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Danilovgrad vs Decic Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 96-82
22-21 34-26 19-20 21-15
Position#13
Record4-13
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game89.2
vs
Position#10
Record6-11
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.1
Allowed / game88.8
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 18· Sportski Centar Danilovgrad
Other2025-26
Meetings · Danilovgrad v Decic
07 Feb 2026
DANI96
DECI82
09 Nov 2024
DANI86
DECI93
16 Mar 2024
DANI84
DECI79
25 Mar 2023
DANI74
DECI103
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Danilovgrad winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Decic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDanilovgrad
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 65
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
75-80
75
80
-5
50avg 65
A13/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
75-83
75
83
-8
no box
H18/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
75-70
75
70
+5
66avg 65
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
105-94
105
94
+11
109avg 65
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
85-95
85
95
-10
74avg 65
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
103-79
103
79
+24
100avg 65
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-113
76
113
-37
no box
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
82-89
82
89
-7
67avg 65
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
72-91
72
91
-19
56avg 65
A31/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-18
15-23
21-24
15-23
17-21
22-21
12-17
24-21
19-22
25-17
11-20
20-24
20-24
16-22
21-12
18-12
26-27
28-16
29-24
22-27
25-23
17-28
18-21
25-23
24-22
30-8
19-21
30-28
13-25
19-38
17-29
27-21
17-16
24-24
20-19
21-30
24-23
17-26
18-19
13-23
170.5Avg total
82.3Scored
88.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)80.089.2169.2-9.224%
Season at home (8)78.188.8166.9-10.612%
Season away (9)81.789.7171.3-8.033%
Last 10 (10)82.388.2170.5-5.930%
Last 5 (5)83.693.4177.0-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)72.888.0160.7-15.226%
vs Similar ◀ (5)83.488.4171.8-5.020%
vs Weaker (2)75.078.0153.0-3.050%
This opponent (Decic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecic
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 80
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 80
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
65avg 80
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 80
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 80
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 80
A11/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
93-89 OT
93
89
+4
no box
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
78-94
78
94
-16
74avg 80
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
92-87
92
87
+5
87avg 80
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
76-115
76
115
-39
64avg 80
H03/02
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
31-10
12-24
23-17
23-19
24-20
19-28
15-20
15-28
21-16
15-22
21-17
25-23
27-23
21-22
15-23
12-25
15-19
23-25
32-22
29-29
26-22
22-22
24-22
20-26
19-22
26-17
17-17
24-30
16-22
19-20
19-22
17-17
20-18
24-27
31-25
22-23
26-30
6-38
22-24
175.9Avg total
85.1Scored
90.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.188.8172.9-4.635%
Season at home (9)84.086.8170.8-2.844%
Season away (8)84.291.0175.2-6.825%
Last 10 (10)85.190.8175.9-5.740%
Last 5 (5)88.096.0184.0-8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.489.6173.0-6.329%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.987.8172.7-2.940%
vs Weaker (6)93.890.7184.5+3.267%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -5.8-5.8Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.0+1.0
DanilovgradDecic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A13/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H18/12
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
32-63
32
63
-31
A17/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H24/01
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A31/01
Prva A Liga
86.6Avg total
42.2Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.843.781.5-5.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.741.379.0-3.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.946.284.1-8.327%-
Last 10 (10)42.244.486.6-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)42.046.688.6-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)36.544.581.0-8.035%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)43.242.685.8+0.640%-
vs Weaker (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Decic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DecicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A11/01
Prva A Liga
Tivat
#12
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H17/01
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A22/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H31/01
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H03/02
Prva A Liga
88.1Avg total
43.4Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.944.386.1-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.985.4+1.756%-
Last 30 away (14)39.947.086.9-7.114%-
Last 10 (10)43.444.788.1-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)43.847.891.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.643.984.4-3.321%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)40.144.784.8-4.640%-
vs Weaker (6)47.844.592.3+3.367%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Danilovgrad: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.018.0
51.4%
58.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.0
31.7%
31.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws25.519.5
76.5%
69.7%19.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Decictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decic: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.224.5
69.5%
58.8%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.57.2
24.6%
31.5%21.8
🏀 Free throws24.217.5
72.2%
69.7%17.5
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Danilovgrad
LLLWLWWLLL
Decic
LWLWWLLLLW
#13
League position
#10
-3.8
Net rating
-4.4
109.0
Offensive rating
111.4
112.8
Defensive rating
115.9
49.6%
Effective FG%
54.6%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.37
31.7%
3-point %
24.6%
52.7%
Assist %
61.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 111.4Defence112.8 · 115.9Shooting49.6% · 54.6%3-point %31.7% · 24.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Danilovgrad   ■ Decic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Danilovgrad wins
5
Decic wins
DateGameScore
08/11/25Decic v Danilovgrad82-77
08/03/25Decic v Danilovgrad86-88 OT
09/11/24Danilovgrad v Decic86-93 OT
16/03/24Danilovgrad v Decic84-79
23/12/23Decic v Danilovgrad105-74
25/03/23Danilovgrad v Decic74-103
10/12/22Decic v Danilovgrad114-53
Danilovgradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26APodgorica72-91
24/01/26HPrimorje82-89
17/01/26ASutjeska76-113
12/01/26AStudentski Centar103-79
04/01/26AKotor85-95
27/12/25HTivat105-94
23/12/25ALovcen Cetinje75-70
18/12/25HVukovi Zeta75-83
13/12/25AMornar Bar75-80
06/12/25HIbar Rozaje75-88
Deciclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/26HSutjeska76-115
31/01/26HPrimorje92-87
22/01/26AStudentski Centar78-94
17/01/26HTivat93-89 OT
11/01/26AVukovi Zeta101-95
04/01/26AIbar Rozaje82-91
27/12/25HUlcinj88-91
23/12/25APodgorica72-83
14/12/25AKotor81-87
06/12/25HLovcen Cetinje88-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL24%
HomeLLLWL12%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %24%12%33%
Points / game80.078.181.7
Allowed / game89.288.889.7
Point differential-9.2-10.6-8.0
Avg total169.2166.9171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%12%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Decic
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL35%
HomeWLWWL44%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %35%44%25%
Points / game84.184.084.2
Allowed / game88.886.891.0
Point differential-4.6-2.8-6.8
Avg total172.9170.8175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)43% (7)100% (1)
Overtime %6%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1714382%91.880.8+11.1
2 Sutjeska1713476%96.579.8+16.8
3 Mornar Bar1813572%85.480.0+5.4
4 Jedinstvo1712571%88.384.8+3.5
5 Lovcen Cetinje1711665%77.575.2+2.3
6 Kotor1710759%79.678.2+1.5
7 Studentski Centar1881044%80.384.0-3.7
8 Podgorica1771041%78.879.1-0.4
9 Ibar Rozaje1771041%75.779.7-4.0
10 Decic1761135%84.188.8-4.6
11 Tivat1761135%88.795.5-6.8
12 Ulcinj1751229%78.184.8-6.8
13 Vukovi Zeta1741324%83.088.1-5.1
14 Danilovgrad1741324%80.089.2-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Danilovgrad2234192196
Decic2126201582
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