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Decic vs Tivat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-89 (OT)
20-26 19-22 26-17 17-17 11-7
Position#10
Record4-9
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.9
Allowed / game86.5
Decic 🏆
Montenegro
vs
Position#12
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game95.6
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 15
Other2025-26
Meetings · Decic v Tivat
17 Jan 2026
DECI93
TIVA89
19 Apr 2025
DECI81
TIVA94
10 Mar 2024
DECI82
TIVA73
08 Feb 2023
DECI83
TIVA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Decic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tivat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DecicMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecic
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
L
88-97
88
97
-9
83avg 81
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 81
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
76-78
76
78
-2
67avg 81
H15/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
A21/11
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
88-76
88
76
+12
88avg 81
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
L
81-87
81
87
-6
78avg 81
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
72-83
72
83
-11
65avg 81
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
88-91
88
91
-3
83avg 81
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
82-91
82
91
-9
72avg 81
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
101-95
101
95
+6
98avg 81
A11/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
18-22
22-22
28-26
23-12
16-25
28-18
15-22
18-24
15-20
21-24
22-10
13-25
20-19
22-25
29-13
22-25
31-10
12-24
23-17
23-19
24-20
19-28
15-20
15-28
21-16
15-22
21-17
25-23
27-23
21-22
15-23
12-25
15-19
23-25
32-22
29-29
26-22
22-22
24-22
169.9Avg total
84.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)83.986.5170.4-2.531%
Season at home (6)82.581.7164.2+0.833%
Season away (7)85.190.6175.7-5.429%
Last 10 (10)84.285.7169.9-1.540%
Last 5 (5)84.889.4174.2-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)83.188.7171.8-5.621%
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.886.9171.6-2.138%
vs Weaker (8)95.589.6185.1+5.962%
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTivat
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
69-94
69
94
-25
58avg 82
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
94-91
94
91
+3
88avg 82
H14/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
89-132
89
132
-43
no box
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
85avg 82
H08/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
89-88
89
88
+1
81avg 82
A13/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H20/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 82
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
94-105
94
105
-11
87avg 82
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
92avg 82
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
95-103
95
103
-8
80avg 82
H11/01
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
22-22
16-25
14-27
27-24
24-20
22-25
21-22
26-34
21-33
22-31
20-34
23-15
12-23
24-29
20-12
17-24
30-28
22-21
20-15
16-26
28-17
25-22
14-19
23-19
22-32
23-23
21-19
27-26
16-28
24-29
27-22
35-22
18-25
27-29
16-25
30-22
18-32
25-21
22-28
188.9Avg total
89.9Scored
99.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.695.6183.3-8.036%
Season at home (7)93.091.0184.0+2.057%
Season away (7)82.3100.3182.6-18.014%
Last 10 (10)89.999.0188.9-9.130%
Last 5 (5)91.497.2188.6-5.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.296.4175.7-17.222%
vs Similar ◀ (13)85.888.2174.1-2.446%
vs Weaker (7)95.077.7172.7+17.3100%
This opponent (Decic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -4.9-4.9Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -2.8-2.8
DecicTivat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DecicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Primorje
#3
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H08/11
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
L
33-44
33
44
-11
H15/11
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/11
Prva A Liga
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H06/12
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A14/12
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A23/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
L
27-44
27
44
-17
A04/01
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A11/01
Prva A Liga
84.6Avg total
41.3Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.043.986.9-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.741.987.5+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)40.345.986.3-5.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.343.384.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.888.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)40.444.384.7-3.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)40.243.483.6-3.150%-
vs Weaker (8)50.243.894.0+6.575%-
This opponent (Tivat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TivatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lovcen Cetinje
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A08/11
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H14/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
47-67
47
67
-20
A22/11
Prva A Liga
Podgorica
#7
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H08/12
Prva A Liga
Ulcinj
#15
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A13/12
Prva A Liga
Ibar Rozaje
#14
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/12
Prva A Liga
Vukovi Zeta
#11
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A25/12
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A27/12
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H03/01
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H11/01
Prva A Liga
94.4Avg total
45.2Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.645.789.3-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.842.988.8+2.962%-
Last 30 away (14)41.148.990.0-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)45.249.294.4-4.030%-
Last 5 (5)46.649.896.4-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.048.186.1-10.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)44.646.390.9-1.754%-
vs Weaker (7)48.141.689.7+6.671%-
This opponent (Decic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Decictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decic: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.022.0
68.8%
58.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.08.5
26.6%
31.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws29.522.0
74.6%
69.7%22.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tivattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tivat: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.016.9
49.6%
58.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.1
24.9%
31.5%21.4
🏀 Free throws22.514.6
65.0%
69.7%14.6
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/8 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Decic
WLLLLWWLWL
Tivat
LLLLLWWLWL
#10
League position
#12
-1.9
Net rating
-14.3
116.2
Offensive rating
94.1
118.1
Defensive rating
108.5
54.3%
Effective FG%
44.0%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
0.0%
Turnover %
12.3%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.36
26.6%
3-point %
24.9%
62.3%
Assist %
55.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence116.2 · 94.1Defence118.1 · 108.5Shooting54.3% · 44.0%3-point %26.6% · 24.9%Ball care0.0% · 12.3%Free throws0.46 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Decic   ■ Tivat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Decic wins
4
Tivat wins
DateGameScore
18/10/25Tivat v Decic99-88
19/04/25Decic v Tivat81-94
22/12/24Tivat v Decic88-81
10/03/24Decic v Tivat82-73
18/12/23Tivat v Decic101-88
08/02/23Decic v Tivat83-77
29/10/22Tivat v Decic77-85
Deciclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26AVukovi Zeta101-95
04/01/26AIbar Rozaje82-91
27/12/25HUlcinj88-91
23/12/25APodgorica72-83
14/12/25AKotor81-87
06/12/25HLovcen Cetinje88-76
21/11/25AMornar Bar84-82
15/11/25HJedinstvo76-78
08/11/25HDanilovgrad82-77
01/11/25APrimorje88-97
Tivatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/26HPrimorje95-103
03/01/26HStudentski Centar96-101
27/12/25ADanilovgrad94-105
25/12/25AVukovi Zeta89-93
20/12/25HIbar Rozaje83-84
13/12/25AUlcinj89-88
08/12/25HPodgorica101-99 OT
22/11/25ASutjeska89-132
14/11/25HKotor94-91
08/11/25ALovcen Cetinje69-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Decic
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW31%
HomeLWLWL33%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game83.982.585.1
Allowed / game86.581.790.6
Point differential-2.5+0.8-5.4
Avg total170.4164.2175.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)20% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tivat
Prva A Liga 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLWLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game87.693.082.3
Allowed / game95.691.0100.3
Point differential-8.0+2.0-18.0
Avg total183.3184.0182.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Primorje1513287%92.379.9+12.4
2 Jedinstvo1411379%88.582.7+5.8
3 Sutjeska139469%92.880.9+11.8
4 Mornar Bar149564%82.177.9+4.1
5 Kotor148657%79.879.7+0.1
6 Lovcen Cetinje148657%76.676.6+0.0
7 Ibar Rozaje147750%78.078.9-0.9
8 Podgorica145936%78.280.5-2.3
9 Ulcinj145936%78.982.0-3.1
10 Studentski Centar145936%78.185.4-7.4
11 Tivat145936%87.695.6-8.0
12 Decic134931%83.986.5-2.5
13 Vukovi Zeta134931%83.487.3-3.9
14 Danilovgrad1441029%80.787.4-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Decic201926171193
Tivat26221717789
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