PythiaBasketballBETA
VTB 4-5 · 7/11Parma Perm finished the 2026-27 season at 4-4 in the VTB United League, positioned 5th of 11 teams, matching a net rating of 3.2 that has remained unchanged since a few games ago. Their recent form shows a 2-3 record over the last five outings, highlighted by a 109-68 home win over Samara and a 84-106 loss to Lokomotiv Kuban on 7 November, while they also fell 57-79 to CSKA Moscow on 27 October. Parma has been flawless at home, going 2-0 with an average of 108.5 points for and 79.0 against, but struggles on the road, 2-4 with 83.3 points for and 89.3 against. Team leaders include key contributors who have kept the squad competitive, and they head into a home clash with Zenit Petersburg on 15 November, where the Pythia model projects a 47% chance of victory.
Parma PermLast 20 – points for & against, every competition| Split | Total scored | Total allowed | Home scored | Home allowed | Away scored | Away allowed | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| All games (30) | 81.6 | 81.6 | 83.9 | 80.3 | 80.3 | 82.4 | 40% |
| vs Stronger (10) | 77.0 | 85.6 | 76.0 | 81.7 | 77.4 | 87.3 | 20% |
| vs Similar (9) | 84.0 | 86.2 | 82.7 | 88.7 | 84.7 | 85.0 | 22% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 83.8 | 74.2 | 89.4 | 74.4 | 79.2 | 74.0 | 73% |
| Over 163.5 (game total) | 50% of these 30 games | ||||||
CSKA Moscow100%
Lokomotiv Kuban88%
Unics Kazan78%
Zenit Petersburg70% Parma Perm44%
MBA Moscow44%
Saratov30%
Dynamo Vladivostok30%
Enisey12%
Samara0% Unics Kazan93.1 CSKA Moscow92.6 Lokomotiv Kuban91.4 Dynamo Vladivostok88.1 MBA Moscow88.0 Parma Perm87.4 Zenit Petersburg85.0
Uralmash Ekaterinburg84.3 Enisey81.4 Saratov72.8 Samara67.9 CSKA Moscow70.4 Unics Kazan74.8 Zenit Petersburg75.1 Lokomotiv Kuban76.5 Uralmash Ekaterinburg84.2 Parma Perm86.4 Enisey88.6 Saratov88.8 MBA Moscow90.0 Samara96.6 Dynamo Vladivostok97.3 Dynamo Vladivostok185.4 MBA Moscow178.0 Parma Perm173.9 Enisey170.0 Uralmash Ekaterinburg168.6 Unics Kazan167.9 Lokomotiv Kuban167.9 Samara164.5 CSKA Moscow163.0 Saratov161.6 Zenit Petersburg160.1| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | +/- | Over 163.5 | Home | Away | Close won | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 10 | 0 | 100% | 92.6 | 70.4 | +222 | 60% | 6-0 | 4-0 | 100% | WWWWW |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Kuban | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 91.4 | 76.5 | +119 | 62% | 6-0 | 1-1 | 67% | WWWWW |
| 3 | Unics Kazan | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 93.1 | 74.8 | +165 | 56% | 4-1 | 3-1 | - | WWLWW |
| 4 | Zenit Petersburg | 10 | 7 | 3 | 70% | 85.0 | 75.1 | +99 | 30% | 5-0 | 2-3 | 0% | WWWLW |
| 5 | Uralmash Ekaterinburg | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 84.3 | 84.2 | +1 | 67% | 2-1 | 3-3 | 50% | LWWWW |
| 6 | MBA Moscow | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 88.0 | 90.0 | -18 | 78% | 3-1 | 1-4 | 50% | LWLWW |
| 7 | Parma Perm | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 87.4 | 86.4 | +9 | 67% | 2-1 | 2-4 | 0% | WLWLL |
| 8 | Dynamo Vladivostok | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 88.1 | 97.3 | -92 | 90% | 1-2 | 2-5 | - | WLWLL |
| 9 | Saratov | 10 | 3 | 7 | 30% | 72.8 | 88.8 | -160 | 50% | 2-2 | 1-5 | 50% | WLLLL |
| 10 | Enisey | 8 | 1 | 7 | 12% | 81.4 | 88.6 | -58 | 50% | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0% | LLLLL |
| 11 | Samara | 10 | 0 | 10 | 0% | 67.9 | 96.6 | -287 | 60% | 0-6 | 0-4 | - | LLLLL |
Parma PermLast 20 – Full game points for & against| Full game | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the game | Over 163.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 81.6 | 81.6 | 163.2 | +0.0 | 40% | 50% |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 83.9 | 80.3 | 164.2 | +3.6 | 45% | 45% |
