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CSKA Moscow vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 30 Dec 2013
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 90-77 (OT)
14-22 23-14 18-16 17-20 18-5
Position#1
Record7-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game67.0
vs
Position#17
Record2-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game84.1
RussiaVTB United League
Domestic2013-14
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Neptunas
30 Dec 2013
CMO90
NEP77
06 Jan 2013
CMO79
NEP57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#24
W
88-46
88
46
+42
H15/11
Euroleague
Nanterre
#20
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H21/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A24/11
VTB United League
Budivelnyk
#27
W
82-74
82
74
+8
A29/11
Euroleague
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A01/12
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
74-78
74
78
-4
H06/12
Euroleague
Volgograd
#12
W
101-87
101
87
+14
H08/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H12/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#2
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H15/12
VTB United League
Partizan
#24
W
73-62
73
62
+11
A19/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-10
21-8
27-13
19-15
9-14
24-12
26-15
13-19
13-16
18-13
15-14
23-16
18-17
22-18
18-24
24-15
14-10
21-12
13-17
19-11
17-19
18-22
24-15
15-22
23-26
24-22
27-13
27-26
20-21
22-10
11-21
26-13
24-27
22-17
22-21
19-27
20-19
23-17
16-13
14-13
146.5Avg total
79.2Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.167.0145.1+11.188%
Season at home (4)85.074.0159.0+11.075%
Season away (4)71.260.0131.2+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)79.267.3146.5+11.980%
Last 5 (5)82.876.8159.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)76.672.4149.0+4.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)72.363.1135.4+9.286%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volgograd
#12
L
95-96
95
96
-1
A17/11
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
W
85-72
85
72
+13
H20/11
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#13
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A23/11
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
W
83-74
83
74
+9
A27/11
Eurocup
Astana
#11
W
84-82
84
82
+2
A01/12
VTB United League
Panionios
#40
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H04/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A08/12
LKL
Radnicki
#33
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A11/12
Eurocup
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
92-74
92
74
+18
H18/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
A21/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
27-20
24-30
19-22
22-13
11-21
32-18
20-20
13-17
10-24
10-21
26-12
21-16
19-18
19-14
24-26
20-17
18-22
26-20
20-23
17-25
16-16
22-20
23-25
24-16
18-21
14-15
13-16
20-31
16-22
17-19
28-19
25-14
23-19
17-19
27-22
20-21
6-11
19-19
20-14
159.8Avg total
80.5Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)78.684.1162.8-5.525%
Season at home (2)86.589.0175.5-2.550%
Season away (6)76.082.5158.5-6.517%
Last 10 (10)80.579.3159.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)79.879.0158.8+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.579.2156.8-1.850%
vs Similar (13)81.481.9163.3-0.531%
vs Weaker (5)83.677.6161.2+6.080%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +6.4+6.4Q2: -3.0-3.0Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.1+2.1
CSKA MoscowNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Partizan
#24
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H15/11
Euroleague
Nanterre
#20
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H21/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#7
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A24/11
VTB United League
Budivelnyk
#27
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A29/11
Euroleague
Krasnye Krylya
#8
W
35-22
35
22
+13
A01/12
VTB United League
Fenerbahce
#7
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H06/12
Euroleague
Volgograd
#12
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H08/12
VTB United League
Barcelona
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H12/12
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H15/12
VTB United League
Partizan
#24
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A19/12
Euroleague
72.4Avg total
39.4Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.668.7+3.573%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.930.867.7+6.187%-
Last 30 away (15)35.334.569.7+0.860%-
Last 10 (10)39.433.072.4+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)42.640.082.6+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)38.534.072.5+4.575%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)35.232.167.4+3.173%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Volgograd
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A17/11
VTB United League
Bisons Loimaa
#27
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H20/11
Eurocup
VEF Riga
#13
L
23-41
23
41
-18
A23/11
VTB United League
Besiktas
#8
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A27/11
Eurocup
Astana
#11
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/12
VTB United League
Panionios
#40
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H04/12
Eurocup
Nevezis
#9
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A08/12
LKL
Radnicki
#33
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A11/12
Eurocup
Spartak St. Petersburg
#44
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/12
Eurocup
Juventus
#7
L
26-32
26
32
-6
A21/12
LKL
75.9Avg total
37.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.277.3-1.140%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.237.178.3+4.258%-
Last 30 away (18)36.040.676.6-4.628%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.875.9-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.039.276.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.839.477.2-1.733%-
vs Similar (13)36.839.476.2-2.531%-
vs Weaker (5)42.238.280.4+4.080%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSKA Moscow wins
0
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
06/01/13CSKA Moscow v Neptunas79-57
07/10/12Neptunas v CSKA Moscow72-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/13APartizan73-62
15/12/13HKhimki M.87-92
12/12/13HBarcelona79-65
08/12/13HVolgograd101-87
06/12/13HFenerbahce74-78
01/12/13AKrasnye Krylya67-50
29/11/13ABudivelnyk82-74
24/11/13AZenit Petersburg69-59
21/11/13HNanterre72-60
15/11/13HPartizan88-46
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/13AJuventus79-76 OT
18/12/13HSpartak St. Petersburg92-74
11/12/13ARadnicki81-91
08/12/13ANevezis69-68
04/12/13HPanionios78-86
01/12/13AAstana84-82
27/11/13ABesiktas83-74
23/11/13AVEF Riga59-74
20/11/13HBisons Loimaa85-72
17/11/13AVolgograd95-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %88%75%100%
Points / game78.185.071.2
Allowed / game67.074.060.0
Point differential+11.1+11.0+11.2
Avg total145.1159.0131.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
VTB United League 2013-14
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %25%50%17%
Points / game78.686.576.0
Allowed / game84.189.082.5
Point differential-5.5-2.5-6.5
Avg total162.8175.5158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %12%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Khimki M.990100%83.969.1+14.8
2 Unics Kazan98189%77.165.3+11.8
3 CSKA Moscow87188%78.167.0+11.1
4 Rytas97278%74.268.0+6.2
5 Lokomotiv Kuban96367%74.171.4+2.7
6 Nizhny Novgorod95456%78.475.9+2.6
7 Krasnye Krylya95456%75.874.3+1.4
8 Donetsk95456%82.382.9-0.6
9 Minsk94544%78.879.3-0.6
10 VEF Riga94544%75.776.7-1.0
11 Enisey94544%82.886.0-3.2
12 Zenit Petersburg94544%76.479.8-3.3
13 Volgograd94544%88.092.1-4.1
14 Astana93633%80.985.4-4.6
15 Spartak St. Petersburg93633%67.773.9-6.2
16 Turow Zgorzelec82625%76.678.9-2.2
17 Neptunas82625%78.684.1-5.5
18 BC Kalev/Cramo82625%75.681.6-6.0
19 Nymburk92722%74.480.3-5.9
20 Azovmash Mariupol92722%73.180.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
CSKA Moscow142318171890
Neptunas22141620577
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