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Davidson vs Bradley Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 76-66
Projected total 142.3
Final 62-45
30-20 32-25
Position#80
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game68.5
Vs
80%
20%
■ DAVI 80%■ BRAD 20%
Pythia win probability
Position#257
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game52.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Davidson faces Bradley on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Davidson the clear favourite, rating them 80% to win because of their undefeated 2-0 record and an average of 82.0 points per game versus 68.5 allowed, a margin that the model values highly. Davidson has won both of its games this season, scoring 82.0 points per game and allowing 68.5, and at home it is 1-0, averaging 88.0 points and conceding 76.0; its last five games were 4-1, including a 88-76 home win over Mercer on 7 November and a 76-61 away win over Washington State on 2 November. Bradley is 1-1 this season, with 68.5 points per game and 52.0 allowed, and its last five games were 3-2, featuring a 85-41 home win over Monmouth on 2 November and a 52-63 home loss to Pacific on 7 November. The teams have met once before, with the most recent meeting noted in the record. Pythia projects a 76-66 score, giving Davidson an 80% win probability and Bradley 20%, and the model sees Davidson covering the -11.5 line with a 43% chance, while the over on the 140.5 line has a 54% probability; the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The projected total of 142.3 points suggests a competitive contest, and the last result shows Davidson's recent 88-76 victory at home.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Davidson winWon
80.1%fair 1.25
Best odds1.14
Implied83.9%
Edge-3.8pp
Bradley winLost
19.9%fair 5.03
Best odds6.25
Implied16.1%
Edge+3.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H19/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A21/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
67-56
67
56
+11
A26/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
67-70
67
70
-3
H05/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
W
64-59 OT
64
59
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
58-70
58
70
-12
A13/03
NCAA
Washington State
#346
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A03/11
NCAA
Mercer
#222
W
88-76
88
76
+12
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
35-24
30-39
22-29
37-34
35-21
32-35
33-27
38-37
35-37
32-33
36-33
32-30
19-24
37-32
29-33
29-37
34-22
42-39
34-33
54-43
132.8Avg total
68.3Scored
64.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.068.5150.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)88.076.0164.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)76.061.0137.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)68.364.5132.8+3.870%
Last 5 (5)70.865.8136.6+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.281.8153.0-10.620%
vs Similar (16)64.865.8130.5-1.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.864.2147.0+18.6100%
This opponent (Bradley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
L
72-79
72
79
-7
A19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
W
90-84 OT
90
84
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
69-73
69
73
-4
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#391
W
85-41
85
41
+44
H03/11
NCAA
Pacific
#136
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H08/11
NCAA
1H
2H
31-33
49-47
28-28
42-32
35-35
37-44
43-31
31-29
28-39
44-33
36-35
51-43
31-31
33-33
32-45
37-28
37-19
48-22
19-29
33-34
149.5Avg total
78.0Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)68.552.0120.5+16.550%
Season at home (2)68.552.0120.5+16.550%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.071.5149.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)76.667.8144.4+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.078.3153.3-3.333%
vs Similar (18)74.874.4149.2+0.356%
vs Weaker (8)84.268.1152.4+16.1100%
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 135.5Actual: Under 135.5
Over 135.5
65.9%
@ 1.50+3.4pp
Under 135.5
34.1%
@ 2.50-3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 140.5 · main lineActual: Under 140.5
Over 140.5
54.0%
@ 1.95+4.3pp
Under 140.5
46.0%
@ 1.88-4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.74
Over/Under 145.5Actual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
41.9%
@ 2.72+6.2pp
Under 145.5
58.1%
@ 1.47-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40

📊 3. Team Totals

Davidson total 71.5Actual: Davidson under 71.5
Over 71.5
67.3%
@ 1.36+0.7pp
Under 71.5
32.7%
@ 2.72-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.72
Davidson total 75.5 · main lineActual: Davidson under 75.5
Over 75.5
51.9%
@ 1.83+0.8pp
Under 75.5
48.1%
@ 1.93-0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Davidson total 79.5Actual: Davidson under 79.5
Over 79.5
36.2%
@ 2.45-0.9pp
Under 79.5
63.8%
@ 1.44+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.44
Bradley total 60.5Actual: Bradley under 60.5
Over 60.5
71.5%
@ 1.40+6.7pp
Under 60.5
28.5%
@ 2.57-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Bradley total 64.5 · main lineActual: Bradley under 64.5
Over 64.5
56.8%
@ 1.88+7.3pp
Under 64.5
43.2%
@ 1.85-7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Bradley total 68.5Actual: Bradley under 68.5
Over 68.5
41.2%
@ 2.62+6.6pp
Under 68.5
58.8%
@ 1.39-6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Davidson -14.5Actual: Davidson -14.5
DAVI -14.5
32.9%
@ 2.35-6.9pp
BRAD +14.5
67.1%
@ 1.54+6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DAVI
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.30
BRAD
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
Spread Davidson -11.5 · main lineActual: Davidson -11.5
DAVI -11.5
43.1%
@ 1.90-6.5pp
BRAD +11.5
56.9%
@ 2.00+6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DAVI
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.89
Marathon Be
1.84
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.73
BRAD
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.92
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Spread Davidson -8.5Actual: Davidson -8.5
DAVI -8.5
54.0%
@ 1.55-5.9pp
BRAD +8.5
46.0%
@ 2.35+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DAVI
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
BRAD
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -0.5-0.52nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
DavidsonBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#231
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A21/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A26/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H05/03
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#350
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H12/03
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A13/03
NCAA
Washington State
#346
W
34-22
34
22
+12
A03/11
NCAA
Mercer
#222
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H08/11
NCAA
59.5Avg total
31.2Scored
28.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 67
Last 30 (30)33.030.763.6+2.357%30%
Last 30 at home (18)33.831.264.9+2.656%33%
Last 30 away (12)31.829.961.7+1.858%25%
Last 10 (10)31.228.359.5+2.960%20%
Last 5 (5)30.429.059.4+1.460%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.436.269.6-2.840%60%
vs Similar (16)29.830.260.1-0.444%19%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.328.366.7+10.089%33%
This opponent (Bradley) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BradleyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belmont
#25
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H10/02
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#203
D
28-28
28
28
+0
A15/02
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A19/02
NCAA
Illinois State
#96
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H22/02
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#155
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A25/02
NCAA
Murray State
#102
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Valparaiso
#170
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
L
32-45
32
45
-13
H07/03
NCAA
Monmouth
#391
W
37-19
37
19
+18
H03/11
NCAA
Pacific
#136
L
19-29
19
29
-10
H08/11
NCAA
64.5Avg total
32.0Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 67
Last 30 (30)34.334.468.7-0.040%57%
Last 30 at home (20)35.532.568.0+3.055%55%
Last 30 away (10)32.038.070.0-6.010%60%
Last 10 (10)32.032.564.5-0.530%40%
Last 5 (5)31.031.862.8-0.840%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)29.734.764.3-5.00%33%
vs Similar (18)34.535.770.2-1.244%67%
vs Weaker (8)34.232.066.2+2.238%38%
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Davidson win
DAVI win
no forecast
@ 1.24
BRAD win
no forecast
@ 4.15
1st half Spread Davidson -5.5 · main lineActual: Davidson -5.5
DAVI -5.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
BRAD +5.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
1st half Over/Under 67 · main lineActual: Under 67
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.84
Davidson 1st half total 36 · main lineActual: Davidson under 36
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
Bradley 1st half total 30.5 · main lineActual: Bradley under 30.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.93
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.70
Under
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.07
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Davidson -6.5Actual: Davidson -6.5
DAVI -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.87
BRAD +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half Spread Davidson -4.5Actual: Davidson -4.5
DAVI -4.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
BRAD +4.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
1st half Spread Davidson -7.5Actual: Davidson -7.5
DAVI -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.05
BRAD +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.75
1st half Spread Davidson -3.5Actual: Davidson -3.5
DAVI -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
BRAD +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
1st half Over/Under 63.5Actual: Under 63.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.45
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Davidson -8.5Actual: Davidson -8.5
DAVI -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
BRAD +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Spread Davidson -2.5Actual: Davidson -2.5
DAVI -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.39
BRAD +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.72
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Davidson (regulation)
DAVI
no forecast
@ 1.29
Draw
no forecast
@ 23.00
BRAD
no forecast
@ 4.36

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
DAVI win + total 140.5
🔒 Pro
BRAD win + total 140.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: DAVI leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Bradley +15.570.2%1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
---+7.0ppLost
Bradley +16.573.2%1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38
---+6.8ppLost
Bradley over 60.571.5%1.40
Betano
1.40
----+6.7ppLost
Bradley +1672.4%1.41
Bet365
1.41
----+6.7ppLost
Bradley +17.576.0%1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
---+6.6ppWon
Bradley +19.581.0%1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.23
---+6.4ppWon
Bradley +18.578.6%1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27
---+6.4ppWon
Bradley over 59.574.7%1.32
Betano
1.32
----+6.2ppLost
Bradley +1878.0%1.29
Bet365
1.29
----+6.1ppWon
Bradley +1775.3%1.34
Bet365
1.34
----+5.8ppPush
Bradley +1980.5%1.25
Bet365
1.25
----+5.8ppWon
Bradley over 57.580.7%1.22
Bet365
1.22
----+4.5ppLost
Overtime: no96.3%1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
---+4.1pp-
Bradley over 55.585.6%1.13
Bet365
1.13
----+3.3ppLost
Over 133.570.3%1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
---+3.1ppLost
Bradley over 53.589.7%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+3.0ppLost
Over 13273.9%1.31
Bet365
1.31
----+2.9ppLost
Over 13371.8%1.35
Bet365
1.35
----+2.8ppLost
Over 132.572.3%1.33
Bet365
1.33
----+2.4ppLost
Over 131.574.4%1.28
Bet365
1.28
----+2.0ppLost
Davidson under 81.571.1%1.30
Betano
1.30
----+1.3ppWon
Over 129.578.2%1.20
Bet365
1.20
----+0.4ppLost
Over 124.586.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09
----+0.1ppLost
Davidson (regulation)77.9%1.14
Betano
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.12
----0.9ppWon
Under 164.591.0%1.01
Bet365
1.01
-----1.2ppWon
Davidson win80.1%1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.13
Marathon Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.12
WilliamHill
1.11
-3.8ppWon
Under 159.585.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04
-----4.1ppWon
Davidson -3.571.8%1.22
Bet365
1.22
-----4.3ppWon
Davidson -470.8%1.23
Bet365
1.23
-----4.5ppWon
Under 154.577.4%1.10
Bet365
1.10
-----7.7ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Davidson wins
0
Bradley wins
No previous meetings.
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HMercer88-76
03/11/26AWashington State76-61
13/03/26ASaint Josephs Hawks58-70
12/03/26HLoyola Chicago64-59 OT
07/03/26ASt. Bonaventure68-63
05/03/26HSaint Josephs Hawks67-70
01/03/26HLa Salle71-64
26/02/26ADuquesne67-56
21/02/26AFordham59-63
19/02/26HRichmond Spiders65-63
Bradleylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HPacific52-63
03/11/26HMonmouth85-41
07/03/26HNorthern Iowa69-73
07/03/26HValparaiso90-84 OT
01/03/26HMurray State87-78
25/02/26AIllinois (Chi.)86-93 OT
22/02/26HIllinois State74-60
19/02/26AValparaiso72-79
15/02/26ASouthern Illinois70-60
10/02/26HBelmont95-84 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Davidson
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game82.088.076.0
Allowed / game68.576.061.0
Point differential+13.5+12.0+15.0
Avg total150.5164.0137.0
Over 140.550%100%0%
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bradley
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeWL50%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %50%50%-
Points / game68.568.5-
Allowed / game52.052.0-
Point differential+16.5+16.5-
Avg total120.5120.5-
Over 140.50%0%-
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Richmond Spiders330100%95.358.7+36.7
2 George Washington220100%83.050.0+33.0
3 Rhode Island220100%93.562.5+31.0
4 Loyola Chicago220100%76.552.5+24.0
5 George Mason220100%75.052.5+22.5
6 St. Louis Billikens220100%91.075.5+15.5
7 Davidson220100%82.068.5+13.5
8 Saint Josephs Hawks220100%74.565.0+9.5
9 Duquesne220100%73.064.5+8.5
10 St. Bonaventure21150%79.564.0+15.5
11 Dayton21150%82.569.5+13.0
12 VCU Rams21150%85.080.5+4.5
13 Fordham21150%74.079.0-5.0
14 La Salle21150%71.587.0-15.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake220100%88.058.0+30.0
2 Illinois (Chi.)330100%85.758.3+27.3
3 Murray State220100%93.567.5+26.0
4 Belmont220100%73.549.5+24.0
5 Valparaiso220100%81.569.0+12.5
6 Evansville220100%79.073.0+6.0
7 Southern Illinois21150%87.570.0+17.5
8 Bradley21150%68.552.0+16.5
9 Northern Iowa21150%94.584.0+10.5
10 Indiana State21150%69.572.0-2.5
11 Illinois State31233%81.373.7+7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Davidson303262
Bradley202545
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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