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Delaware vs Notre Dame MD Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 82-66
Projected total 148.3
Final 105-44
55-16 50-28
Position#258
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Delaware 🏆
USA
Vs
91%
■ DELA 91%■ NOTR 9%
Pythia win probability
Notre Dame MD
USA
Position#514
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Delaware hosts Notre Dame MD on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup where the Pythia model names Delaware the clear favourite, assigning it a 91% chance to win, a figure that reflects Delaware's dominant home form and the stark contrast to Notre Dame MD's recent struggles; the model projects a 82-66 scoreline, with 148.3 total points, and a 2% probability that the game will go into overtime. Delaware's last five games include one win and four losses, with a recent home victory over Sam Houston St. 83-80 on 5 March 2026, while Notre Dame MD's last five are all losses, the most recent being a 60-107 defeat to Towson on 19 December 2025. The projected points for Delaware, 82, exceed Notre Dame MD's 66, and the 91% win probability underscores Delaware's superior offensive output and defensive resilience at home. The model's 9% chance for Notre Dame MD and the 2% overtime likelihood round out the forecast, leaving the final score to unfold on the court.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Delaware winWon
91.5%fair 1.09
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Notre Dame MD winLost
8.5%fair 11.76
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DelawareUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
70-80 OT
70
80
-10
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
82-90
82
90
-8
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
38-81
38
81
-43
H07/03
NCAA
1H
2H
30-29
39-46
41-43
38-36
29-30
39-36
35-25
41-42
41-29
38-50
20-31
46-47
25-25
36-36
25-50
57-40
33-33
50-47
22-40
16-41
152.1Avg total
72.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)72.879.3152.1-6.540%
Last 5 (5)67.881.8149.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)68.274.9143.1-6.736%
vs Similar (3)65.371.7137.0-6.30%
vs Weaker (1)65.057.0122.0+8.0100%
Notre Dame MDUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#220
L
53-100
53
100
-47
A26/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
62-98
62
98
-36
A05/11
NCAA
American University
#102
L
52-97
52
97
-45
A01/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
52-102
52
102
-50
A24/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
75-102
75
102
-27
A29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
60-107
60
107
-47
A19/12
NCAA
1H
2H
23-50
30-50
31-45
31-53
34-37
18-60
29-48
23-54
34-51
41-51
31-56
29-51
160.0Avg total
59.0Scored
101.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (6)59.0101.0160.0-42.00%
Last 5 (5)60.2101.2161.4-41.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.2101.2161.4-41.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
Over/Under 142Actual: Over 142
Over 142
65.3%
Under 142
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 147Actual: Over 147
Over 147
53.1%
Under 147
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152Actual: Under 152
Over 152
40.5%
Under 152
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Delaware total 73Actual: Delaware over 73
Over 73
82.9%
Under 73
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware total 77Actual: Delaware over 77
Over 77
70.4%
Under 77
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Delaware total 81Actual: Delaware over 81
Over 81
54.6%
Under 81
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notre Dame MD total 66Actual: Notre Dame MD under 66
Over 66
50.5%
Under 66
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notre Dame MD total 70Actual: Notre Dame MD under 70
Over 70
34.4%
Under 70
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Notre Dame MD total 74Actual: Notre Dame MD under 74
Over 74
21.0%
Under 74
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Delaware -3Actual: Delaware -3
DELA -3
88.2%
NOTR +3
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
DELA
No market prices yet.
NOTR
No market prices yet.
Spread Delaware 0Actual: Delaware 0
DELA 0
91.5%
NOTR 0
8.5%
Best 5 market prices
DELA
No market prices yet.
NOTR
No market prices yet.
Spread Delaware +3Actual: Delaware +3
DELA +3
94.4%
NOTR -3
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
DELA
No market prices yet.
NOTR
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-31-15+0+15+311st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -17.5-17.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -24.5-24.5
-31-15+0+15+311st half1st half: -3.4-3.41st half: -17.5-17.52nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: -24.5-24.5
DelawareNotre Dame MD
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DelawareLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Liberty
#26
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H19/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
20-31
20
31
-11
A21/02
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
D
25-25
25
25
+0
A27/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
25-50
25
50
-25
A28/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
22-40
22
40
-18
H07/03
NCAA
63.6Avg total
30.1Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.632.663.2-1.937%-
Last 30 at home (17)31.733.965.6-2.235%-
Last 30 away (13)29.230.860.1-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)30.133.563.6-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)25.035.860.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)30.533.263.6-2.736%-
vs Similar (3)29.728.358.0+1.333%-
vs Weaker (1)31.025.056.0+6.0100%-
Notre Dame MDLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Radford
#220
L
23-50
23
50
-27
A26/11
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A05/11
NCAA
American University
#102
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A01/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
L
29-48
29
48
-19
A24/11
NCAA
Radford
#176
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A29/11
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
31-56
31
56
-25
A19/12
NCAA
78.2Avg total
30.3Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (6)30.347.878.2-17.50%-
Last 30 at homeno games
Last 30 away (6)30.347.878.2-17.50%-
Last 10 (6)30.347.878.2-17.50%-
Last 5 (5)31.847.479.2-15.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)31.847.479.2-15.60%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Delaware wins
0
Notre Dame MD wins
No previous meetings.
Delawarelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HLouisiana Tech38-81
06/03/26HSam Houston St.83-80
28/02/26AKennesaw State82-90
27/02/26AJacksonville State70-80 OT
21/02/26AMiddle Tenn. St.66-78
19/02/26HWestern Kentucky87-88 OT
14/02/26AMissouri State76-67
13/02/26AFlorida International68-66
07/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.89-88 OT
05/02/26HLiberty69-75
Notre Dame MDlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25ATowson60-107
29/11/25ARadford75-102
24/11/25AUMBC Retrievers52-102
01/12/24AAmerican University52-97
05/11/24AMount St. Mary's62-98
26/11/23ARadford53-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Delaware
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Notre Dame MD
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 6 Losses (last 6)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Florida Argonauts110100%127.042.0+85.0
2 Nicholls State110100%110.056.0+54.0
3 Stony Brook110100%97.047.0+50.0
4 Illinois (Chi.)110100%96.047.0+49.0
5 Hofstra110100%97.051.0+46.0
6 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
7 Middle Tenn. St.110100%117.073.0+44.0
8 South Carolina St110100%94.055.0+39.0
9 South Dakota Coyotes110100%95.057.0+38.0
10 IU Indy110100%113.076.0+37.0
11 Mercer110100%90.053.0+37.0
12 Duke110100%84.050.0+34.0
13 Princeton110100%78.046.0+32.0
14 VMI110100%115.083.0+32.0
15 Murray State110100%94.064.0+30.0
16 George Mason110100%82.054.0+28.0
17 Georgetown110100%80.058.0+22.0
18 McNeese State110100%99.078.0+21.0
19 San Jose State110100%95.074.0+21.0
20 Michigan110100%84.068.0+16.0
21 High Point110100%72.057.0+15.0
22 St. John's (N.Y.)110100%78.063.0+15.0
23 Merrimack Warriors110100%63.049.0+14.0
24 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
25 Florida110100%77.067.0+10.0
26 Northern Kentucky110100%84.076.0+8.0
27 Albany Great Danes110100%74.067.0+7.0
28 Queens Royals110100%103.098.0+5.0
29 Bowling Green110100%76.073.0+3.0
30 Grambling St.110100%89.087.0+2.0
31 Notre Dame110100%74.072.0+2.0
32 Cornell110100%86.085.0+1.0
33 Pepperdine1010%85.086.0-1.0
34 Northern Illinois1010%87.089.0-2.0
35 Villanova1010%72.074.0-2.0
36 Georgia State1010%73.076.0-3.0
37 Winthrop1010%98.0103.0-5.0
38 Rhode Island Anchormen1010%67.074.0-7.0
39 UTEP1010%76.084.0-8.0
40 Miami (FL)1010%67.077.0-10.0
41 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
42 Appalachian State1010%49.063.0-14.0
43 Liberty1010%57.072.0-15.0
44 Monmouth1010%63.078.0-15.0
45 Oakland1010%68.084.0-16.0
46 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
47 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
48 Loyola Maryland1010%58.080.0-22.0
49 UMBC Retrievers1010%54.082.0-28.0
50 Tennessee State1010%64.094.0-30.0
51 Carnegie Mellon1010%46.078.0-32.0
52 Virginia-Lynchburg1010%83.0115.0-32.0
53 Army1010%50.084.0-34.0
54 Miami (OH) - Middletown1010%76.0113.0-37.0
55 Reinhardt1010%53.090.0-37.0
56 Mount Marty1010%57.095.0-38.0
57 Morris College1010%55.094.0-39.0
58 Fisk1010%73.0117.0-44.0
59 Dallas Christian1010%55.0100.0-45.0
60 St. Joseph's (Brooklyn)1010%51.097.0-46.0
61 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
62 Old Westbury1010%47.097.0-50.0
63 North American Stallions1010%56.0110.0-54.0
64 Southeastern Baptist College1010%42.0127.0-85.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 64 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Delaware5550105
Notre Dame MD162844
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