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CSM Targu Jiu vs Rapid Bucuresti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 72-88
20-28 18-22 18-20 16-18
Position#15
Record0-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game66.4
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#5
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game71.6
RomaniaDivizia ARound 6· Sala Sporturilor Targu Jiu
Other2025-26
Meetings · CSM Targu Jiu v Rapid Bucuresti
25 Oct 2025
CSM 72
RAPI88
05 Nov 2023
CSM 58
RAPI94
16 Oct 2022
CSM 64
RAPI85
19 Mar 2022
CSM 68
RAPI64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Jiu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapid Bucuresti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu JiuRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJiu
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#9
L
54-79
54
79
-25
no box
H09/09
Romanian Cup
CSU ASE Bucuresti
#17
W
98-58
98
58
+40
103avg 66
H16/09
Romanian Cup
CSU ASE Bucuresti
#17
W
102-49
102
49
+53
107avg 66
A19/09
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
75-86
75
86
-11
64avg 66
H24/09
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
62-89
62
89
-27
53avg 66
A28/09
Romanian Cup
CSM Oradea
#2
L
53-99
53
99
-46
40avg 66
H01/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
L
74-95
74
95
-21
64avg 66
H04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 66
A08/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
L
71-81
71
81
-10
51avg 66
H11/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
60-67
60
67
-7
49avg 66
A18/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
17-17
10-22
13-23
22-15
26-12
19-16
31-15
23-17
22-7
35-10
22-15
19-22
23-19
14-28
19-17
18-24
10-27
18-23
16-15
12-18
8-25
17-27
16-29
17-24
15-19
15-20
27-32
18-26
19-23
17-8
20-29
14-22
24-21
21-20
12-18
19-22
12-13
17-12
12-20
151.2Avg total
72.3Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)66.485.6152.0-19.20%
Season at home (3)66.091.7157.7-25.70%
Season away (2)67.076.5143.5-9.50%
Last 10 (10)72.378.9151.2-6.620%
Last 5 (5)66.485.6152.0-19.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.786.3162.0-10.527%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (18)87.782.7170.4+5.050%
This opponent (Rapid Bucuresti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rapid BucurestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucuresti
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
64-61
64
61
+3
54avg 72
A16/05
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
65-71
65
71
-6
49avg 72
H19/05
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
64-96
64
96
-32
48avg 72
A22/05
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
W
77-71
77
71
+6
78avg 72
H25/05
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
W
99-76
99
76
+23
97avg 72
A28/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
87-69
87
69
+18
81avg 72
H01/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
76-74
76
74
+2
35avg 72
A04/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
80-68
80
68
+12
74avg 72
H08/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
73avg 72
A11/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
84-63
84
63
+21
82avg 72
H18/10
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
7-15
19-18
23-10
15-18
18-19
23-15
13-17
11-20
17-18
19-34
10-19
18-25
19-23
18-19
17-16
23-13
22-23
29-19
25-15
23-19
18-14
22-21
20-13
27-21
23-13
17-17
24-19
12-25
19-12
20-17
23-21
18-18
21-16
18-21
20-21
17-18
18-17
31-14
17-19
18-13
151.5Avg total
78.2Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.671.6154.2+11.0100%
Season at home (3)83.766.7150.3+17.0100%
Season away (2)81.079.0160.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.273.3151.5+4.980%
Last 5 (5)82.671.6154.2+11.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)72.989.8162.8-16.98%
vs Similar (13)80.574.8155.2+5.777%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)92.869.5162.2+23.2100%
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: -0.8-0.8
CSM Targu JiuRapid Bucuresti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu JiuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petrolul Ploiesti
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
H09/09
Romanian Cup
CSU ASE Bucuresti
#17
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H16/09
Romanian Cup
CSU ASE Bucuresti
#17
W
45-24
45
24
+21
A19/09
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/09
Romanian Cup
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
28-51
28
51
-23
A28/09
Romanian Cup
CSM Oradea
#2
L
20-43
20
43
-23
H01/10
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H04/10
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/10
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/10
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A18/10
Divizia A
74.2Avg total
35.2Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.443.082.5-3.643%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.842.281.0-3.544%-
