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Middle Tenn. St. vs Delaware Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-66
0-0 31-20 0-0 47-46
Position#179
Record12-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.2
Allowed / game73.1
vs
Position#326
Record9-17
FormLWWWL
Points / game67.7
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Delaware winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
90-87 OT
90
87
+3
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
65-81
65
81
-16
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
60-65
60
65
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
L
88-89 OT
88
89
-1
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
W
90-87
90
87
+3
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
70-78
70
78
-8
A19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
40-21
0-0
18-38
0-0
38-36
0-0
30-32
0-0
34-39
0-0
24-36
0-0
29-43
0-0
36-38
0-0
23-30
0-0
37-35
0-0
38-39
0-0
37-36
0-0
43-41
0-0
36-38
0-0
45-49
0-0
45-38
0-0
37-42
0-0
43-40
0-0
32-44
0-0
38-34
153.4Avg total
74.3Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)75.273.1148.3+2.146%
Season at home (14)79.571.0150.5+8.564%
Season away (12)70.275.6145.8-5.325%
Last 10 (10)74.379.1153.4-4.820%
Last 5 (5)82.484.8167.2-2.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)68.578.2146.7-9.730%
vs Similar (12)74.071.2145.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)88.767.8156.5+20.867%
This opponent (Delaware) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DelawareUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
L
69-70
69
70
-1
H16/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
68-97
68
97
-29
H17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A24/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
73-64
73
64
+9
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
55-70
55
70
-15
A01/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
69-75
69
75
-6
H05/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
W
68-66
68
66
+2
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
76-67
76
67
+9
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
87-88 OT
87
88
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
36-30
0-0
33-40
0-0
30-49
0-0
38-48
0-0
28-34
0-0
23-33
0-0
34-24
0-0
39-40
0-0
25-27
0-0
30-43
0-0
30-29
0-0
39-46
0-0
41-43
0-0
38-36
0-0
29-30
0-0
39-36
0-0
35-25
0-0
41-42
0-0
41-29
0-0
38-50
145.7Avg total
70.5Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)67.772.5140.1-4.835%
Season at home (15)68.574.1142.7-5.633%
Season away (11)66.570.2136.6-3.736%
Last 10 (10)70.575.2145.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)77.876.8154.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.573.3141.8-4.838%
vs Similar (7)75.372.1147.4+3.143%
vs Weaker (1)65.057.0122.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.6-5.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.9+0.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -5.6-5.6
Middle Tenn. St.Delaware
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Tech
#131
W
40-21
40
21
+19
A15/01
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#228
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A24/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H30/01
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
23-30
23
30
-7
H31/01
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H05/02
NCAA
Delaware
#326
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A07/02
NCAA
Kennesaw State
#113
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A12/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A15/02
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A19/02
NCAA
74.3Avg total
35.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.234.471.6+2.847%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.233.571.7+4.653%-
Last 30 away (13)35.935.571.5+0.438%-
Last 10 (10)35.938.474.3-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.043.082.0-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.438.272.6-3.820%-
vs Similar (12)35.733.168.8+2.642%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.329.273.5+15.2100%-
This opponent (Delaware) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DelawareLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#307
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H16/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
L
30-49
30
49
-19
H17/01
NCAA
Liberty
#26
L
28-34
28
34
-6
A24/01
NCAA
New Mexico State
#178
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A29/01
NCAA
UTEP
#307
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Liberty
#26
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H05/02
NCAA
Middle Tenn. St.
#179
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H07/02
NCAA
Florida International
#232
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A13/02
NCAA
Missouri State
#223
W
35-25
35
25
+10
A14/02
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#151
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H19/02
NCAA
64.9Avg total
32.9Scored
32.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.332.664.9-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.333.565.8-1.340%-
Last 30 away (15)32.331.764.1+0.647%-
Last 10 (10)32.932.064.9+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.231.266.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.732.764.3-1.043%-
vs Similar (7)33.732.966.6+0.943%-
vs Weaker (1)31.025.056.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Middle Tenn. St. wins
1
Delaware wins
DateGameScore
07/02/26Delaware v Middle Tenn. St.89-88 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26ASam Houston St.70-78
15/02/26AWestern Kentucky80-82
12/02/26AKennesaw State90-87
07/02/26ADelaware88-89 OT
05/02/26HFlorida International84-88 OT
31/01/26HWestern Kentucky60-65
30/01/26HLiberty65-81
24/01/26AJacksonville State58-75
17/01/26HMissouri State90-87 OT
15/01/26ALouisiana Tech58-59
Delawarelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/02/26HWestern Kentucky87-88 OT
14/02/26AMissouri State76-67
13/02/26AFlorida International68-66
07/02/26HMiddle Tenn. St.89-88 OT
05/02/26HLiberty69-75
01/02/26AUTEP55-70
29/01/26ANew Mexico State73-64
24/01/26ALiberty51-67
17/01/26HNew Mexico State68-97
16/01/26HUTEP69-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL46%
HomeWWLLL64%
AwayLLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %46%64%25%
Points / game75.279.570.2
Allowed / game73.171.075.6
Point differential+2.1+8.5-5.3
Avg total148.3150.5145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%36%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)67% (6)43% (7)
Overtime %15%14%17%
Delaware
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL35%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %35%33%36%
Points / game67.768.566.5
Allowed / game72.574.170.2
Point differential-4.8-5.6-3.7
Avg total140.1142.7136.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%20%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %15%13%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2623388%79.368.5+10.8
2 Sam Houston St.2618869%82.873.8+9.0
3 Kennesaw State26151158%85.377.2+8.1
4 Louisiana Tech26151158%69.564.7+4.7
5 Western Kentucky26151158%77.975.1+2.8
6 New Mexico State25131252%75.971.0+4.9
7 Jacksonville State26131350%72.667.3+5.3
8 Missouri State26131350%75.673.7+1.9
9 Florida International26121446%81.878.2+3.6
10 Middle Tenn. St.26121446%75.273.1+2.1
11 UTEP26101638%69.871.8-2.0
12 Delaware2691735%67.772.5-4.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Middle Tenn. St.03104778
Delaware02004666
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