CSM Targu Mures will host Rapid Bucuresti on 9 November 2026 in the Divizia A, with the model favouring the home side at 58% to win over Rapid's 42%. CSM Targu Mures has gone 4-1 this season, scoring an average of 91.2 points and allowing 83.2, while Rapid Bucuresti sits 2-3, averaging 91.4 points and conceding 92.6. At home CSM Targu Mures is 1-1, averaging 88.5 points and 90.0 allowed, and on the road Rapid Bucuresti is 1-1, averaging 88.0 points and 85.0 allowed. In the last five games CSM Targu Mures won four, including a 110-81 victory over Petrolul Ploiesti, a 92-89 win at home against BC Steaua Bucuresti, and a 91-83 win away at Valcea; Rapid Bucuresti won two of their last five, with a 96-79 win over CSM Oradea, a 88-72 win away at Petrolul Ploiesti, and a 123-127 loss to CSU Sibiu. Historically the teams have met ten times, with Rapid leading 6-4, though CSM Targu Mures last beat Rapid 103-96 on 10 January 2026. Pythia projects a 90-88 score for the game, with a total of 178.6 points, a home line of -3.5 and a 48% chance that CSM Targu Mures covers, while the over has a modest probability; the chance of overtime is 5%. The next contest will see CSM Targu Mures try to extend their winning streak against a Rapid side that has struggled on the road.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 91.2 | 83.2 | 174.4 | +8.0 | 80% |
| Season at home (2) | 88.5 | 90.0 | 178.5 | -1.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 93.0 | 78.7 | 171.7 | +14.3 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 96.8 | 84.8 | 181.6 | +12.0 | 90% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.2 | 83.2 | 174.4 | +8.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 85.0 | 93.0 | 178.0 | -8.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (15) | 97.6 | 95.8 | 193.4 | +1.8 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 93.1 | 87.4 | 180.4 | +5.7 | 64% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 91.4 | 92.6 | 184.0 | -1.2 | 40% |
| Season at home (3) | 93.7 | 97.7 | 191.3 | -4.0 | 33% |
| Season away (2) | 88.0 | 85.0 | 173.0 | +3.0 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.6 | 86.0 | 175.6 | +3.6 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 91.4 | 92.6 | 184.0 | -1.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 93.2 | 94.8 | 188.0 | -1.5 | 50% |
| vs Similar (21) | 86.0 | 86.5 | 172.5 | -0.5 | 48% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 93.0 | 77.6 | 170.6 | +15.4 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.6 | 45.7 | 92.3 | +0.9 | 40% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 50.6 | 46.2 | 96.9 | +4.4 | 59% | 59% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 41.3 | 45.0 | 86.3 | -3.7 | 15% | 31% |
| Last 10 (10) | 48.0 | 42.6 | 90.6 | +5.4 | 50% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.4 | 43.0 | 83.4 | -2.6 | 20% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 38.0 | 44.0 | 82.0 | -6.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Similar (15) | 45.6 | 45.5 | 91.1 | +0.1 | 40% | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (14) | 48.3 | 46.1 | 94.4 | +2.2 | 43% | 43% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 92 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 42.5 | 42.9 | 85.4 | -0.4 | 40% | 23% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 42.9 | 44.2 | 87.1 | -1.3 | 33% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 42.1 | 41.6 | 83.7 | +0.5 | 47% | 13% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.8 | 44.0 | 87.8 | -0.2 | 40% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 39.0 | 48.4 | 87.4 | -9.4 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 41.2 | 51.0 | 92.2 | -9.8 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (21) | 42.5 | 42.3 | 84.8 | +0.2 | 43% | 19% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 43.6 | 39.0 | 82.6 | +4.6 | 60% | 20% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 187 | 70.5% | 1.58 | 1.60 | 1.55 | - | - | - | +13.4pp | Won |
| CSM Targu Mures under 99.5 | 81.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Lost |
| CSM Targu Mures under 97.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +9.1pp | Lost |
| CSM Targu Mures under 98.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Lost |
| CSM Targu Mures under 96.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | +9.0pp | Lost |
| Rapid Bucuresti under 95.5 | 76.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Rapid Bucuresti +8.5 | 70.4% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +5.0pp | Lost |
| Rapid Bucuresti under 94.5 | 73.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Rapid Bucuresti +9.5 | 73.4% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Lost |
