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Dayton vs Alcorn State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 88-46
44-24 44-22
Position#85
Record7-5
FormWWLWW
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game60.0
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#131
Record3-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game73.7
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alcorn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
49-77
49
77
-28
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
66-49
66
49
+17
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
32-22
20-38
30-21
30-30
14-23
28-20
32-36
32-40
40-24
24-40
37-24
30-23
37-38
43-36
21-42
28-35
34-19
45-37
35-21
31-28
124.6Avg total
63.4Scored
61.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)65.160.0125.1+5.158%
Season at home (7)72.659.3131.9+13.386%
Season away (5)54.661.0115.6-6.420%
Last 10 (10)63.461.2124.6+2.250%
Last 5 (5)68.260.6128.8+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)68.068.5136.5-0.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)66.557.0123.5+9.576%
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
W
66-57
66
57
+9
A12/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A16/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
61-73 OT
61
73
-12
A23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
67-98
67
98
-31
A23/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
54-76
54
76
-22
A27/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A30/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
40-94
40
94
-54
A04/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A11/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
L
58-72
58
72
-14
A18/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
38-26
28-24
41-36
22-30
31-23
28-48
39-50
31-28
31-26
23-32
31-44
33-48
39-32
22-49
18-45
30-30
38-44
31-29
27-43
135.5Avg total
61.7Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)61.473.7135.1-12.427%
Season at homeno games
Season away (11)61.473.7135.1-12.427%
Last 10 (10)61.773.8135.5-12.130%
Last 5 (5)58.479.2137.6-20.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)64.975.8140.7-10.945%
vs Similar (14)65.767.6133.3-1.950%
vs Weaker (4)80.270.2150.5+10.0100%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -3.6-3.6
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.2+4.21st half: -7.3-7.32nd half2nd half: -1.6-1.62nd half: -3.6-3.6
DaytonAlcorn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UNLV
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H25/11
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H01/12
NCAA
SE Louisiana
#152
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/12
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#138
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A08/12
NCAA
UNC Asheville
#28
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H10/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#334
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A18/12
NCAA
58.2Avg total
31.2Scored
27.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.826.459.1+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.825.661.4+10.281%-
Last 30 away (14)29.327.256.5+2.157%-
Last 10 (10)31.227.058.2+4.260%-
Last 5 (5)32.828.861.6+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)32.630.062.6+2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)32.825.157.9+7.676%-
This opponent (Alcorn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alcorn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#176
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A12/11
NCAA
Stephen F. Austin
#102
W
28-24
28
24
+4
A16/11
NCAA
UTEP
#250
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A23/11
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A23/11
NCAA
CSU Bakersfield
#311
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A25/11
NCAA
Arizona State
#90
L
23-32
23
32
-9
A27/11
NCAA
Grand Canyon
#77
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A30/11
NCAA
Tennessee
#62
L
22-49
22
49
-27
A04/12
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#61
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A11/12
NCAA
Seattle
#110
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A18/12
NCAA
62.5Avg total
27.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.532.665.1-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.532.068.5+4.550%-
Last 30 away (18)29.933.062.9-3.139%-
Last 10 (10)27.634.962.5-7.330%-
Last 5 (5)27.837.665.4-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)30.934.665.5-3.736%-
vs Similar (14)31.131.862.9-0.736%-
vs Weaker (4)43.531.274.8+12.2100%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Alcorn State wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22AWyoming66-49
10/12/22HUNC Asheville79-56
08/12/22AVirginia Tech49-77
03/12/22HSE Louisiana80-74
01/12/22HWestern Michigan67-47
25/11/22HBrigham Young75-79 OT
24/11/22ANC State64-76
23/11/22AWisconsin42-43
19/11/22HRobert Morris60-51
16/11/22AUNLV52-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/22ASeattle58-72
11/12/22ASouthern Illinois68-74
04/12/22ATennessee40-94
30/11/22AGrand Canyon72-80
27/11/22AArizona State54-76
25/11/22ACSU Bakersfield62-54
23/11/22ATexas A&M-CC67-98
23/11/22AUTEP61-73 OT
16/11/22AStephen F. Austin69-60
12/11/22AWichita State66-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%86%20%
Points / game65.172.654.6
Allowed / game60.059.361.0
Point differential+5.1+13.3-6.4
Avg total125.1131.9115.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%57%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
Alcorn State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL27%
Home--
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-11
Win %27%-27%
Points / game61.4-61.4
Allowed / game73.7-73.7
Point differential-12.4--12.4
Avg total135.1-135.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %9%-9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fordham1211192%75.566.8+8.7
2 Duquesne129375%76.872.0+4.8
3 St. Louis Billikens128467%77.171.2+5.9
4 VCU Rams128467%68.264.1+4.1
5 Davidson117464%74.572.0+2.5
6 George Mason117464%69.367.2+2.1
7 George Washington106460%76.669.2+7.4
8 Dayton127558%65.160.0+5.1
9 Loyola Chicago116555%68.166.9+1.2
10 St. Bonaventure126650%68.366.8+1.6
11 Richmond Spiders115645%68.464.3+4.1
12 La Salle115645%67.570.8-3.4
13 Saint Josephs Hawks125742%69.374.8-5.5
14 Rhode Island124833%66.068.1-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Southwestern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grambling St.116555%64.664.5+0.2
2 Prairie View A&M114736%71.271.5-0.4
3 Bethune-Cookman114736%66.075.8-9.8
4 Southern Univ.124833%74.275.2-1.0
5 Arkansas-Pine Bluff134931%64.169.6-5.5
6 Alabama A&M Bulldogs103730%71.676.3-4.7
7 Texas Southern113827%66.175.2-9.1
8 Alcorn State113827%61.473.7-12.4
9 Florida A&M92722%54.973.4-18.6
10 Jackson State111109%66.082.6-16.6
11 Alabama State111109%61.080.5-19.5
12 Miss. Valley St.131128%52.076.7-24.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton444488
Alcorn State242246
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