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Croatia vs Poland Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 69-77
16-8 20-24 23-29 10-16
Position#52
Record4-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.4
Allowed / game73.0
vs
Poland 🏆
Position#19
Record6-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game74.1
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Meetings · Croatia v Poland
28 Feb 2027
CROA v POLA
upcoming
23 Jun 2024
CROA82
POLA68
13 Nov 2022
CROA79
POLA87
22 Feb 2019
CROA69
POLA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#14
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A28/06
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
90-63
90
63
+27
A01/07
World Cup
Finland
#15
W
77-70
77
70
+7
A14/08
Friendly International
Tunisia
#35
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H15/08
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
L
86-87
86
87
-1
H05/09
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A08/09
Friendly International
Lithuania
#4
L
83-84
83
84
-1
H14/09
World Cup
Poland
#19
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A17/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
74-69
74
69
+5
H29/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
62-79
62
79
-17
A02/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
20-15
24-13
13-20
19-18
25-13
25-16
21-16
26-15
13-27
15-12
23-16
25-12
16-11
22-12
10-11
16-18
21-27
24-26
25-16
23-22
18-14
20-15
22-24
21-21
15-22
19-20
28-21
21-21
15-10
22-23
16-25
22-15
22-23
18-12
12-19
11-26
28-17
10-24
13-12
150.4Avg total
78.0Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)72.473.0145.4-0.640%
Season at home (5)71.873.8145.6-2.040%
Season away (5)73.072.2145.2+0.840%
Last 10 (10)78.072.4150.4+5.660%
Last 5 (5)75.277.2152.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.875.2147.1-3.438%
vs Similar (6)77.876.5154.3+1.367%
vs Weaker (10)80.471.1151.5+9.360%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#68
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H23/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
61-79
61
79
-18
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
103-70
103
70
+33
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
82-101
82
101
-19
A14/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H02/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-12
28-14
26-19
16-17
14-12
18-20
12-24
13-8
17-14
8-22
22-17
14-26
30-23
27-11
23-25
23-11
27-16
19-23
20-19
18-18
22-24
17-20
11-18
18-26
25-25
27-29
13-19
17-28
21-21
10-15
23-22
25-16
27-18
26-19
26-24
26-17
31-18
21-23
21-24
21-13
159.3Avg total
82.3Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.674.1153.7+5.560%
Season at home (5)78.870.6149.4+8.280%
Season away (5)80.477.6158.0+2.840%
Last 10 (10)82.377.0159.3+5.360%
Last 5 (5)85.683.8169.4+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.783.0155.7-10.318%
vs Similar (3)89.377.3166.7+12.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)80.069.0149.0+11.086%
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +5.1+5.1Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +1.1+1.1
CroatiaPoland
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Italy
#14
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A28/06
World Cup
Romania
#58
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A01/07
World Cup
Finland
#15
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A14/08
Friendly International
Tunisia
#35
W
41-23
41
23
+18
H15/08
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H05/09
Friendly International
Slovenia
#36
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A08/09
Friendly International
Lithuania
#4
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H14/09
World Cup
Poland
#19
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A17/09
World Cup
Hungary
#33
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H29/11
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/12
World Cup
76.9Avg total
39.8Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.635.472.9+2.260%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.234.571.7+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)37.936.274.1+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)39.837.176.9+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)36.235.871.9+0.454%-
vs Similar (6)38.737.376.0+1.350%-
vs Weaker (10)39.134.173.2+5.070%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kosovo
#68
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H23/02
World Cup
Hungary
#33
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A26/02
World Cup
Lithuania
#4
L
25-36
25
36
-11
H28/06
World Cup
Kosovo
#68
W
57-34
57
34
+23
A01/07
World Cup
Israel
#41
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A07/09
Friendly International
Russia
#20
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A08/09