| Rapid Bucuresti under 93.5 | 70.1% | 1.34 | 1.34 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 94.7% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +4.0pp | - |
| Rapid Bucuresti over 82.5 | 70.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.0pp | Lost |
| Under 188.5 | 73.1% | 1.54 | 1.54 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Under 188 | 72.6% | 1.56 | 1.56 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Under 187.5 | 71.1% | 1.59 | 1.59 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.7 | 23.6 | 56.7% | 47.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.6 | 11.4 | 32.6% | 34.2 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.4 | 15.1 | 75.1% | 15.1 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 42.7 | 24.1 | 56.7% | 48.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.7 | 7.5 | 32.6% | 22.5 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.4 | 18.0 | 75.1% | 18.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10/01/26 | CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti | 103-96 OT |
| 01/10/25 | Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures | 87-69 |
| 26/04/25 | Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures | 76-89 |
| 04/01/25 | CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti | 74-81 |
| 23/03/24 | CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti | 76-79 |
| 10/02/24 | Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures | 86-78 |
| 14/01/23 | Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures | 87-77 |
| 20/11/22 | CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti | 62-81 |
| 16/03/19 | Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures | 65-85 |
| 27/01/19 | CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti | 99-72 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Petrolul Ploiesti | 110-81 |
| 22/10/26 | H | BC Steaua Bucuresti | 92-89 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Valcea | 91-83 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Voluntari | 85-91 |
| 04/10/26 | A | SCM Timisoara | 78-72 |
| 23/05/26 | A | Corona Brasov | 96-81 |
| 21/05/26 | H | Corona Brasov | 118-78 |
| 16/05/26 | A | CSM Targu Jiu | 98-95 |
| 12/05/26 | H | CSM Targu Jiu | 108-87 |
| 10/05/26 | H | CSM Targu Jiu | 92-91 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | CSM Oradea | 96-79 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Petrolul Ploiesti | 88-72 |
| 19/10/26 | H | CSU Sibiu | 123-127 OT |
| 12/10/26 | A | BC Steaua Bucuresti | 88-98 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Dinamo Bucharest | 62-87 |
| 23/05/26 | H | Voluntari | 89-82 |
| 20/05/26 | A | Voluntari | 91-75 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Arges Pitesti | 83-78 |
| 11/05/26 | H | Arges Pitesti | 96-77 |
| 06/05/26 | A | Dinamo Bucharest | 80-85 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 80% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WWW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 91.2 | 88.5 | 93.0 |
| Allowed / game | 83.2 | 90.0 | 78.7 |
| Point differential | +8.0 | -1.5 | +14.3 |
| Avg total | 174.4 | 178.5 | 171.7 |
| Over 180.75 | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWW | 40% |
| Home | LLW | 33% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Win % | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Points / game | 91.4 | 93.7 | 88.0 |
| Allowed / game | 92.6 | 97.7 | 85.0 |
| Point differential | -1.2 | -4.0 | +3.0 |
| Avg total | 184.0 | 191.3 | 173.0 |
| Over 180.75 | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 87.7 | 78.2 | +9.5 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 90.2 | 83.7 | +6.5 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 87.2 | 77.6 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 91.2 | 83.2 | +8.0 | |
| 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 103.0 | 99.2 | +3.8 | |
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 88.6 | 84.4 | +4.2 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 97.5 | 95.7 | +1.8 | |
| 8 | Rapid Bucuresti | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 91.4 | 92.6 | -1.2 |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 87.2 | 87.8 | -0.7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 85.3 | 86.7 | -1.3 | |
| 11 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 88.7 | 91.0 | -2.3 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 81.7 | 87.5 | -5.8 | |
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 90.0 | 100.8 | -10.8 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 76.7 | 93.2 | -16.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | 22 | 20 | 32 | 105 | |
| Rapid Bucuresti | 16 | 26 | 22 | 16 | 80 |
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