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CSKA Moscow 2 vs Ufa Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 76-76
Projected total 152.2
Final 63-86
20-26 21-22 18-21 4-17
Position#6
Record6-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game66.9
CSKA Moscow 2
Russia
Vs
52%
48%
■ CSKA 52%■ UFA 48%
Pythia win probability
Ufa 🏆
Russia
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game71.4
RussiaSuper League· Dynamo Sports Palace
Other2026-27
Meetings · CSKA Moscow 2 v Ufa
12 Nov 2026
CSKA63
UFA86
10 Dec 2025
CSKA96
UFA83
06 Nov 2025
CSKA67
UFA74
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

CSKA Moscow 2 and Ufa face off in the Super League on 12 November 2026, a contest where the edge is razor-thin as the two sides sit only a few games apart in form. CSKA Moscow 2 has gone 6-2 in all eight games this season, averaging 73.2 points and conceding 66.9, while Ufa has posted a 6-1 record, 89.1 points scored and 71.4 allowed, both teams occupying the top five of the standings. At home, CSKA Moscow 2 is 3-1, 70.2 points for and 66.0 against, and has won four of its last five, including a 74-68 win over Rusichi Kursk and an 81-54 victory at Desna Bryansk; Ufa's road record is 1-1, 80.5 points for and 75.0 against, and it has also won four of its last five, most recently beating Temp Sumz Revda 81-70. Historically, Ufa leads the series 3-1, with its last meeting ending 91-87 in Ufa's favour. Pythia gives CSKA Moscow 2 a 52% chance to win versus Ufa's 48%, projecting a 76-76 draw and a total of 152.2 points; the home line is 2.5 with a 59% probability of covering, and the over/under line is 151.5 with a 51% chance of the over, while a 5% chance of overtime is noted. The game will hinge on whether CSKA Moscow 2 can translate its modest home advantage into a decisive edge against a Ufa side that has already outscored its opponents by a comfortable margin.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow 2 winLost
51.7%fair 1.94
Best odds2.44
Implied40.3%
Edge+11.4pp
Ufa winWon
48.3%fair 2.07
Best odds1.56
Implied59.7%
Edge-11.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 18:15 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA Moscow 2RussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University-Ugra
#8
L
69-77
69
77
-8
H01/04
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
H04/04
Super League
Tambov
#8
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H01/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H04/10
Super League
Barnaul
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
A12/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A15/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
W
78-63
78
63
+15
H22/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#5
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H25/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
81-54
81
54
+27
A02/11
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
W
74-68
74
68
+6
A05/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
19-20
16-20
13-19
23-30
22-21
20-24
15-15
10-14
12-23
17-9
21-10
16-18
15-14
25-19
15-26
13-14
26-16
26-22
21-18
16-28
14-17
20-21
14-13
24-17
18-20
19-14
17-12
18-16
22-19
15-19
17-14
22-11
19-14
21-14
19-15
15-9
14-24
25-18
20-17
143.7Avg total
73.5Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.266.9140.1+6.475%
Season at home (4)70.266.0136.2+4.275%
Season away (4)76.267.8144.0+8.575%
Last 10 (10)73.570.2143.7+3.360%
Last 5 (5)73.866.4140.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.875.8151.5+0.050%
vs Similar (13)74.675.3149.9-0.754%
vs Weaker (13)80.673.1153.7+7.569%
This opponent (Ufa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UfaRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A27/04
Super League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
H28/04
Super League
University-Ugra
#8
W
90-79
90
79
+11
H29/04
Super League
Barnaul
#9
W
92-79
92
79
+13
H01/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
101-59
101
59
+42
H04/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A12/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A15/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
93-69
93
69
+24
H21/10
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H24/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
W
81-70
81
70
+11
H01/11
Super League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-14
12-20
18-26
19-19
22-26
14-13
16-19
14-20
15-24
29-19
22-20
24-16
28-20
17-22
29-11
18-26
27-14
25-25
23-8
26-12
22-16
21-27
29-18
19-15
20-17
14-15
19-28
17-14
24-20
29-19
24-15
16-15
24-28
25-16
26-15
21-14
13-24
25-12
22-25
21-9
158.0Avg total
84.4Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)89.171.4160.6+17.786%
Season at home (5)92.670.0162.6+22.6100%
Season away (2)80.575.0155.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)84.473.6158.0+10.870%
Last 5 (5)86.272.4158.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)76.084.6160.6-8.640%
vs Similar (15)77.578.2155.7-0.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)88.670.2158.8+18.490%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 144.5Actual: Over 144.5
Over 144.5
67.2%
Under 144.5
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 149.75 · main lineActual: Under 149.75
Over 149.75
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under 149.75
no forecast
@ 1.82
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.80
Under
1xBet
1.82
Over/Under 154.5Actual: Under 154.5
Over 154.5
43.6%
@ 2.16+1.4pp
Under 154.5
56.4%
@ 1.58-1.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Under
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathon Be
1.52