| Last 30 away (19) | 80.3 | 82.4 | 162.6 | -2.1 | 37% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.9 | 86.5 | 173.4 | +0.4 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.6 | 85.4 | 171.0 | +0.2 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 77.0 | 85.6 | 162.6 | -8.6 | 20% | 40% |
| vs Similar (9) | 84.0 | 86.2 | 170.2 | -2.2 | 22% | 78% |
| vs Weaker (11) | 83.8 | 74.2 | 158.0 | +9.6 | 73% | 36% |
| Game total (line 163.5) | Team points (line 81.5) | Margin (win) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Split | All | Home | Away | All | Home | Away | All | Home | Away |
| Overall (9) | 173.9 | 176.3 | 172.7 | 87.4 | 95.7 | 83.3 | +1.0 | +15.0 | -6.0 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 169.8 | 154.0 | 173.8 | 78.6 | 70.0 | 80.8 | -12.6 | -14.0 | -12.2 |
| vs Similar (2) | 170.5 | - | 170.5 | 88.5 | - | 88.5 | +6.5 | - | +6.5 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 187.5 | 187.5 | - | 108.5 | 108.5 | - | +29.5 | +29.5 | - |
| % over line / win | 67% | 67% | 67% | 78% | 67% | 83% | 44% | 67% | 33% |
| % under line / loss | 33% | 33% | 33% | 22% | 33% | 17% | 56% | 33% | 67% |
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.6 | 17.8 | 50.0% | - | 35.6 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 25.1 | 8.6 | 34.3% | - | 25.8 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.2 | 12.5 | 68.7% | - | 12.5 |
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games| Shot type | Opponents' Attempts per game | Opponents' Made per game | Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.8 | 19.5 | 49.0% | - | 39.0 |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.0 | 8.4 | 32.3% | - | 25.2 |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.9 | 14.3 | 75.7% | - | 14.3 |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zenit Petersburg under 88.5 | 71.2% | 1.60 | 1.60 | - | - | - | - | +14.8pp |
| Zenit Petersburg under 89.5 | 74.3% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +14.5pp |
| Under 171 | 70.0% | 1.57 | 1.60 | 1.54 | - | - | - | +12.3pp |
| Under 171.5 | 70.6% | 1.54 | 1.57 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +12.2pp |
| Parma Perm +9 | 70.5% | 1.44 | 1.50 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +8.6pp |
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| Metric | 2022-23 n=35 | 2023-24 n=39 | 2024-25 n=49 | 2025-26 n=43 | 2026-27 n=9 | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Points scored / game | 76.7 | 78.4 | 78.3 | 81.9 | 87.4 | |
| Points allowed / game | 79.9 | 79.6 | 82.9 | 79.0 | 86.4 | |
| Game total | 156.7 | 158.0 | 161.2 | 160.9 | 173.9 | |
| Over 153.5 | 51% | 59% | 69% | 65% | 89% | |
| Over 163.5 | 37% | 33% | 49% | 47% | 67% | |
| Over 173.5 | 20% | 18% | 22% | 26% | 67% | |
| Team points over 81.5 | 37% | 49% | 41% | 49% | 78% | |
| Win % | 46% | 51% | 39% | 51% | 44% | |
| Home win % | 59% | 58% | 50% | 62% | 67% | |
| Away win % | 33% | 45% | 28% | 41% | 33% | |
| Margin / game | -3.2 | -1.2 | -4.7 | +2.9 | +1.0 | |
| Won by 10+ | 20% | 21% | 14% | 30% | 33% | |
| Close games won (5 or fewer) | 58% | 62% | 75% | 40% | 0% | |
| Overtime % | 9% | 8% | 2% | 7% | 0% | |
| 1st half total | 80.2 | 80.1 | 82.0 | 81.2 | 86.0 | |
| Won the 1st half | 49% | 46% | 31% | 53% | 78% |
| Date | Game | Score | Res |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov | Parma Perm v Unics Kazan VTB United League | 70-84 | L |
| 07 Nov | Lokomotiv Kuban v Parma Perm VTB United League | 106-84 | L |
| 03 Nov | Parma Perm v Samara VTB United League | 109-68 | W |
| 27 Oct | CSKA Moscow v Parma Perm VTB United League | 79-57 | L |
| 17 Oct | Parma Perm v Dynamo Vladivostok VTB United League | 108-90 | W |
| 13 Oct | MBA Moscow v Parma Perm VTB United League | 93-91 | L |
| 10 Oct | Uralmash Ekaterinburg v Parma Perm VTB United League | 71-86 | W |
| 07 Oct | Zenit Petersburg v Parma Perm VTB United League | 99-85 | L |
| 26 Sep | Unics Kazan v Parma Perm VTB United League | 88-97 | W |
| 03 May | Parma Perm v Lokomotiv Kuban VTB United League | 82-87 | L |
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