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Italy vs Croatia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Jul 2016
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 67-60
21-23 12-12 21-12 13-13
Position#3
Record1-0
FormWLWLW
Points / game68.0
Allowed / game41.0
Italy 🏆
vs
Position#10
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeOlympic Games
Other2016
Meetings · Italy v Croatia
06 Sep 2022
ITAL81
CROA76
28 Jun 2018
ITAL72
CROA78
05 Jul 2016
ITAL67
CROA60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Croatia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#3
W
74-71
74
71
+3
H23/08
Acropolis Tournament
Brigham Young
#4
W
102-63
102
63
+39
A24/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#2
W
82-81 OT
82
81
+1
A25/08
Acropolis Tournament
Lithuania
#2
L
63-79
63
79
-16
H27/08
Acropolis Tournament
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#4
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A28/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#1
L
65-79
65
79
-14
A29/08
Acropolis Tournament
Tunisia
#25
W
68-41
68
41
+27
A04/07
Olympic Games
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-26
18-9
16-20
23-14
20-22
34-9
25-18
20-11
8-20
15-16
19-15
16-17
16-21
17-22
14-19
18-14
17-15
19-26
19-7
17-24
13-22
17-13
18-20
19-12
13-15
22-2
14-12
143.3Avg total
75.3Scored
68.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)68.041.0109.0+27.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)68.041.0109.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (7)75.368.0143.3+7.371%
Last 5 (5)70.268.4138.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.079.7149.7-9.733%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)79.259.2138.5+20.0100%
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#6
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A30/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#23
W
84-64
84
64
+20
H01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#7
L
74-92
74
92
-18
A02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A04/09
World Cup
Philippines
#19
W
81-78 OT
81
78
+3
H30/08
World Cup
Argentina
#10
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A31/08
World Cup
Senegal
#17
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H01/09
World Cup
Greece
#3
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A03/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#20
W
103-82
103
82
+21
H04/09
World Cup
France
#6
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A06/09
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-16
26-23
15-26
25-26
23-12
20-11
22-17
19-24
19-22
16-26
15-24
24-20
27-19
9-15
14-20
22-19
23-9
14-22
20-18
14-22
28-20
18-24
29-19
15-22
16-18
16-23
20-18
23-18
14-16
9-20
16-15
26-25
28-16
25-20
31-21
19-25
15-7
7-16
12-23
30-23
157.9Avg total
79.2Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.278.7157.9+0.540%
Last 5 (5)79.477.8157.2+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)70.380.3150.7-10.00%
vs Similar (3)79.381.7161.0-2.333%
vs Weaker (5)83.671.0154.6+12.680%
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +6.4+6.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -0.7-0.7
ItalyCroatia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H23/08
Acropolis Tournament
Brigham Young
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A24/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#2
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A25/08
Acropolis Tournament
Lithuania
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H27/08
Acropolis Tournament
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#4
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/08
Acropolis Tournament
Greece
#1
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A29/08
Acropolis Tournament
Tunisia
#25
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A04/07
Olympic Games
69.9Avg total
34.3Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)34.335.669.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (2)36.040.076.0-4.00%-
Last 30 away (5)33.633.867.4-0.260%-
Last 10 (7)34.335.669.9-1.343%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.265.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.038.368.3-8.30%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (4)37.533.571.0+4.075%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Slovenia
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A30/08
World Cup
Tunisia
#23
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H01/09
World Cup
Brazil
#7
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A02/09
World Cup
Serbia
#5
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A04/09
World Cup
Philippines
#19
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H30/08
World Cup
Argentina
#10
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A31/08
World Cup
Senegal
#17
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H01/09
World Cup
Greece
#3
L
23-36
23
36
-13
A03/09
World Cup
Puerto Rico
#20
W
53-36
53
36
+17
H04/09
World Cup
France
#6
L
22-23
22
23
-1
A06/09
World Cup
72.6Avg total
37.1Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)37.734.572.2+3.364%-
Last 30 at home (5)41.831.072.8+10.880%-
Last 30 away (6)34.337.371.7-3.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.135.572.6+1.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.071.2-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)31.339.370.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (3)37.335.372.7+2.067%-
vs Weaker (5)41.831.072.8+10.880%-
This opponent (Italy) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Italy wins
0
Croatia wins
No previous meetings.
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/07/16ATunisia68-41
29/08/13AGreece65-79
28/08/13ABosnia & Herzegovina73-62
27/08/13HLithuania63-79
25/08/11AGreece82-81 OT
24/08/11ABrigham Young102-63
23/08/11HBulgaria74-71
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/14AFrance64-69
04/09/14HPuerto Rico103-82
03/09/14AGreece65-76
01/09/14HSenegal75-77
31/08/14AArgentina90-85
30/08/14HPhilippines81-78 OT
04/09/10ASerbia72-73
02/09/10ABrazil74-92
01/09/10HTunisia84-64
30/08/10ASlovenia84-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Italy
Olympic Games 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game68.0-68.0
Allowed / game41.0-41.0
Point differential+27.0-+27.0
Avg total109.0-109.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Croatia
Olympic Games 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Latvia110100%88.048.0+40.0
2 Italy110100%68.041.0+27.0
3 Greece110100%78.053.0+25.0
4 France110100%93.084.0+9.0
5 Canada110100%77.069.0+8.0
6 Serbia110100%87.081.0+6.0
7 Mexico110100%75.070.0+5.0
8 Puerto Rico21150%86.084.0+2.0
9 Turkey1010%69.077.0-8.0
10 Philippines1010%84.093.0-9.0
11 Angola1010%81.091.0-10.0
12 Iran2020%61.576.5-15.0
13 Tunisia1010%41.068.0-27.0
14 Japan1010%48.088.0-40.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Italy2112211367
Croatia2312121360
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