📊 3. Team Totals

CSKA Moscow 2 total 69Actual: CSKA Moscow 2 under 69
Over 69
76.8%
Under 69
23.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow 2 total 73 · main lineActual: CSKA Moscow 2 under 73
Over 73
62.9%
@ 1.83+12.9pp
Under 73
37.1%
@ 1.83-12.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.72
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.72
CSKA Moscow 2 total 77Actual: CSKA Moscow 2 under 77
Over 77
47.0%
Under 77
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ufa total 73Actual: Ufa over 73
Over 73
61.0%
Under 73
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ufa total 77 · main lineActual: Ufa over 77
Over 77
45.1%
@ 1.83-4.4pp
Under 77
54.9%
@ 1.83+4.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Under
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.69
Ufa total 81Actual: Ufa over 81
Over 81
30.0%
Under 81
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread CSKA Moscow 2 0Actual: Ufa 0
CSKA 0
51.7%
UFA 0
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
CSKA
No market prices yet.
UFA
No market prices yet.
Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +3 · main lineActual: Ufa -3
CSKA +3
60.8%
@ 1.95+11.6pp
UFA -3
39.2%
@ 1.84-11.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CSKA
Marathon Be
1.95
Pinnacle
1.90
1xBet
1.88
SBO
1.88
UFA
Pinnacle
1.84
SBO
1.80
1xBet
1.77
Marathon Be
1.69
Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +6Actual: Ufa -6
CSKA +6
71.4%
@ 1.61+15.1pp
UFA -6
28.6%
@ 2.07-15.1pp
Best 5 market prices
CSKA
Marathon Be
1.61
UFA
Marathon Be
2.07

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: +3.5+3.5
CSKA Moscow 2Ufa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA Moscow 2Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
University-Ugra
#8
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/04
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H04/04
Super League
Tambov
#8
L
22-37
22
37
-15
H01/10
Super League
Izhevsk
#12
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H04/10
Super League
Barnaul
#9
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
L
30-45
30
45
-15
A15/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H22/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#5
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A02/11
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A05/11
Super League
72.2Avg total
35.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (30)38.535.774.2+2.863%43%
Last 30 at home (15)38.935.774.6+3.373%47%
Last 30 away (15)38.035.773.7+2.353%40%
Last 10 (10)35.936.372.2-0.450%30%
Last 5 (5)36.435.071.4+1.460%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.037.274.2-0.250%25%
vs Similar (13)37.435.572.9+1.862%46%
vs Weaker (13)40.035.475.4+4.669%46%
This opponent (Ufa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UfaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A27/04
Super League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#3
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H28/04
Super League
University-Ugra
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H29/04
Super League
Barnaul
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H01/10
Super League
Novosibirsk
#10
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H04/10
Super League
University-Ugra
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A12/10
Super League
Khimki M.
#5
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A15/10
Super League
Desna Bryansk
#13
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H21/10
Super League
Rusichi Kursk
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H24/10
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H01/11
Super League
81.2Avg total
42.1Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 75.5
Last 30 (30)39.438.978.3+0.553%63%
Last 30 at home (19)40.736.777.4+4.074%58%
Last 30 away (11)37.242.880.0-5.618%73%
Last 10 (10)42.139.181.2+3.070%60%
Last 5 (5)43.438.882.2+4.680%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.438.872.2-5.420%40%
vs Similar (15)37.340.077.3-2.740%67%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.537.482.9+8.190%70%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow 2) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +1.5 · main lineActual: Ufa -1.5
CSKA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.88
UFA -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 75.5 · main lineActual: Over 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
CSKA Moscow 2 1st half total 36.5 · main lineActual: CSKA Moscow 2 over 36.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.84
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
Ufa 1st half total 39 · main lineActual: Ufa over 39
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Over/Under 74.25Actual: Over 74.25
Over
no forecast
@ 1.72
Under
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 77Actual: Over 77
Over
no forecast
@ 1.89
Under
no forecast
@ 1.77
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +2.5Actual: Ufa -2.5
CSKA +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
UFA -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 0Actual: Ufa 0
CSKA 0
no forecast
@ 2.03
UFA 0
no forecast
@ 1.67
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +3.5Actual: Ufa -3.5
CSKA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.64
UFA -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.92
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 -1.5Actual: Ufa +1.5
CSKA -1.5
no forecast
@ 2.21
UFA +1.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +4.5Actual: Ufa -4.5
CSKA +4.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
UFA -4.5
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 -2.5Actual: Ufa +2.5
CSKA -2.5
no forecast
@ 2.70
UFA +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.32
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +5.5Actual: Ufa -5.5
CSKA +5.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
UFA -5.5
no forecast
@ 2.27
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 -3.5Actual: Ufa +3.5
CSKA -3.5
no forecast
@ 2.69
UFA +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.33
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow 2 +6.5Actual: Ufa -6.5
CSKA +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.38
UFA -6.5
no forecast
@ 2.49
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Ufa (regulation)
CSKA
no forecast
@ 2.44
Draw
no forecast
@ 15.25
UFA
no forecast
@ 1.59

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
CSKA Moscow 2 +671.4%1.61
Marathon Bet
1.61		----+15.1ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 +6.572.3%1.54
Marathon Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.50		---+13.4ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 +7.575.3%1.46
Marathon Bet
1.50
1xBet
1.42		---+12.8ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 over 70.571.2%1.48
1xBet
1.48		----+12.5ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 over 69.574.5%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+12.3ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 over 68.577.5%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+12.0ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 +8.578.0%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+11.9ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 over 67.580.3%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+11.6ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 +9.580.6%1.28
1xBet
1.28		----+11.1ppLost
Ufa under 82.574.2%1.29
1xBet
1.29		----+5.4ppLost
Ufa under 81.571.0%1.34
1xBet
1.34		----+5.2ppLost
CSKA Moscow 2 +774.5%1.53
Marathon Bet
1.53		-----Lost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CSKA Moscow 2 wins
3
Ufa wins
DateGameScore
12/02/26Ufa v CSKA Moscow 291-87
10/12/25CSKA Moscow 2 v Ufa96-83 OT
12/11/25Ufa v CSKA Moscow 251-43
06/11/25CSKA Moscow 2 v Ufa67-74
CSKA Moscow 2last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/26ARusichi Kursk74-68
02/11/26ADesna Bryansk81-54
25/10/26HKhimki M.72-68
22/10/26HUniversity-Ugra78-63
15/10/26ANovosibirsk64-79
12/10/26ABarnaul86-70
04/10/26HIzhevsk71-77
01/10/26HTambov60-56
04/04/26HNovosibirsk80-90
01/04/26HUniversity-Ugra69-77
Ufalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/26HTemp Sumz Revda81-70
24/10/26HRusichi Kursk96-73
21/10/26HDesna Bryansk93-69
15/10/26AKhimki M.70-74
12/10/26AUniversity-Ugra91-76
04/10/26HNovosibirsk101-59
01/10/26HBarnaul92-79
29/04/26HUniversity-Ugra90-79
28/04/26HDynamo Vladivostok66-78
27/04/26ATemp Sumz Revda64-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow 2
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game73.270.276.2
Allowed / game66.966.067.8
Point differential+6.4+4.2+8.5
Avg total140.1136.2144.0
Over 149.7512%0%25%
Win by 10+38%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ufa
Super League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW86%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%100%50%
Points / game89.192.680.5
Allowed / game71.470.075.0
Point differential+17.7+22.6+5.5
Avg total160.6162.6155.5
Over 149.7586%100%50%
Win by 10+86%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dynamo Grozny87188%83.672.8+10.9
2 Chelyabinsk87188%92.186.8+5.4
3 Ufa76186%89.171.4+17.7
4 Temp Sumz Revda76186%91.177.9+13.3
5 CSKA Moscow 286275%73.266.9+6.4
6 Khimki M.96367%82.974.9+8.0
7 Barnaul83538%80.082.6-2.6
8 Metallurg83538%73.878.2-4.5
9 Novosibirsk83538%82.089.0-7.0
10 University-Ugra83538%73.481.9-8.5
11 Tambov72529%73.776.1-2.4
12 Desna Bryansk81712%68.978.0-9.1
13 Izhevsk81712%77.587.0-9.5
14 Rusichi Kursk81712%70.585.9-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow 2202118463
Ufa2622211786
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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