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Croatia vs Turkey Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 27 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 79-62
24-7 21-17 12-19 22-19
Position#12
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.5
Allowed / game57.5
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#22
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game79.5
EuropeEuroBasket
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Turkey winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A02/12
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H22/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
65-84
65
84
-19
A25/02
World Cup
Detroit Pistons
#4
L
80-96
80
96
-16
A05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
L
68-69
68
69
-1
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sweden
#27
W
72-56
72
56
+16
H21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
28-17
10-24
13-12
16-8
20-24
23-29
10-16
16-24
17-24
15-18
17-18
19-20
27-22
15-25
19-29
14-21
19-16
15-17
10-20
27-25
18-23
24-11
7-25
17-19
8-22
21-20
25-18
13-18
22-15
16-17
17-19
18-6
23-14
17-25
14-11
18-21
20-14
9-16
22-8
144.7Avg total
69.0Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)70.557.5128.0+13.0100%
Season at home (1)72.056.0128.0+16.0100%
Season away (1)69.059.0128.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)69.075.7144.7-6.720%
Last 5 (5)71.269.4140.6+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.178.3150.4-6.320%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.677.8153.4-2.260%
vs Weaker (9)77.268.3145.6+8.967%
This opponent (Turkey) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
W
71-67
71
67
+4
H29/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#38
L
66-71
66
71
-5
A02/12
World Cup
Slovenia
#61
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H22/02
World Cup
Spain
#1
L
58-74
58
74
-16
A25/02
World Cup
Japan
#32
W
86-67
86
67
+19
H01/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#20
L
76-91
76
91
-15
H05/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#38
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H07/09
World Cup
New Zealand
#8
L
101-102
101
102
-1
H09/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H21/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A24/02
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
21-19
20-14
15-19
17-13
21-24
17-21
11-13
11-17
23-9
24-16
19-16
16-25
20-22
6-12
16-15
28-12
19-23
20-14
19-18
16-22
19-21
25-23
16-25
16-26
16-11
17-21
30-16
31-26
22-24
24-24
24-28
17-18
21-23
16-13
11-18
20-18
18-29
17-20
25-20
152.2Avg total
75.9Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)72.579.5152.0-7.00%
Season at home (1)65.072.0137.0-7.00%
Season away (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)75.976.3152.2-0.440%
Last 5 (5)80.285.2165.4-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)69.275.0144.2-5.825%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.573.8150.3+2.758%
vs Weaker (10)77.669.1146.7+8.570%
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -3.7-3.7Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.2-0.2
CroatiaTurkey
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/12
World Cup
Poland
#19
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H22/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A25/02
World Cup
Detroit Pistons
#4
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A05/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Brooklyn Nets
#8
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A07/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#10
L
25-41
25
41
-16
H10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Oklahoma City Thunder
#5
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Sweden
#27
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H21/02
EuroBasket
Netherlands
#35
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A24/02
EuroBasket
75.0Avg total
37.1Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.474.3+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.834.971.7+1.953%-
Last 30 away (15)38.937.976.8+1.160%-
Last 10 (10)37.137.975.0-0.850%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.472.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)36.637.474.0-0.847%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.441.080.4-1.640%-
vs Weaker (9)39.632.872.3+6.878%-
This opponent (Turkey) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TurkeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#1
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H29/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#38
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A02/12
World Cup
Slovenia
#61
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H22/02
World Cup
Spain
#1
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A25/02
World Cup
Japan
#32
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H01/09
World Cup
Czech Republic
#20
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/09
World Cup
Montenegro
#38
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H07/09
World Cup
New Zealand
#8
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H09/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#35
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H21/02
EuroBasket
Sweden
#27
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A24/02
EuroBasket
78.4Avg total
38.7Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.173.2+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.974.6+2.762%-
Last 30 away (14)35.536.271.7-0.750%-
Last 10 (10)38.739.778.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)39.243.682.8-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)36.838.575.2-1.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.034.371.3+2.767%-
vs Weaker (10)37.736.273.9+1.560%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Turkey wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/20ANetherlands69-59
21/02/20HSweden72-56
12/07/19AOklahoma City Thunder68-69
10/07/19HDallas Mavericks71-79
09/07/19HOklahoma City Thunder76-84
07/07/19ABrooklyn Nets58-74
05/07/19ADetroit Pistons80-96
25/02/19AHungary65-84
22/02/19HPoland69-77
02/12/18ALithuania62-79
Turkeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/02/20ASweden80-87
21/02/20HNetherlands65-72
09/09/19HNew Zealand101-102
07/09/19HMontenegro79-74
05/09/19HCzech Republic76-91
01/09/19HJapan86-67
25/02/19ASpain58-74
22/02/19HSlovenia77-58
02/12/18AMontenegro66-71
29/11/18HSpain71-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game70.572.069.0
Allowed / game57.556.059.0
Point differential+13.0+16.0+10.0
Avg total128.0128.0128.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Turkey
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.565.080.0
Allowed / game79.572.087.0
Point differential-7.0-7.0-7.0
Avg total152.0137.0167.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Belgium770100%81.364.6+16.7
2 Israel220100%81.067.0+14.0
3 Croatia220100%70.557.5+13.0
4 Italy220100%85.072.5+12.5
5 Greece220100%71.564.0+7.5
6 Georgia220100%95.089.0+6.0
7 Hungary220100%69.567.5+2.0
8 Great Britain108280%81.069.4+11.6
9 Denmark1410471%79.974.9+5.1
10 Romania107370%77.874.7+3.1
11 Netherlands32167%69.770.0-0.3
12 North Macedonia106460%75.973.3+2.6
13 Serbia21150%85.076.0+9.0
14 Ukraine21150%74.067.5+6.5
15 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
16 Poland21150%75.572.0+3.5
17 Germany21150%78.075.0+3.0
18 France21150%77.074.5+2.5
19 Slovenia21150%80.077.5+2.5
20 Estonia21150%81.079.5+1.5
21 Spain21150%76.575.5+1.0
22 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Austria63350%79.278.8+0.3
24 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
25 Bosnia & Herzegovina21150%63.565.5-2.0
26 Bulgaria21150%86.588.5-2.0
27 Russia21150%70.575.0-4.5
28 Montenegro21150%73.579.5-6.0
29 Lithuania21150%81.087.5-6.5
30 Finland21150%63.572.0-8.5
31 Sweden73443%73.973.1+0.7
32 Switzerland104640%80.781.9-1.2
33 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
34 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
35 Czech Republic31233%75.386.0-10.7
36 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
37 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
38 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
39 Latvia2020%82.586.0-3.5
40 Turkey2020%72.579.5-7.0
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia2421122279
Turkey717191962
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