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CSKA Moscow vs Dynamo Vladivostok Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 101-78
Projected total 178.6
Final 106-75
32-21 26-23 29-24 19-7
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game70.1
CSKA Moscow 🏆
Russia
Vs
96%
■ CMO 96%■ DVL 4%
Pythia win probability
Dynamo Vladivostok
Russia
Position#8
Record3-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game94.1
RussiaVTB United League· Krylatskoe Sport Palace
Domestic2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

CSKA Moscow face Dynamo Vladivostok in the VTB United League on 11 November 2026, with the model designating CSKA as the clear favourite thanks to their undefeated 8-0 record, 90.4 points per game and 70.1 allowed per game, the best in the league; Dynamo Vladivostok sit seventh with a 3-5 record, 88.9 points per game and 94.1 allowed per game. CSKA have won all five of their home games, averaging 90.6 points and conceding 69.8, and have won each of their last five, including a 117-55 rout of Saratov; Dynamo's road record is 2-3, with 90.6 points per game and 98.8 allowed, and they have won two of their last five, notably a 111-97 win over Enisey. The teams have met once, with CSKA winning 103-88 on 14 October 2026. Pythia projects a 101-76 score, giving CSKA a 97% chance of winning and a 3% chance for Dynamo, with a 54% probability that CSKA will cover the -23.5 line and a 41% chance of the over on the 180.5 total; the game has a 1% chance of overtime. The final game-day fixture will see CSKA continue its dominant run against a struggling Dynamo squad.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
96.4%fair 1.04
Best odds1.02
Implied91.0%
Edge+5.5pp
Dynamo Vladivostok winLost
3.6%fair 28.12
Best odds16.25
Implied9.0%
Edge-5.5pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A08/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
102-76
102
76
+26
A10/06
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
82-65
82
65
+17
A27/09
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
W
90-85
90
85
+5
H07/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
87-84
87
84
+3
H11/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#8
W
103-88
103
88
+15
A14/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
85-59
85
59
+26
A17/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
117-55
117
55
+62
H23/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
W
79-57
79
57
+22
H27/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H08/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
27-12
18-22
14-21
20-27
30-22
24-12
28-15
25-14
30-11
13-22
14-18
14-25
34-24
21-19
21-17
27-23
27-17
16-19
17-25
29-24
26-17
26-22
22-25
11-15
29-18
19-15
26-11
32-14
24-16
25-18
36-7
14-14
11-12
25-15
29-16
25-21
20-15
18-18
17-14
162.2Avg total
91.1Scored
71.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)90.470.1160.5+20.2100%
Season at home (5)90.669.8160.4+20.8100%
Season away (3)90.070.7160.7+19.3100%
Last 10 (10)91.171.1162.2+20.0100%
Last 5 (5)92.865.4158.2+27.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)94.475.1169.5+19.497%
This opponent (Dynamo Vladivostok) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo VladivostokRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ufa
#6
W
78-66
78
66
+12
A28/04
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H29/04
Super League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
75-117
75
117
-42
A30/09
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
98-84
98
84
+14
A04/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
88-103
88
103
-15
H14/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
90-108
90
108
-18
A17/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A21/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
98-73
98
73
+25
H27/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
72-83
72
83
-11
H30/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
111-97
111
97
+14
A07/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-22
13-14
19-16
20-14
14-23
15-23
21-27
19-16
19-35
24-25
20-29
12-28
34-23
20-27
26-19
18-15
24-29
17-26
22-26
25-22
23-26
23-24
22-29
22-29
24-22
17-26
20-20
18-20
21-12
30-14
27-22
20-25
20-14
24-19
14-31
14-19
23-26
31-21
33-22
24-28
176.6Avg total
85.8Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)88.994.1183.0-5.238%
Season at home (3)86.086.3172.3-0.333%
Season away (5)90.698.8189.4-8.240%
Last 10 (10)85.890.8176.6-5.040%
Last 5 (5)90.089.8179.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)83.496.2179.6-12.925%
vs Similar (9)88.687.7176.2+0.944%
vs Weaker (13)87.177.8164.9+9.277%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

3%6%9%12%0%1351%1402%1453%1505%1557%16010%16512%17012%17512%18011%1859%1906%1955%2003%2051%2101%2150%220
0%1352%1455%15510%16512%17511%1856%1953%2051%215
Pythia expects about 179 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 175-179 (12%). The market's main line is 178.5.
Over/Under 173.5Actual: Over 173.5
Over 173.5
62.4%
@ 1.48
Under 173.5
37.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.48
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 178.5 · main lineActual: Over 178.5
Over 178.5
50.1%
@ 1.86-0.2pp
Under 178.5
49.9%
@ 1.94+0.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.86
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.86
SBO
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.94
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.85
Over/Under 183.5Actual: Under 183.5
Over 183.5
37.8%
@ 2.19-3.8pp
Under 183.5
62.2%
@ 1.59+3.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
2.19
1xBet
2.19
Under
1xBet
1.59
Marathon Be
1.53

📊 3. Team Totals

CSKA Moscow total 96.5Actual: CSKA Moscow over 96.5
Over 96.5
66.7%
Under 96.5
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow total 100.5 · main lineActual: CSKA Moscow over 100.5
Over 100.5
51.4%
@ 1.89+1.7pp
Under 100.5
48.6%
@ 1.87-1.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.89
Marathon Be
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
CSKA Moscow total 104.5Actual: CSKA Moscow over 104.5
Over 104.5
35.9%
@ 2.21-5.1pp
Under 104.5
64.1%
@ 1.54+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.21
Under
1xBet
1.54
Dynamo Vladivostok total 74.5Actual: Dynamo Vladivostok over 74.5
Over 74.5
62.3%
Under 74.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dynamo Vladivostok total 78.5 · main lineActual: Dynamo Vladivostok under 78.5
Over 78.5
46.7%
@ 1.87-3.3pp
Under 78.5
53.3%
@ 1.87+3.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Dynamo Vladivostok total 82.5Actual: Dynamo Vladivostok under 82.5
Over 82.5
31.7%
Under 82.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

2%5%7%9%1%-91%-61%-31%+03%+34%+66%+97%+128%+159%+189%+219%+249%+278%+307%+335%+364%+393%+422%+451%+481%+510%+54
1%-91%-33%+36%+98%+159%+219%+277%+334%+392%+451%+51
Margin from CSKA Moscow's side (positive = CSKA Moscow win). Pythia's expected margin is +23.1; CSKA Moscow win by 1+ in 95% of simulations.
Spread CSKA Moscow -24.5Actual: CSKA Moscow -24.5
CMO -24.5
45.3%
@ 2.24+4.0pp
DVL +24.5
54.7%
@ 1.60-4.0pp
Best 5 market prices
CMO
Pinnacle
2.24
1xBet
2.22
Marathon Be
2.16
DVL
Marathon Be
1.60
Pinnacle
1.58
1xBet
1.57
Spread CSKA Moscow -21.5 · main lineActual: CSKA Moscow -21.5
CMO -21.5
55.2%
@ 1.91+5.6pp
DVL +21.5
44.8%
@ 1.94-5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CMO
1xBet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
SBO
1.87
Marathon Be
1.86
DVL
Marathon Be
1.94
1xBet
1.93
Pinnacle
1.85
SBO
1.83
Spread CSKA Moscow -18.5Actual: CSKA Moscow -18.5
CMO -18.5
64.7%
@ 1.56+3.9pp
DVL +18.5
35.3%
@ 2.36-3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
CMO
1xBet
1.56
Marathon Be
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
DVL
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathon Be
2.31
1xBet
2.24

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +9.4+9.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +9.4+9.4Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +5.5+5.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
CSKA MoscowDynamo Vladivostok
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unics Kazan
#2
W
54-31
54
31
+23
A08/06
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A10/06
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
W
55-25
55
25
+30
A27/09
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H07/10
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H11/10
VTB United League
Dynamo Vladivostok
#8
W
55-41
55
41
+14
A14/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A17/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
56-30
56
30
+26
H23/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H27/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H08/11
VTB United League
84.2Avg total
48.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 90
Last 30 (30)49.637.186.7+12.687%33%
Last 30 at home (17)48.639.688.2+8.976%41%
Last 30 away (13)51.033.784.7+17.3100%23%
Last 10 (10)48.236.084.2+12.280%40%
Last 5 (5)44.233.277.4+11.080%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)49.637.186.7+12.687%33%
This opponent (Dynamo Vladivostok) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dynamo VladivostokLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ufa
#6
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A28/04
Super League
Temp Sumz Revda
#2
L
29-46
29
46
-17
H29/04
Super League
Unics Kazan
#3
L
43-60
43
60
-17
A30/09
VTB United League
Samara
#11
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A04/10
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H14/10
VTB United League
Parma Perm
#6
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A17/10
VTB United League
Uralmash Ekaterinburg
#5
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A21/10
VTB United League
Saratov
#9
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H27/10
VTB United League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/10
VTB United League
Enisey
#10
W
54-47
54
47
+7
A07/11
VTB United League
89.3Avg total
44.2Scored
45.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 90
Last 30 (30)44.242.486.6+1.763%43%
Last 30 at home (14)43.142.685.7+0.643%50%
Last 30 away (16)45.142.387.4+2.881%38%
Last 10 (10)44.245.189.3-0.950%50%
Last 5 (5)47.240.888.0+6.460%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)43.448.291.6-4.938%50%
vs Similar (9)43.642.986.4+0.767%33%
vs Weaker (13)45.138.583.6+6.577%46%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow -12.5 · main lineActual: CSKA Moscow -12.5
CMO -12.5
47.4%
@ 1.86-2.9pp
DVL +12.5
52.6%
@ 1.88+2.9pp
1st half Over/Under 90 · main lineActual: Over 90
Over
48.1%
@ 1.88-1.6pp
Under
51.9%
@ 1.86+1.6pp
CSKA Moscow 1st half total 51 · main lineActual: CSKA Moscow over 51
Over
48.3%
@ 1.83-2.7pp
Under
51.7%
@ 1.91+2.7pp
Dynamo Vladivostok 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Dynamo Vladivostok over 38.5
Over
51.6%
@ 1.87+1.5pp
Under
48.4%
@ 1.88-1.5pp
1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Over 88.5
Over
53.9%
@ 1.67-1.4pp
Under
46.1%
@ 2.07+1.4pp
1st half Over/Under 91.5Actual: Over 91.5
Over
42.5%
@ 2.07-2.1pp
Under
57.5%
@ 1.67+2.1pp
1st half Spread CSKA Moscow -13.5Actual: CSKA Moscow -13.5
CMO -13.5
43.1%
@ 2.00-3.7pp
DVL +13.5
56.9%
@ 1.76+3.7pp
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: CSKA Moscow (regulation)
CMO
88.4%
@ 1.05+1.4pp
Draw
1.9%
@ 26.00-1.6pp
DVL
9.7%
@ 9.70+0.3pp

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
2nd half: CSKA Moscow (regulation)87.1%1.21
1xBet
1.21
Marathon Bet
1.20		---+10.9ppWon
Q3: CSKA Moscow (regulation)76.1%1.37
1xBet
1.38
Marathon Bet
1.36		---+9.2ppWon
CSKA Moscow (regulation)95.8%1.03
Marathon Bet
1.03		----+7.3ppWon
CSKA Moscow win96.4%1.02
Marathon Bet
1.02
Pinnacle
1.02
1xBet
1.02		--+5.5ppWon
Q1: CSKA Moscow (regulation)78.4%1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22		---+3.3ppWon
Q2: CSKA Moscow (regulation)77.3%1.22
Marathon Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.22		---+2.3ppWon
1st half: CSKA Moscow (regulation)88.4%1.05
Marathon Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.05		---+1.4ppWon
Q1: CSKA Moscow or draw82.2%1.14
Marathon Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14		----Won
Q2: CSKA Moscow or draw81.0%1.14
Marathon Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14		----Won
Q3: CSKA Moscow or draw80.0%1.26
1xBet
1.27
Marathon Bet
1.25		----Won
CSKA Moscow -13.578.4%1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24		-----Won
CSKA Moscow -1477.8%1.25
Marathon Bet
1.25		-----Won
CSKA Moscow -14.575.9%1.28
Marathon Bet
1.28		-----Won
CSKA Moscow -1575.3%1.29
Marathon Bet
1.29		-----Won
Under 188.573.3%1.34
Marathon Bet
1.34		-----Won
CSKA Moscow -15.573.3%1.33
Marathon Bet
1.33		-----Won
Dynamo Vladivostok +30.572.9%1.23
Marathon Bet
1.23		-----Lost
Under 18872.8%1.36
Marathon Bet
1.36		-----Won
CSKA Moscow -1672.6%1.34
Marathon Bet
1.34		-----Won
Dynamo Vladivostok +3072.1%1.24
Marathon Bet
1.24		-----Lost
Under 187.571.2%1.38
Marathon Bet
1.38		-----Won
Under 18770.6%1.40
Marathon Bet
1.40		-----Won
CSKA Moscow -16.570.6%1.38
Marathon Bet
1.38		-----Won
Dynamo Vladivostok +29.570.1%1.27
Marathon Bet
1.27		-----Lost
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 83.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.615.2
46.6%
-30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.6
35.0%
-31.8
🏀 Free throws24.720.9
84.6%
-20.9
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dynamo Vladivostoktheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
CSKA Moscow wins
0
Dynamo Vladivostok wins
DateGameScore
14/10/26Dynamo Vladivostok v CSKA Moscow88-103
CSKA Moscowlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HZenit Petersburg80-68
27/10/26HParma Perm79-57
23/10/26HSaratov117-55
17/10/26AEnisey85-59
14/10/26ADynamo Vladivostok103-88
11/10/26HLokomotiv Kuban87-84
07/10/26HUralmash Ekaterinburg90-85
27/09/26AMBA Moscow82-65
10/06/26AUnics Kazan102-76
08/06/26AUnics Kazan86-74
Dynamo Vladivostoklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/26AEnisey111-97
30/10/26HZenit Petersburg72-83
27/10/26HSaratov98-73
21/10/26AUralmash Ekaterinburg79-88
17/10/26AParma Perm90-108
14/10/26HCSKA Moscow88-103
04/10/26ASamara98-84
30/09/26AUnics Kazan75-117
29/04/26HTemp Sumz Revda69-89
28/04/26AUfa78-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.490.690.0
Allowed / game70.169.870.7
Point differential+20.2+20.8+19.3
Avg total160.5160.4160.7
Over 178.512%0%33%
Win by 10+75%60%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dynamo Vladivostok
VTB United League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%33%40%
Points / game88.986.090.6
Allowed / game94.186.398.8
Point differential-5.2-0.3-8.2
Avg total183.0172.3189.4
Over 178.562%33%80%
Win by 10+38%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow880100%90.470.1+20.2
2 Lokomotiv Kuban87188%91.476.5+14.9
3 Unics Kazan97278%93.174.8+18.3
4 Zenit Petersburg96367%84.277.2+7.0
5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg84450%83.984.6-0.8
6 Parma Perm94544%87.486.4+1.0
7 MBA Moscow83538%84.889.4-4.6
8 Dynamo Vladivostok83538%88.994.1-5.2
9 Saratov103730%72.888.8-16.0
10 Enisey71614%81.488.7-7.3
11 Samara8080%69.497.1-27.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow32262919106
Dynamo Vladivostok212324775
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