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Croatia vs Ukraine Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Sep 2022
Tip-off: 12:15
Final 90-85
21-21 24-21 22-25 23-18
Position#12
Record6-4
FormWLWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game70.3
Croatia 🏆
vs
Position#13
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game72.0
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5
Other2022
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Croatia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ukraine winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCroatia
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
L
64-70
64
70
-6
no box
H25/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
W
105-98 OT
105
98
+7
no box
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
69-97
69
97
-28
no box
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
79-81
79
81
-2
no box
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
W
72-69
72
69
+3
71avg 78
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
84-53
84
53
+31
86avg 78
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
85-89
85
89
-4
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
86-65
86
65
+21
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
73-70
73
70
+3
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
76-81
76
81
-5
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
20-17
10-17
19-18
14-21
12-20
24-18
29-20
8-33
27-21
16-22
18-21
17-21
17-22
27-17
18-21
11-15
10-16
28-16
23-22
22-10
28-16
20-15
14-12
16-24
14-22
32-24
23-19
20-17
17-14
35-9
14-25
20-16
13-13
20-19
20-22
17-22
17-20
25-13
17-26
156.6Avg total
79.3Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)76.270.3146.5+5.960%
Season at home (5)73.268.4141.6+4.860%
Season away (5)79.272.2151.4+7.060%
Last 10 (10)79.377.3156.6+2.050%
Last 5 (5)80.871.6152.4+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.282.0157.2-6.821%
vs Similar ◀ (6)76.278.2154.3-2.033%
vs Weaker (10)76.564.2140.7+12.390%
This opponent (Ukraine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UkraineLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUkraine
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
74-88
74
88
-14
no box
A24/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
H01/07
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
73-68
73
68
+5
no box
A04/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
76-77
76
77
-1
no box
H07/07
World Cup
Italy
#17
L
89-97
89
97
-8
no box
H24/08
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
no box
A27/08
World Cup
Great Britain
#14
W
90-61
90
61
+29
no box
H02/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
74-73
74
73
+1
no box
A03/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
no box
H05/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
79-99
79
99
-20
no box
A06/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
12-23
17-28
28-15
23-20
24-14
13-10
19-22
35-21
12-16
10-16
16-15
19-20
20-20
21-17
16-20
19-19
26-15
22-38
22-25
19-14
22-22
14-27
25-17
22-17
20-15
24-12
24-17
15-21
18-14
23-26
18-12
16-21
22-21
19-15
27-16
20-23
26-16
11-32
22-28
159.9Avg total
80.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.572.0150.5+6.570%
Season at home (5)74.865.6140.4+9.280%
Season away (5)82.278.4160.6+3.860%
Last 10 (10)80.679.3159.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)83.079.4162.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.575.5149.0-2.025%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.381.2158.5-3.929%
vs Weaker (12)79.867.4147.2+12.383%
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: +6.7+6.7Q3: -4.7-4.7Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.0+3.0
CroatiaUkraine
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CroatiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sweden
#33
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H25/02
World Cup
Sweden
#33
L
26-41
26
41
-15
A28/02
World Cup
Slovenia
#24
L
35-54
35
54
-19
A30/06
World Cup
Finland
#22
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H03/07
World Cup
Poland
#24
L
21-31
21
31
-10
A25/08
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
50-26
50
26
+24
H28/08
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
L
30-46
30
46
-16
H02/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A06/09
EuroBasket
71.3Avg total
33.5Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.636.273.9+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.933.372.1+5.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.638.875.4-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)33.537.871.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.871.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)36.739.976.6-3.136%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)37.740.077.7-2.333%-
vs Weaker (10)38.928.967.8+10.090%-
This opponent (Ukraine) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UkraineLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spain
#7
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A24/02
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H01/07
World Cup
North Macedonia
#63
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/07
World Cup
Spain
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H07/07
World Cup
Italy
#17
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H24/08
World Cup
Iceland
#31
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A27/08
World Cup
Great Britain
#14
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H02/09
EuroBasket
Estonia
#34
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A03/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H05/09
EuroBasket
Greece
#2
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A06/09
EuroBasket
78.1Avg total
40.7Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.635.874.4+2.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.532.468.9+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)40.639.379.9+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.737.478.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.876.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.839.573.2-5.825%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.437.676.0+0.757%-
vs Weaker (12)40.432.572.9+7.975%-
This opponent (Croatia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Croatiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Croatia: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.521.0
59.2%
-42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.5
25.5%
-19.5
🏀 Free throws23.016.5
71.7%
-16.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ukrainetheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Croatia wins
0
Ukraine wins
No previous meetings.
Croatialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/22AItaly76-81
05/09/22HEstonia73-70
03/09/22AGreat Britain86-65
02/09/22HGreece85-89
28/08/22HSwitzerland84-53
25/08/22APoland72-69
03/07/22HFinland79-81
30/06/22ASlovenia69-97
28/02/22ASweden105-98 OT
25/02/22HSweden64-70
Ukrainelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/09/22AGreece79-99
05/09/22HItaly84-73
03/09/22AEstonia74-73
02/09/22HGreat Britain90-61
27/08/22AIceland88-91 OT
24/08/22HItaly89-97
07/07/22HSpain76-77
04/07/22ANorth Macedonia73-68
01/07/22HGeorgia79-66
24/02/22ASpain74-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Croatia
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL60%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%60%60%
Points / game76.273.279.2
Allowed / game70.368.472.2
Point differential+5.9+4.8+7.0
Avg total146.5141.6151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%40%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ukraine
EuroBasket 2022
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL70%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%80%60%
Points / game78.574.882.2
Allowed / game72.065.678.4
Point differential+6.5+9.2+3.8
Avg total150.5140.4160.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%40%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia108280%88.574.9+13.6
2 Greece108280%82.578.3+4.2
3 Belgium1511473%79.971.7+8.2
4 Spain118373%84.774.2+10.5
5 Slovenia118373%84.978.7+6.2
6 Ukraine107370%78.572.0+6.5
7 Israel107370%80.477.0+3.4
8 Russia64267%76.767.5+9.2
9 Denmark1812667%79.576.6+2.9
10 Bosnia & Herzegovina117464%79.174.6+4.5
11 France117464%76.974.8+2.1
12 Great Britain1811761%76.874.9+1.8
13 Croatia106460%76.270.3+5.9
14 Poland106460%80.877.1+3.7
15 Italy106460%82.979.4+3.5
16 North Macedonia148657%78.177.2+0.9
17 Lithuania116555%84.780.7+4.0
18 Finland116555%80.078.8+1.2
19 Turkey116555%77.776.8+0.9
20 Montenegro116555%74.575.7-1.2
21 Belarus84450%78.073.9+4.1
22 Armenia42250%74.874.0+0.8
23 Portugal126650%74.275.0-0.8
24 Romania147750%73.778.5-4.8
25 Germany115645%83.981.1+2.8
26 Georgia115645%80.885.6-4.8
27 Sweden104640%74.374.6-0.3
28 Iceland83538%79.981.9-2.0
29 Slovakia83538%75.078.5-3.5
30 Hungary114736%74.584.0-9.5
31 Switzerland145936%82.084.3-2.3
32 Austria103730%74.578.4-3.9
33 Estonia103730%75.879.7-3.9
34 Czech Republic103730%80.988.7-7.8
35 Netherlands113827%69.476.3-6.9
36 Bulgaria113827%77.688.1-10.5
37 Luxembourg82625%72.583.4-10.9
38 Latvia61517%79.080.0-1.0
39 Cyprus1221017%66.376.8-10.4
40 Kosovo81712%78.883.6-4.9
41 Albania8080%65.283.1-17.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 41 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Croatia2124222390
Ukraine2121251885
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