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Decin vs USK Prague Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-79
28-18 26-22 21-24 18-15
Position#2
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game83.6
Decin 🏆
Czech Republic
vs
Position#10
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game69.0
Czech RepublicNBLRound 6· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2023-24
Meetings · Decin v USK Prague
23 Sep 2026
DECI74
USK 57
15 Nov 2025
DECI69
USK 62
08 Mar 2025
DECI96
USK 58
16 Nov 2024
DECI73
USK 67
28 Feb 2024
DECI69
USK 60
11 Oct 2023
DECI93
USK 79
18 Jan 2023
DECI85
USK 77
13 Oct 2021
DECI80
USK 89
03 Sep 2021
DECI81
USK 83
10 Oct 2020
DECI76
USK 81
08 Apr 2020
DECI v USK
upcoming
16 Nov 2019
DECI82
USK 84
18 Dec 2018
DECI79
USK 56
27 Oct 2018
DECI68
USK 65
23 Feb 2018
DECI83
USK 81
15 Dec 2017
DECI69
USK 82
15 Nov 2017
DECI77
USK 83
01 Mar 2017
DECI61
USK 69
10 Dec 2016
DECI61
USK 58
16 Apr 2016
DECI78
USK 66
09 Apr 2016
DECI68
USK 58
03 Feb 2016
DECI78
USK 69
31 Oct 2015
DECI80
USK 66
13 Dec 2014
DECI81
USK 62
01 Nov 2014
DECI77
USK 63
28 Dec 2013
DECI91
USK 63
13 Nov 2013
DECI78
USK 79
24 Oct 2012
DECI93
USK 64
20 Apr 2012
DECI76
USK 67
13 Apr 2012
DECI71
USK 58
10 Mar 2012
DECI100
USK 59
28 Sep 2011
DECI69
USK 60
04 Dec 2010
DECI84
USK 73
10 Mar 2010
DECI77
USK 76
14 Nov 2009
DECI80
USK 88
18 Mar 2009
DECI76
USK 82
05 Nov 2008
DECI95
USK 58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Decin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
USK Prague winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Pardubice
#7
W
90-69
90
69
+21
no box
H21/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
no box
H26/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
A28/05
NBL
Opava
#8
W
89-67
89
67
+22
no box
H30/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
104-108 OT
104
108
-4
no box
A01/06
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
111-112 OT
111
112
-1
no box
H23/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#7
W
99-63
99
63
+36
96avg 76
H27/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
W
95-88
95
88
+7
89avg 76
A01/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
74-75
74
75
-1
59avg 76
H04/10
NBL
Slavia Prague
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
62avg 76
A07/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
20-23
23-12
28-11
21-24
14-17
23-13
18-26
24-25
19-19
12-20
27-21
22-26
20-18
23-9
24-14
24-23
23-25
20-20
26-25
25-37
19-18
19-16
28-20
24-17
23-18
27-18
25-10
23-26
23-30
23-19
26-13
18-24
15-19
19-17
22-15
21-18
10-18
25-18
20-26
172.3Avg total
89.6Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.083.6174.6+7.440%
Season at home (3)94.783.3178.0+11.333%
Season away (2)85.584.0169.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)89.682.7172.3+6.940%
Last 5 (5)91.083.6174.6+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.087.0160.0-14.00%
vs Similar (17)84.981.2166.1+3.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)86.477.3163.8+9.167%
This opponent (USK Prague) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK PragueCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrague
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#3
L
57-99
57
99
-42
no box
A23/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A24/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
L
77-84
77
84
-7
no box
H27/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
L
77-83
77
83
-6
no box
H28/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
W
89-88
89
88
+1
no box
A01/05
NBL
Nymburk
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H03/05
NBL
Brno
#5
W
64-62
64
62
+2
54avg 61
H23/09
NBL
Nymburk
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
60avg 61
H30/09
NBL
Kolin
#11
W
78-59
78
59
+19
68avg 61
A04/10
NBL
Opava
#4
L
71-82
71
82
-11
63avg 61
H07/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
12-18
10-22
15-30
26-26
13-12
21-29
26-16
15-22
17-22
21-30
24-10
17-26
12-22
21-18
27-17
27-16
18-28
20-22
24-22
20-29
21-19
22-20
14-20
17-23
15-11
14-17
18-11
26-17
20-26
11-11
18-19
18-21
15-17
23-11
22-10
12-20
28-15
13-29
18-18
155.2Avg total
75.1Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.069.0141.0+3.075%
Season at home (3)70.072.3142.3-2.367%
Season away (1)78.059.0137.0+19.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.180.1155.2-5.050%
Last 5 (5)73.072.8145.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)73.077.5150.5-4.550%
vs Similar (9)76.684.3160.9-7.833%
vs Weaker (18)92.678.2170.8+14.4100%
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +5.2+5.2Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +6.3+6.3Q4: +3.3+3.3
DecinUSK Prague
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice
#7
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H21/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H26/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
A28/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H30/05
NBL
Opava
#8
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A01/06
NBL
Pardubice
#6
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H23/09
NBL
NH Ostrava
#7
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H27/09
NBL
Usti n. Labem
#3
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A01/10
NBL
Olomoucko
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H04/10
