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CSM Targu Mures vs Rapid Bucuresti Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 103-96 (OT)
21-22 20-17 24-11 18-33 20-13
Position#9
Record7-7
FormLLWWL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game93.7
CSM Targu Mures 🏆
Romania
vs
Rapid Bucuresti
Romania
Position#5
Record8-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game80.1
RomaniaDivizia ARound 16· Sala Sporturilor Târgu Mure
Other2025-26
Meetings · CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti
09 Nov 2026
CSM v RAPI
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
CSM 103
RAPI96
04 Jan 2025
CSM 74
RAPI81
23 Mar 2024
CSM 76
RAPI79
20 Nov 2022
CSM 62
RAPI81
27 Jan 2019
CSM 99
RAPI72
05 Jan 2019
CSM 108
RAPI50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSM Targu Mures winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rapid Bucuresti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSM Targu MuresRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMures
Date
Competition
Municipal Galati
#16
W
89-76
89
76
+13
54avg 85
A08/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
95-85
95
85
+10
88avg 85
H13/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
97-102
97
102
-5
90avg 85
H19/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
82-101
82
101
-19
71avg 85
H04/12
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
110-105 OT
110
105
+5
96avg 85
A13/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#2
L
96-97
96
97
-1
90avg 85
A17/12
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#3
L
85-89
85
89
-4
75avg 85
H20/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#2
W
105-85
105
85
+20
108avg 85
H23/12
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
120-117 OT
120
117
+3
110avg 85
A30/12
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
92-96
92
96
-4
86avg 85
H05/01
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-14
21-25
20-13
18-24
17-24
31-21
22-22
25-18
26-25
25-31
21-24
25-22
16-26
28-19
20-32
18-24
31-27
18-25
29-21
17-22
33-27
29-31
23-21
11-18
24-21
20-18
24-21
17-29
37-13
28-23
19-24
21-25
31-19
23-23
22-29
17-22
21-20
22-35
27-26
22-15
192.4Avg total
97.1Scored
95.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.193.7185.9-1.650%
Season at home (7)88.394.0182.3-5.729%
Season away (7)96.093.4189.4+2.671%
Last 10 (10)97.195.3192.4+1.850%
Last 5 (5)99.696.8196.4+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)89.0103.7192.7-14.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)89.293.4182.6-4.236%
vs Weaker (13)97.381.5178.8+15.885%
This opponent (Rapid Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rapid BucurestiRomaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucuresti
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
64avg 71
A08/11
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 71
H16/11
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
74-90
74
90
-16
64avg 71
A21/11
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
L
84-85
84
85
-1
78avg 71
H08/12
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
86-91
86
91
-5
74avg 71
A13/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
78avg 71
H17/12
Romanian Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
W
87-84
87
84
+3
80avg 71
H20/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
85-101 OT
85
101
-16
70avg 71
A23/12
Romanian Cup
SCM Craiova
#7
L
84-95
84
95
-11
70avg 71
H29/12
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
63avg 71
A04/01
Divizia A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
26-22
11-22
20-17
14-22
26-16
24-24
18-14
25-21
18-28
17-15
14-26
21-30
29-13
9-22
25-20
20-21
19-23
23-23
24-24
23-15
18-24
16-12
26-22
15-23
19-26
26-24
27-11
22-17
12-28
19-24
26-20
12-19
27-23
18-29
27-24
24-19
15-23
23-23
16-22
168.5Avg total
81.9Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.380.1162.4+2.157%
Season at home (7)84.077.1161.1+6.971%
Season away (7)80.683.1163.7-2.643%
Last 10 (10)81.986.6168.5-4.730%
Last 5 (5)83.488.0171.4-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)70.984.9155.8-14.020%
vs Similar ◀ (14)81.280.4161.6+0.857%
vs Weaker (6)89.373.5162.8+15.883%
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.0+5.0Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +2.3+2.3
CSM Targu MuresRapid Bucuresti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSM Targu MuresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Municipal Galati
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A08/11
Divizia A
CSM Targu Jiu
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H13/11
Divizia A
SCM Craiova
#7
L
51-56
51
56
-5
H19/11
Divizia A
CSM Oradea
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H04/12
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A13/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#2
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A17/12
Romanian Cup
Voluntari
#3
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H20/12
Divizia A
CSU Sibiu
#2
W
65-36
65
36
+29
H23/12
Romanian Cup
Corona Brasov
#13
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A30/12
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H05/01
Divizia A
97.8Avg total
51.1Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.944.392.2+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.942.991.7+6.060%-
Last 30 away (15)47.045.792.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)51.146.797.8+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)53.646.099.6+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.093.7-8.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)44.945.490.3-0.643%-
vs Weaker (13)52.541.593.9+11.092%-
