	1	50%	72.0	71.5	+0.5
41	Latvia	2	1	1	50%	77.5	79.0	-1.5
42	Armenia	6	3	3	50%	78.3	80.3	-2.0
43	South Korea	2	1	1	50%	83.5	86.0	-2.5
44	Syria	2	1	1	50%	73.0	83.0	-10.0
45	Kosovo	5	2	3	40%	66.4	79.8	-13.4
46	Morocco	3	1	2	33%	69.0	70.0	-1.0
47	North Macedonia	4	1	3	25%	74.0	75.0	-1.0
48	Portugal	4	1	3	25%	72.5	82.2	-9.8
49	Slovakia	6	1	5	17%	72.3	81.3	-9.0
50	Belarus	6	1	5	17%	72.5	82.3	-9.8
51	Great Britain	1	0	1	0%	92.0	95.0	-3.0
52	Romania	1	0	1	0%	70.0	75.0	-5.0
53	Russia	1	0	1	0%	76.0	81.0	-5.0
54	D.R. Congo	2	0	2	0%	71.0	76.5	-5.5
55	Cuba	1	0	1	0%	66.0	72.0	-6.0
56	Japan	1	0	1	0%	71.0	77.0	-6.0
57	Croatia	1	0	1	0%	61.0	68.0	-7.0
58	Iran	1	0	1	0%	66.0	74.0	-8.0
59	Georgia	1	0	1	0%	70.0	79.0	-9.0
60	Hungary	1	0	1	0%	60.0	70.0	-10.0
61	United States Virgin Islands	1	0	1	0%	89.0	99.0	-10.0
62	Belgium	1	0	1	0%	59.0	70.0	-11.0
63	Qatar	1	0	1	0%	70.0	82.0	-12.0
64	Chile	1	0	1	0%	73.0	86.0	-13.0
65	Panama	1	0	1	0%	73.0	86.0	-13.0
66	Colombia	1	0	1	0%	71.0	85.0	-14.0
67	Iceland	1	0	1	0%	69.0	89.0	-20.0
68	Bahamas	1	0	1	0%	69.0	93.0	-24.0
69	India	2	0	2	0%	64.5	90.5	-26.0
70	Chad	2	0	2	0%	50.0	83.0	-33.0
71	Paraguay	1	0	1	0%	63.0	96.0	-33.0
72	Albania	4	0	4	0%	57.0	94.5	-37.5
73	Chinese Taipei	1	0	1	0%	66.0	104.0	-38.0
74	Guinea	2	0	2	0%	67.0	106.0	-39.0
75	Hong Kong	2	0	2	0%	59.0	114.5	-55.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Croatia	23	9	15	17	64
Italy	15	20	25	20	80

← all games of the day

Croatia vs Italy Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature