Davidson faces Bradley on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model names Davidson the clear favourite, rating them 80% to win because of their undefeated 2-0 record and an average of 82.0 points per game versus 68.5 allowed, a margin that the model values highly. Davidson has won both of its games this season, scoring 82.0 points per game and allowing 68.5, and at home it is 1-0, averaging 88.0 points and conceding 76.0; its last five games were 4-1, including a 88-76 home win over Mercer on 7 November and a 76-61 away win over Washington State on 2 November. Bradley is 1-1 this season, with 68.5 points per game and 52.0 allowed, and its last five games were 3-2, featuring a 85-41 home win over Monmouth on 2 November and a 52-63 home loss to Pacific on 7 November. The teams have met once before, with the most recent meeting noted in the record. Pythia projects a 76-66 score, giving Davidson an 80% win probability and Bradley 20%, and the model sees Davidson covering the -11.5 line with a 43% chance, while the over on the 140.5 line has a 54% probability; the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The projected total of 142.3 points suggests a competitive contest, and the last result shows Davidson's recent 88-76 victory at home.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Davidson winWon
80.1%fair 1.25
Best odds1.14
Implied83.9%
Edge-3.8pp
Bradley winLost
19.9%fair 5.03
Best odds6.25
Implied16.1%
Edge+3.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 09 Nov 07:05 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 135.5Actual: Under 135.5
Over 135.5
65.9%
@ 1.50+3.4pp
Under 135.5
34.1%
@ 2.50-3.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
Under
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 140.5 · main lineActual: Under 140.5
Over 140.5
54.0%
@ 1.95+4.3pp
Under 140.5
46.0%
@ 1.88-4.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Under
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.80
Bet365
1.74
Over/Under 145.5Actual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
41.9%
@ 2.72+6.2pp
Under 145.5
58.1%
@ 1.47-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.47
Under
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
📊 3. Team Totals
Davidson total 71.5Actual: Davidson under 71.5
Over 71.5
67.3%
@ 1.36+0.7pp
Under 71.5
32.7%
@ 2.72-0.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.72
Davidson total 75.5 · main lineActual: Davidson under 75.5
Over 75.5
51.9%
@ 1.83+0.8pp
Under 75.5
48.1%
@ 1.93-0.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
Marathon Be
1.82
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.88
Bet365
1.83
Davidson total 79.5Actual: Davidson under 79.5
Over 79.5
36.2%
@ 2.45-0.9pp
Under 79.5
63.8%
@ 1.44+0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Under
Betano
1.44
Bradley total 60.5Actual: Bradley under 60.5
Over 60.5
71.5%
@ 1.40+6.7pp
Under 60.5
28.5%
@ 2.57-6.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Under
Betano
2.57
Bradley total 64.5 · main lineActual: Bradley under 64.5
Over 64.5
56.8%
@ 1.88+7.3pp
Under 64.5
43.2%
@ 1.85-7.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
WilliamHill
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Bradley total 68.5Actual: Bradley under 68.5
Over 68.5
41.2%
@ 2.62+6.6pp
Under 68.5
58.8%
@ 1.39-6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.39
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Davidson -14.5Actual: Davidson -14.5
DAVI -14.5
32.9%
@ 2.35-6.9pp
BRAD +14.5
67.1%
@ 1.54+6.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DAVI
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.30
BRAD
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.53
Spread Davidson -11.5 · main lineActual: Davidson -11.5
DAVI -11.5
43.1%
@ 1.90-6.5pp
BRAD +11.5
56.9%
@ 2.00+6.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DAVI
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.89
Marathon Be
1.84
BetVictor
1.83
1xBet
1.73
BRAD
1xBet
2.00
Bet365
1.92
Betano
1.87
BetVictor
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Spread Davidson -8.5Actual: Davidson -8.5
DAVI -8.5
54.0%
@ 1.55-5.9pp
BRAD +8.5
46.0%
@ 2.35+5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DAVI
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.54
BRAD
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
DavidsonBradley
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Bradley +15.5
70.2%
1.47
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.47
-
-
-
+7.0pp
Lost
Bradley +16.5
73.2%
1.39
Betano
1.40
Bet365
1.38
-
-
-
+6.8pp
Lost
Bradley over 60.5
71.5%
1.40
Betano
1.40
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Lost
Bradley +16
72.4%
1.41
Bet365
1.41
-
-
-
-
+6.7pp
Lost
Bradley +17.5
76.0%
1.33
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
+6.6pp
Won
Bradley +19.5
81.0%
1.25
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Bradley +18.5
78.6%
1.28
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Bradley over 59.5
74.7%
1.32
Betano
1.32
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Lost
Bradley +18
78.0%
1.29
Bet365
1.29
-
-
-
-
+6.1pp
Won
Bradley +17
75.3%
1.34
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Push
Bradley +19
80.5%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Won
Bradley over 57.5
80.7%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
+4.5pp
Lost
Overtime: no
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02
-
-
-
+4.1pp
-
Bradley over 55.5
85.6%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+3.3pp
Lost
Over 133.5
70.3%
1.38
Betano
1.38
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
+3.1pp
Lost
Bradley over 53.5
89.7%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+3.0pp
Lost
Over 132
73.9%
1.31
Bet365
1.31
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Lost
Over 133
71.8%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+2.8pp
Lost
Over 132.5
72.3%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+2.4pp
Lost
Over 131.5
74.4%
1.28
Bet365
1.28
-
-
-
-
+2.0pp
Lost
Davidson under 81.5
71.1%
1.30
Betano
1.30
-
-
-
-
+1.3pp
Won
Over 129.5
78.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
+0.4pp
Lost
Over 124.5
86.2%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
+0.1pp
Lost
Davidson (regulation)
77.9%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Marathon Bet
1.12
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Won
Under 164.5
91.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-1.2pp
Won
Davidson win
80.1%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.13
Marathon Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.12
WilliamHill
1.11
-3.8pp
Won
Under 159.5
85.3%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-4.1pp
Won
Davidson -3.5
71.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
-
-
-4.3pp
Won
Davidson -4
70.8%
1.23
Bet365
1.23
-
-
-
-
-4.5pp
Won
Under 154.5
77.4%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-7.7pp
Won
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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