NBL
Slavia Prague
#12
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A07/10
NBL
85.5Avg total
40.7Scored
44.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.782.0+0.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.941.284.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.079.6-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)40.744.885.5-4.110%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.085.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.049.091.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (17)41.741.683.4+0.135%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.838.679.4+2.275%-
This opponent (USK Prague) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
USK PragueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nymburk
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A23/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A24/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
H27/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H28/04
NBL
Nymburk
#3
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A01/05
NBL
Nymburk
#3
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H03/05
NBL
Brno
#5
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H23/09
NBL
Nymburk
#1
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/09
NBL
Kolin
#11
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/10
NBL
Opava
#4
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H07/10
NBL
78.8Avg total
36.9Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.184.0-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.442.985.2-0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)41.341.282.5+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.978.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)38.439.678.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)43.039.082.0+4.0100%-
vs Similar (9)37.144.381.4-7.222%-
vs Weaker (18)44.441.185.5+3.461%-
This opponent (Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Decin: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.521.0
47.2%
51.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.5
34.0%
31.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws23.817.5
73.7%
69.5%17.5
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
USK Praguetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

USK Prague: 71.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
48%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.817.0
45.0%
51.6%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.57.5
38.5%
31.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.815.0
56.1%
69.5%15.0
They take 57.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Decin
LLWWLLWLLW
USK Prague
LWWWLWLLWL
#2
League position
#10
+12.2
Net rating
+4.5
109.5
Offensive rating
99.7
97.2
Defensive rating
95.2
48.6%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
15.3%
Turnover %
18.7%
33.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.47
34.0%
3-point %
38.5%
54.2%
Assist %
54.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 99.7Defence97.2 · 95.2Shooting48.6% · 49.3%3-point %34.0% · 38.5%Ball care15.3% · 18.7%Off. rebounds33.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.47Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Decin   ■ USK Prague
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Decin wins
6
USK Prague wins
DateGameScore
18/01/23Decin v USK Prague85-77
02/11/22USK Prague v Decin67-70
18/12/21USK Prague v Decin74-92
13/10/21Decin v USK Prague80-89
03/09/21Decin v USK Prague81-83
18/01/21USK Prague v Decin82-80 OT
10/10/20Decin v USK Prague76-81
25/01/20USK Prague v Decin96-78
16/11/19Decin v USK Prague82-84 OT
05/01/19USK Prague v Decin69-89
Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ASlavia Prague76-80
04/10/23HOlomoucko74-75
01/10/23AUsti n. Labem95-88
27/09/23HNH Ostrava99-63
23/09/23HPardubice111-112 OT
01/06/23AOpava104-108 OT
30/05/23HOpava89-67
28/05/23AOpava82-85
26/05/23HOpava76-80
21/05/23HPardubice90-69
USK Praguelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HOpava71-82
04/10/23AKolin78-59
30/09/23HNymburk75-73
23/09/23HBrno64-62
03/05/23HNymburk77-88
01/05/23ANymburk89-88
28/04/23HNymburk77-83
27/04/23HNymburk77-84
24/04/23ANymburk86-83
23/04/23ANymburk57-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Decin
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game91.094.785.5
Allowed / game83.683.384.0
Point differential+7.4+11.3+1.5
Avg total174.6178.0169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %20%33%0%
USK Prague
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWWL67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game72.070.078.0
Allowed / game69.072.359.0
Point differential+3.0-2.3+19.0
Avg total141.0142.3137.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Opava550100%91.680.2+11.4
2 Pardubice43175%88.585.5+3.0
3 USK Prague43175%72.069.0+3.0
4 Kolin64267%82.277.7+4.5
5 Nymburk53260%95.268.4+26.8
6 Decin52340%91.083.6+7.4
7 Usti n. Labem52340%88.284.6+3.6
8 Olomoucko52340%78.088.0-10.0
9 Slavia Prague52340%81.096.4-15.4
10 Srsni Pisek31233%92.0107.0-15.0
11 Brno41325%66.875.8-9.0
12 NH Ostrava5050%74.091.8-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Decin2826211893
USK Prague1822241579
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