Friendly International
Italy
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A14/09
World Cup
Croatia
#52
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H17/09
World Cup
Netherlands
#50
W
53-37
53
37
+16
A29/11
World Cup
Italy
#14
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H02/12
World Cup
81.4Avg total
43.5Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.838.075.8-0.133%-
Last 30 at home (9)35.435.070.4+0.444%-
Last 30 away (12)39.640.279.8-0.625%-
Last 10 (10)43.537.981.4+5.650%-
Last 5 (5)45.442.487.8+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)36.942.279.1-5.318%-
vs Similar (3)43.036.379.3+6.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.032.069.0+5.043%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
1
Poland wins
DateGameScore
17/09/18Poland v Croatia79-74
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/18ALithuania62-79
29/11/18HHungary74-69
17/09/18APoland74-79
14/09/18HLithuania83-84
08/09/18ASlovenia83-75
05/09/18HSlovenia86-87
15/08/18HTunisia73-46
14/08/18AFinland77-70
01/07/18ARomania90-63
28/06/18AItaly78-72
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/18HItaly94-78
29/11/18ANetherlands105-78
17/09/18HCroatia79-74
14/09/18AItaly82-101
08/09/18ARussia68-88
07/09/18AIsrael84-76
01/07/18AKosovo103-70
28/06/18HLithuania61-79
26/02/18AHungary57-64
23/02/18HKosovo90-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %40%40%40%
Points / game72.471.873.0
Allowed / game73.073.872.2
Point differential-0.6-2.0+0.8
Avg total145.4145.6145.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poland
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game79.678.880.4
Allowed / game74.170.677.6
Point differential+5.5+8.2+2.8
Avg total153.7149.4158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%60%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria990100%99.165.6+33.6
2 Australia1110191%89.258.4+30.8
3 Greece1110191%82.174.3+7.8
4 New Zealand109190%94.170.8+23.3
5 Lithuania109190%83.566.0+17.5
6 Argentina98189%87.668.9+18.7
7 Tunisia1210283%77.855.8+22.0
8 Canada119282%92.770.7+22.0
9 Germany119282%86.772.5+14.2
10 France119282%77.764.7+13.0
11 South Korea119282%88.977.7+11.2
12 Venezuela119282%75.567.5+8.0
13 Spain108280%78.672.8+5.8
14 Senegal97278%73.671.0+2.6
15 Angola129375%69.162.3+6.8
16 Puerto Rico86275%82.878.0+4.8
17 Uruguay86275%69.970.5-0.6
18 Brazil118373%77.065.8+11.2
19 Turkey118373%74.266.5+7.7
20 Czech Republic118373%74.973.4+1.5
21 Italy107370%79.270.9+8.3
22 Russia117464%79.570.6+8.9
23 Japan117464%81.172.4+8.7
24 Iran117464%73.267.0+6.2
25 Dominican Republic117464%83.377.3+6.0
26 China106460%85.268.9+16.3
27 Lebanon106460%80.670.5+10.1
28 Poland106460%79.674.1+5.5
29 Latvia106460%80.177.3+2.8
30 Montenegro106460%76.874.7+2.1
31 Cameroon127558%72.766.2+6.5
32 Egypt127558%66.866.6+0.2
33 Serbia116555%81.572.6+8.8
34 Philippines116555%79.778.2+1.5
35 Finland116555%76.176.0+0.1
36 Bulgaria158753%76.777.2-0.5
37 Jordan105550%86.580.9+5.6
38 Ukraine105550%75.073.1+1.9
39 Hungary105550%71.170.9+0.2
40 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
41 Central African Republic105550%68.070.3-2.3
42 Israel115645%77.279.7-2.5
43 Georgia115645%77.380.4-3.1
44 Ivory Coast94544%64.262.8+1.4
45 Panama94544%72.873.7-0.9
46 Netherlands146843%78.774.6+4.1
47 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
48 Croatia104640%72.473.0-0.6
49 Estonia156940%69.175.9-6.9
50 Kazakhstan114736%68.579.1-10.6
51 Bosnia & Herzegovina1761135%75.679.7-4.1
52 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
53 Morocco124833%61.665.8-4.2
54 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
55 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
56 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
57 Rwanda93633%70.883.6-12.8
58 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
59 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
60 Mali103730%68.177.8-9.7
61 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
62 Mexico82625%72.075.5-3.5
63 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
64 Chad123925%60.174.8-14.8
65 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
66 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
67 Slovenia112918%74.982.2-7.3
68 Chile112918%61.675.7-14.1
69 United States Virgin Islands112918%72.887.0-14.2
70 Qatar112918%62.284.6-22.5
71 Syria112918%66.790.7-24.0
72 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
73 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
74 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
75 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
76 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
77 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
78 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia1620231069
Poland824291677
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