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Davidson vs Citadel Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 05 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 79-63
36-29 43-34
Position#109
Record6-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game70.1
vs
Position#302
Record3-5
FormLWLLW
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game71.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Davidson winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DavidsonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H08/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
75-83
75
83
-8
A13/03
NCAA
DeSales
#495
W
97-63
97
63
+34
H04/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
91-87
91
87
+4
H15/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
59-49
59
49
+10
A21/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
60-94
60
94
-34
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H28/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-34
27-30
34-32
35-33
31-36
44-47
49-30
48-33
40-24
45-45
29-19
33-36
45-38
46-49
33-31
26-18
30-48
30-46
47-38
43-36
145.2Avg total
74.9Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)77.770.1147.9+7.686%
Season at home (5)84.677.4162.0+7.280%
Season away (2)60.552.0112.5+8.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.970.3145.2+4.670%
Last 5 (5)72.471.8144.2+0.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)64.678.0142.6-13.414%
vs Similar (10)70.172.5142.6-2.420%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)75.064.8139.8+10.292%
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#130
L
66-81
66
81
-15
H01/03
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
62-73
62
73
-11
A08/03
NCAA
Erskine
#496
W
105-61
105
61
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
47-76
47
76
-29
A07/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
L
86-96
86
96
-10
H11/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
92-100
92
100
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#215
W
70-57
70
57
+13
H20/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
65-72
65
72
-7
H27/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
69-41
69
41
+28
A30/11
NCAA
1H
2H
23-38
43-43
27-36
35-37
47-21
58-40
24-38
23-38
48-45
38-51
39-47
53-53
35-23
35-34
31-35
27-35
32-35
33-37
33-17
36-24
144.7Avg total
72.0Scored
72.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)74.071.6145.6+2.438%
Season at home (5)76.871.2148.0+5.640%
Season away (3)69.372.3141.7-3.033%
Last 10 (10)72.072.7144.7-0.730%
Last 5 (5)70.868.0138.8+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)62.178.3140.4-16.25%
vs Similar (8)69.173.5142.6-4.412%
vs Weaker (1)105.061.0166.0+44.0100%
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -1.1-1.1
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: +0.4+0.42nd half2nd half: +0.4+0.42nd half: -1.1-1.1
DavidsonCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DavidsonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Bonaventure
#77
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H08/03
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#327
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H12/03
NCAA
St. Louis Billikens
#140
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A13/03
NCAA
DeSales
#495
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H04/11
NCAA
Washington State
#291
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H08/11
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
29-19
29
19
+10
A12/11
NCAA
Bowling Green
#143
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A21/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
L
30-48
30
48
-18
H24/11
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/11
NCAA
70.2Avg total
37.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.432.466.7+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.432.467.8+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)33.132.365.4+0.846%-
Last 10 (10)37.233.070.2+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)36.834.871.6+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)29.638.968.4-9.314%-
vs Similar (10)33.232.665.8+0.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.928.665.5+8.383%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#130
L
23-38
23
38
-15
H01/03
NCAA
VMI
#250
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Erskine
#496
W
47-21
47
21
+26
H04/11
NCAA
Boston College
#308
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A07/11
NCAA
Charleston Southern
#229
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H11/11
NCAA
West Georgia
#243
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A15/11
NCAA
North Greenville
#215
W
35-23
35
23
+12
H20/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#297
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H27/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
33-17
33
17
+16
A30/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
33.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.937.167.0-7.317%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.935.167.0-3.320%-
Last 30 away (15)27.939.167.0-11.313%-
Last 10 (10)33.933.567.4+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.031.465.4+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)27.938.566.4-10.610%-
vs Similar (8)32.935.668.5-2.825%-
vs Weaker (1)47.021.068.0+26.0100%-
This opponent (Davidson) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Davidson wins
0
Citadel wins
No previous meetings.
Davidsonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/11/25HN. Carolina A&T90-74
24/11/25HUtah State60-94
21/11/25ABoston College59-49
15/11/25HBowling Green91-87
12/11/25ACharlotte62-55
08/11/25HWashington State85-69
04/11/25HDeSales97-63
13/03/25ASt. Louis Billikens75-83
12/03/25HRichmond Spiders69-65
08/03/25HSt. Bonaventure61-64
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25APresbyterian69-41
27/11/25HHouston Christian65-72
25/11/25HBellarmine58-70
20/11/25HNorth Greenville70-57
15/11/25AWest Georgia92-100
11/11/25HCharleston Southern86-96
07/11/25ABoston College47-76
04/11/25HErskine105-61
08/03/25AVMI62-73
01/03/25HEast Tennessee St66-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Davidson
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %86%80%100%
Points / game77.784.660.5
Allowed / game70.177.452.0
Point differential+7.6+7.2+8.5
Avg total147.9162.0112.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Citadel
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW38%
HomeWLWLL40%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game74.076.869.3
Allowed / game71.671.272.3
Point differential+2.4+5.6-3.0
Avg total145.6148.0141.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 George Mason990100%82.164.4+17.7
2 St. Bonaventure98189%75.865.7+10.1
3 St. Louis Billikens87188%89.670.1+19.5
4 Richmond Spiders87188%84.668.8+15.9
5 Davidson76186%77.770.1+7.6
6 George Washington97278%90.674.6+16.0
7 Rhode Island97278%77.266.3+10.9
8 Dayton97278%80.070.4+9.6
9 Fordham96367%76.763.7+13.0
10 VCU Rams85362%84.572.6+11.9
11 Duquesne85362%87.180.6+6.5
12 Saint Josephs Hawks74357%77.076.6+0.4
13 La Salle93633%67.967.8+0.1
14 Loyola Chicago92722%67.075.9-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St86275%80.564.6+15.9
2 Mercer86275%82.877.6+5.1
3 Wofford96367%76.076.2-0.2
4 Furman95456%75.471.7+3.8
5 Chattanooga Mocs84450%77.871.2+6.5
6 Western Carolina84450%78.476.1+2.2
7 Samford94544%73.779.2-5.6
8 Citadel83538%74.071.6+2.4
9 VMI103730%75.078.8-3.8
10 NC Greensboro91811%72.384.9-12.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Davidson364379
Citadel293463
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