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Dayton vs Western Michigan Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 67-47
37-24 30-23
Position#85
Record3-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game62.9
Allowed / game59.6
Dayton 🏆
USA
vs
Position#345
Record2-5
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game74.0
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Dayton v Western Michigan
03 Dec 2024
DAYT77
WEST69
30 Nov 2022
DAYT67
WEST47
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dayton winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Western Michigan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DaytonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
L
64-68
64
68
-4
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
74-55
74
55
+19
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
L
68-70 OT
68
70
-2
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
73-46
73
46
+27
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
74-62
74
62
+12
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
L
52-60
52
60
-8
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
H25/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
33-25
0-0
31-43
0-0
34-23
0-0
40-32
0-0
26-25
0-0
37-38
0-0
35-21
0-0
38-25
0-0
29-24
0-0
45-38
0-0
32-22
0-0
20-38
0-0
30-21
0-0
30-30
0-0
14-23
0-0
28-20
0-0
32-36
0-0
32-40
0-0
40-24
0-0
24-40
125.6Avg total
64.6Scored
61.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)62.959.6122.4+3.343%
Season at home (4)70.559.5130.0+11.075%
Season away (3)52.759.7112.3-7.00%
Last 10 (10)64.661.0125.6+3.640%
Last 5 (5)58.661.8120.4-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)67.265.7132.9+1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)66.956.9123.8+10.175%
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#256
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
W
71-60
71
60
+11
A02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#237
L
63-64
63
64
-1
H04/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Goshen
#558
W
99-62
99
62
+37
H11/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A13/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
90-84
90
84
+6
A19/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H20/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
L
49-71
49
71
-22
H26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
46-31
24-26
47-34
34-34
29-30
26-35
34-26
43-25
56-37
36-40
29-41
41-39
49-45
41-41
47-55
27-37
30-26
19-38
30-33
142.9Avg total
72.0Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.674.0146.6-1.429%
Season at home (3)68.365.3133.7+3.033%
Season away (4)75.880.5156.2-4.825%
Last 10 (10)72.070.9142.9+1.140%
Last 5 (5)69.879.0148.8-9.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)63.575.4138.9-12.010%
vs Similar (7)70.473.3143.7-2.943%
vs Weaker (2)79.561.5141.0+18.050%
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -1.9-1.92nd half: +3.9+3.9
DaytonWestern Michigan
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DaytonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Richmond Spiders
#92
W
33-25
33
25
+8
H12/03
NCAA
Toledo
#31
W
34-23
34
23
+11
A16/03
NIT
Vanderbilt
#6
W
26-25
26
25
+1
A20/03
NIT
Lindenwood
#304
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#327
W
29-24
29
24
+5
H12/11
NCAA
UNLV
#123
W
32-22
32
22
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Robert Morris
#216
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H19/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#158
L
14-23
14
23
-9
A23/11
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A24/11
NCAA
Brigham Young
#156
W
40-24
40
24
+16
H25/11
NCAA
54.9Avg total
30.5Scored
24.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.025.858.7+7.273%-
Last 30 at home (16)34.825.260.1+9.681%-
Last 30 away (14)30.926.457.2+4.564%-
Last 10 (10)30.524.454.9+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)29.625.254.8+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (9)33.128.261.3+4.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)32.924.857.7+8.180%-
This opponent (Western Michigan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Western MichiganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bowling Green
#256
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A26/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#309
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A02/03
NCAA
Ball State
#237
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H04/03
NCAA
Minnesota
#340
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Goshen
#558
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H11/11
NCAA
Valparaiso
#306
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/11
NCAA
Houston Christian
#328
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Rice
#164
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A19/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#198
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H20/11
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
L
19-38
19
38
-19
H26/11
NCAA
67.4Avg total
32.3Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.735.768.4-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.634.266.9-1.636%-
Last 30 away (16)32.837.069.8-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)32.335.167.4-2.820%-
Last 5 (5)32.839.071.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)32.137.069.2-4.925%-
vs Similar (7)33.734.067.7-0.343%-
vs Weaker (2)34.530.064.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Dayton) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Dayton wins
0
Western Michigan wins
No previous meetings.
Daytonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22HBrigham Young75-79 OT
24/11/22ANC State64-76
23/11/22AWisconsin42-43
19/11/22HRobert Morris60-51
16/11/22AUNLV52-60
12/11/22HSMU Mustangs74-62
08/11/22HLindenwood73-46
20/03/22AVanderbilt68-70 OT
16/03/22AToledo74-55
12/03/22HRichmond Spiders64-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22HCleveland State49-71
20/11/22HGeorgia Southern57-63
19/11/22ARice88-96
19/11/22AHouston Christian90-84
13/11/22AValparaiso65-81
11/11/22HGoshen99-62
08/11/22AMinnesota60-61
04/03/22HBall State63-64
02/03/22AEastern Michigan71-60
26/02/22ABowling Green78-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dayton
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL43%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %43%75%0%
Points / game62.970.552.7
Allowed / game59.659.559.7
Point differential+3.3+11.0-7.0
Avg total122.4130.0112.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%25%0%
Western Michigan
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL29%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %29%33%25%
Points / game72.668.375.8
Allowed / game74.065.380.5
Point differential-1.4+3.0-4.8
Avg total146.6133.7156.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duquesne76186%79.170.1+9.0
2 Fordham76186%71.463.9+7.6
3 Davidson86275%77.573.8+3.8
4 St. Louis Billikens75271%80.471.9+8.6
5 George Washington64267%77.368.5+8.8
6 St. Bonaventure64267%72.865.5+7.3
7 VCU Rams64267%63.860.5+3.3
8 Richmond Spiders63350%68.762.3+6.3
9 Dayton73443%62.959.6+3.3
10 George Mason73443%67.468.4-1.0
11 La Salle73443%65.469.0-3.6
12 Saint Josephs Hawks52340%66.472.0-5.6
13 Loyola Chicago62433%63.071.3-8.3
14 Rhode Island72529%62.964.7-1.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass65183%69.864.5+5.3
2 Kent State75271%75.761.0+14.7
3 Toledo64267%86.380.5+5.8
4 Akron64267%67.863.5+4.3
5 Ball State74357%77.466.3+11.1
6 Ohio63350%73.370.5+2.8
7 Central Michigan73443%70.471.9-1.4
8 Buffalo73443%73.378.7-5.4
9 Western Michigan72529%72.674.0-1.4
10 Northern Illinois72529%69.774.1-4.4
11 Bowling Green72529%68.174.9-6.7
12 Eastern Michigan71614%75.182.3-7.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Dayton373067
Western Michigan242347
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