This opponent (Rapid Bucuresti) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rapid BucurestiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSM Oradea
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A08/11
Divizia A
Valcea
#6
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H16/11
Divizia A
Voluntari
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A21/11
Divizia A
Corona Brasov
#13
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H08/12
Divizia A
Arges Pitesti
#11
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A13/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H17/12
Romanian Cup
Petrolul Ploiesti
#14
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H20/12
Divizia A
Dinamo Bucharest
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A23/12
Romanian Cup
SCM Craiova
#7
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H29/12
Divizia A
SCM Timisoara
#8
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A04/01
Divizia A
84.0Avg total
40.4Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.180.9-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.038.379.3+2.764%-
Last 30 away (16)38.843.682.3-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)40.443.684.0-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.480.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.544.781.2-8.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.439.378.7+0.150%-
vs Weaker (6)46.239.385.5+6.867%-
This opponent (CSM Targu Mures) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSM Targu Murestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSM Targu Mures: 96.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.923.7
55.2%
55.9%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.7
39.1%
33.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws21.117.0
80.6%
73.0%17.0
They take 70.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rapid Bucurestitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rapid Bucuresti: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.2 points a game
52%
29%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.621.8
52.4%
55.9%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.0
32.3%
33.8%21.0
🏀 Free throws22.316.4
73.5%
73.0%16.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSM Targu Mures
LWWLLWLLWW
Rapid Bucuresti
LLLWWLLLWL
#9
League position
#5
+3.1
Net rating
-6.2
123.3
Offensive rating
108.5
120.2
Defensive rating
114.7
56.5%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
11.5%
Turnover %
15.9%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.35
39.1%
3-point %
32.3%
54.9%
Assist %
48.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence123.3 · 108.5Defence120.2 · 114.7Shooting56.5% · 51.0%3-point %39.1% · 32.3%Ball care11.5% · 15.9%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ CSM Targu Mures   ■ Rapid Bucuresti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
CSM Targu Mures wins
6
Rapid Bucuresti wins
DateGameScore
01/10/25Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures87-69
26/04/25Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures76-89
04/01/25CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti74-81
23/03/24CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti76-79
10/02/24Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures86-78
14/01/23Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures87-77
20/11/22CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti62-81
16/03/19Rapid Bucuresti v CSM Targu Mures65-85
27/01/19CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti99-72
05/01/19CSM Targu Mures v Rapid Bucuresti108-50
CSM Targu Mureslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/26HArges Pitesti92-96
30/12/25ACorona Brasov120-117 OT
23/12/25HCSU Sibiu105-85
20/12/25HVoluntari85-89
17/12/25ACSU Sibiu96-97
13/12/25AValcea110-105 OT
04/12/25HCSM Oradea82-101
19/11/25HSCM Craiova97-102
13/11/25HCSM Targu Jiu95-85
08/11/25AMunicipal Galati89-76
Rapid Bucurestilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ASCM Timisoara78-87
29/12/25HSCM Craiova84-95
23/12/25ADinamo Bucharest85-101 OT
20/12/25HPetrolul Ploiesti87-84
17/12/25HDinamo Bucharest83-73
13/12/25AArges Pitesti86-91
08/12/25HCorona Brasov84-85
21/11/25AVoluntari74-90
16/11/25HValcea82-76
08/11/25ACSM Oradea76-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSM Targu Mures
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWLLLL29%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%29%71%
Points / game92.188.396.0
Allowed / game93.794.093.4
Point differential-1.6-5.7+2.6
Avg total185.9182.3189.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)25% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %21%0%43%
Rapid Bucuresti
Divizia A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL57%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayWLLLL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%71%43%
Points / game82.384.080.6
Allowed / game80.177.183.1
Point differential+2.1+6.9-2.6
Avg total162.4161.1163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%43%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSM Oradea1514193%87.772.0+15.7
2 Voluntari1511473%88.879.3+9.5
3 Arges Pitesti1410471%80.274.2+6.0
4 SCM Craiova139469%89.082.5+6.5
5 Rapid Bucuresti148657%82.380.1+2.1
6 Valcea137654%90.584.9+5.5
7 Dinamo Bucharest158753%85.484.2+1.2
8 SCM Timisoara147750%89.486.6+2.8
9 CSM Targu Mures147750%92.193.7-1.6
10 Corona Brasov147750%84.686.9-2.4
11 BC Steaua Bucuresti146843%82.381.9+0.4
12 Petrolul Ploiesti146843%86.790.2-3.5
13 CSU Sibiu145936%82.486.1-3.8
14 CSM Targu Jiu151147%74.490.1-15.7
15 Municipal Galati140140%73.996.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
CSM Targu Mures2120241820103
Rapid Bucuresti221711331396
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