Last 30 away (14)40.243.984.1-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)35.239.074.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)31.642.674.2-11.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.645.380.9-9.69%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (18)42.242.284.4+0.167%-
This opponent (Rapid Bucuresti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rapid BucurestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A16/05
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H19/05
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#6
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A22/05
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H25/05
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#12
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A28/05
Divizia A
CSM Targu Mures
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H01/10
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#10
W
40-30
40
30
+10
A04/10
Divizia A
BC Steaua Bucuresti
#12
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H08/10
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A11/10
Divizia A
Municipal Galati
#16
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H18/10
Divizia A
76.3Avg total
39.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.740.178.8-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.037.476.4+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)38.442.580.9-4.131%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.576.3+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)41.432.473.8+9.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.543.379.8-6.831%-
vs Similar (13)37.937.675.5+0.346%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)48.237.886.0+10.575%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Jiu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Jiutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Jiu: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.916.7
50.8%
55.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.99.0
32.3%
33.8%27.0
🏀 Free throws15.711.3
72.0%
73.0%11.3
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rapid Bucurestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapid Bucuresti: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.5
52.7%
55.9%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.77.8
37.7%
33.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws19.713.1
66.5%
73.0%13.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Jiu
LLLLLLLWWL
Rapid Bucuresti
WWWWWWWLLW
#15
League position
#5
-8.7
Net rating
+6.8
100.1
Offensive rating
110.3
108.8
Defensive rating
103.5
49.7%
Effective FG%
54.0%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
21.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
29.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.3%
3-point %
37.7%
57.6%
Assist %
52.7%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 110.3Defence108.8 · 103.5Shooting49.7% · 54.0%3-point %32.3% · 37.7%Ball care21.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.0% · 29.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ CSM Targu Jiu   ■ Rapid Bucuresti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
CSM Targu Jiu wins
4
Rapid Bucuresti wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25AArges Pitesti60-67
11/10/25HCorona Brasov71-81
08/10/25AVoluntari74-86
04/10/25HValcea74-95
01/10/25HCSM Oradea53-99
28/09/25ADinamo Bucharest62-89
24/09/25HDinamo Bucharest75-86
19/09/25ACSU ASE Bucuresti102-49
16/09/25HCSU ASE Bucuresti98-58
09/09/24HPetrolul Ploiesti54-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/25HMunicipal Galati84-63
11/10/25ADinamo Bucharest86-84 OT
08/10/25HBC Steaua Bucuresti80-68
04/10/25ACSU Sibiu76-74
01/10/25HCSM Targu Mures87-69
28/05/25ASCM Craiova99-76
25/05/25HSCM Craiova77-71
22/05/25AArges Pitesti64-96
19/05/25HArges Pitesti65-71
16/05/25AArges Pitesti64-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Jiu
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.466.067.0
Allowed / game85.691.776.5
Point differential-19.2-25.7-9.5
Avg total152.0157.7143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rapid Bucuresti
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.683.781.0
Allowed / game71.666.779.0
Point differential+11.0+17.0+2.0
Avg total154.2150.3160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %20%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea440100%90.273.2+17.0
2 Arges Pitesti550100%77.662.6+15.0
3 Rapid Bucuresti550100%82.671.6+11.0
4 Valcea43175%94.577.5+17.0
5 SCM Craiova43175%89.082.5+6.5
6 Corona Brasov43175%80.079.0+1.0
7 Voluntari42250%84.577.8+6.8
8 CSM Targu Mures42250%84.289.5-5.2
9 SCM Timisoara52340%88.887.8+1.0
10 Dinamo Bucharest52340%84.884.4+0.4
11 Petrolul Ploiesti41325%86.892.8-6.0
12 BC Steaua Bucuresti51420%78.283.6-5.4
13 CSU Sibiu51420%77.887.8-10.0
14 CSM Targu Jiu5050%66.485.6-19.2
15 Municipal Galati5050%62.284.6-22.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSM Targu Jiu2018181672
Rapid Bucuresti2822201888
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