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Mornar Bar vs Danilovgrad Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-75
21-17 21-22 17-12 21-24
Position#4
Record5-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game83.5
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Position#13
Record1-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game90.4
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 9· Topolica Sport Hall
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Danilovgrad winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
W
75-71
75
71
+4
60avg 66
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
91-79
91
79
+12
86avg 66
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
77-91
77
91
-14
56avg 66
A29/10
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
L
71-83
71
83
-12
62avg 66
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
97-67
97
67
+30
97avg 66
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Vrsac
#13
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 66
H12/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
63avg 66
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
82-84
82
84
-2
no box
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
100-89
100
89
+11
84avg 66
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
L
73-88
73
88
-15
59avg 66
A10/12
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-18
11-27
11-20
32-6
29-19
24-22
22-20
16-18
16-20
20-30
18-21
23-20
22-15
12-19
19-31
18-18
23-16
24-15
31-12
19-24
16-19
21-22
20-17
23-18
22-20
12-15
17-27
20-21
25-13
19-20
25-22
13-29
32-30
31-26
18-17
19-16
18-21
15-12
20-30
20-25
162.8Avg total
81.7Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)83.578.0161.5+5.562%
Season at home (4)86.275.2161.5+11.075%
Season away (4)80.880.8161.5+0.050%
Last 10 (10)81.781.1162.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)81.284.0165.2-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)75.293.3168.5-18.25%
vs Similar (4)90.075.2165.2+14.8100%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)80.077.0157.0+3.060%
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDanilovgrad
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
L
77-89
77
89
-12
72avg 58
H19/04
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
L
62-75
62
75
-13
48avg 58
A26/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
88-91 OT
88
91
-3
79avg 58
H15/10
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
64-97
64
97
-33
53avg 58
H18/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 58
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
71-89
71
89
-18
62avg 58
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
77-82
77
82
-5
65avg 58
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
65-79
65
79
-14
50avg 58
H15/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
96-94
96
94
+2
88avg 58
A24/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
75-88
75
88
-13
63avg 58
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
18-30
15-28
24-15
10-20
16-16
14-21
22-18
24-14
17-19
19-20
19-26
17-25
21-22
15-23
11-27
9-33
22-23
17-19
28-28
15-17
17-24
21-29
18-19
12-23
25-16
18-28
22-15
13-17
22-23
18-23
12-16
16-25
43-23
19-25
18-21
24-18
15-23
21-24
15-23
163.8Avg total
75.1Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.590.4166.9-13.912%
Season at home (5)72.688.8161.4-16.20%
Season away (3)83.093.0176.0-10.033%
Last 10 (10)75.188.7163.8-13.610%
Last 5 (5)76.886.4163.2-9.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)69.988.4158.4-18.524%
vs Similar (2)76.085.0161.0-9.00%
vs Weaker (3)73.778.3152.0-4.733%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -4.8-4.8Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -6.3-6.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -1.9-1.9
Mornar BarDanilovgrad
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulcinj
#15
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H22/10
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Jahorina
#10
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A29/10
ABA League 2
Tivat
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
47-31
47
31
+16
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Vrsac
#13
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H12/11
ABA League 2
Primorje
#3
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A16/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H21/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A06/12
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#8
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A10/12
ABA League 2
81.2Avg total
41.3Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.242.981.1-4.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.342.482.7-2.160%-
Last 30 away (15)36.143.479.5-7.313%-
Last 10 (10)41.339.981.2+1.440%-
Last 5 (5)42.239.681.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.245.180.3-9.920%-
vs Similar (4)46.540.587.0+6.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.236.879.0+5.460%-
This opponent (Danilovgrad) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DanilovgradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Studentski Centar
#2
L
38-46
38
46
-8
H19/04
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#5
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A26/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/10
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H18/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A26/10
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H01/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H15/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A24/11
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/12
Prva A Liga
80.3Avg total
37.6Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.142.577.6-7.430%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.940.975.9-6.031%-
Last 30 away (14)35.344.479.6-9.129%-
Last 10 (10)37.642.780.3-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)40.441.882.2-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)34.943.478.2-8.532%-
vs Similar (2)38.040.078.0-2.00%-
vs Weaker (3)35.037.372.3-2.333%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.8
51.4%
58.8%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.2
32.0%
31.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
69.7%13.2
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Danilovgradtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mornar Bar wins
0
Danilovgrad wins
No previous meetings.
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/25ASloboda73-88
06/12/25AJedinstvo100-89
21/11/25HDecic82-84
16/11/25APrimorje71-83
12/11/25HVrsac80-76
08/11/25HStudentski Centar97-67
01/11/25ATivat71-83
29/10/25AJahorina77-91
25/10/25HVukovi Zeta91-79
22/10/25HUlcinj75-71
Danilovgradlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25HIbar Rozaje75-88
24/11/25AJedinstvo96-94
15/11/25HUlcinj65-79
08/11/25ADecic77-82
01/11/25HPodgorica71-89
26/10/25APrimorje76-103
18/10/25HSutjeska64-97
15/10/25HStudentski Centar88-91 OT
26/04/25AJedinstvo62-75
19/04/25HStudentski Centar77-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game83.586.280.8
Allowed / game78.075.280.8
Point differential+5.5+11.0+0.0
Avg total161.5161.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Danilovgrad
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %12%0%33%
Points / game76.572.683.0
Allowed / game90.488.893.0
Point differential-13.9-16.2-10.0
Avg total166.9161.4176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje98189%91.878.9+12.9
2 Jedinstvo97278%89.181.9+7.2
3 Lovcen Cetinje86275%78.174.4+3.8
4 Sutjeska96367%90.980.3+10.6
5 Mornar Bar85362%83.578.0+5.5
6 Kotor84450%79.978.8+1.1
7 Tivat84450%85.195.6-10.5
8 Podgorica94544%81.280.8+0.4
9 Ibar Rozaje94544%75.176.1-1.0
10 Decic83538%83.484.6-1.2
11 Ulcinj93633%74.278.7-4.4
12 Studentski Centar93633%74.281.6-7.3
13 Vukovi Zeta92722%81.786.4-4.8
14 Danilovgrad81712%76.590.4-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar2121172180
Danilovgrad1722122475
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