Den Helder W will host Triple Threat W on 15 November 2026 in the WBL Women, with the model designating Den Helder W as the favourite thanks to their 5-3 record, 82.1 points per game and 72.9 points allowed, placing them third in the league, while Triple Threat W sits 3-5, 65.4 points per game and 66.1 points allowed, seventh. Den Helder W has gone 1-1 at home, scoring 75.5 and allowing 68.0, and has won 3 of its last five games, including a 85-67 away victory over Orange Lions and a 81-71 win over Grasshoppers, though it lost 66-68 to Jolly Jumpers at home. Triple Threat W's road record is 2-3, with 66.4 points per game and 65.2 allowed, and it has won 2 of its last five, notably a 69-32 win over Binnenland and a 64-81 loss to Jolly Jumpers. The teams have met ten times, with Triple Threat W leading 6-4, the last encounter ending 80-74 for Den Helder W in April. Pythia projects an 83% chance for Den Helder W to win, 17% for Triple Threat W, a 75-64 scoreline and 138.8 total points; the home team's -7.5 line carries a 62% probability of covering, while the 138.0 total has a 52% over probability, and there is a 3% chance of overtime. The game will hinge on whether Den Helder W can extend its recent momentum against a Triple Threat W that has struggled on the road.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Den Helder W win
82.7%fair 1.21
Best odds1.38
Implied68.0%
Edge+14.7pp
Triple Threat W win
17.3%fair 5.78
Best odds3.00
Implied32.0%
Edge-14.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 14 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Den Helder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 133
Over 133
63.9%
Under 133
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 138.25 · main line
Over 138.25
50.4%
@ 1.81+0.4pp
Under 138.25
49.6%
@ 1.81-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.81
Under
1xBet
1.81
Over/Under 143
Over 143
39.3%
Under 143
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
📊 3. Team Totals
Den Helder W total 68.5
Over 68.5
73.6%
@ 1.41+11.9pp
Under 68.5
26.4%
@ 2.27-11.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.41
Under
1xBet
2.27
Den Helder W total 72.5 · main line
Over 72.5
59.1%
@ 1.85+10.1pp
Under 72.5
40.9%
@ 1.83-10.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.81
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.65
Den Helder W total 76.5
Over 76.5
43.2%
@ 2.34+5.9pp
Under 76.5
56.8%
@ 1.39-5.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.39
Triple Threat W total 60.5
Over 60.5
63.3%
Under 60.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Triple Threat W total 64.5 · main line
Over 64.5
47.7%
@ 1.85-2.3pp
Under 64.5
52.3%
@ 1.97+2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.54
Under
1xBet
1.97
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.78
Triple Threat W total 68.5
Over 68.5
32.7%
@ 2.06-9.4pp
Under 68.5
67.3%
@ 1.50+9.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.06
Under
1xBet
1.50
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Den Helder W -9
DEN -9
56.4%
@ 2.23+15.7pp
TRIP +9
43.6%
@ 1.53-15.7pp
Best 5 market prices
DEN
Pinnacle
2.23
TRIP
Pinnacle
1.53
Spread Den Helder W -6 · main line
DEN -6
67.4%
@ 1.81+16.9pp
TRIP +6
32.6%
@ 1.85-16.9pp
Best 5 market prices
DEN
Pinnacle
1.81
TRIP
Pinnacle
1.85
Spread Den Helder W -3
DEN -3
77.0%
@ 1.61+20.5pp
TRIP +3
23.0%
@ 2.09-20.5pp
Best 5 market prices
DEN
Pinnacle
1.61
TRIP
Pinnacle
2.09
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
Den Helder WTriple Threat W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Den Helder WLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Grasshoppers W
#1
L
15-23
15
23
-8
A08/04
WBL Women
Grasshoppers W
#1
L
18-27
18
27
-9
H11/04
WBL Women
Binnenland W
#9
L
22-24
22
24
-2
H19/09
WBL Women
Leiden W
#5
D
22-22
22
22
+0
A27/09
WBL Women
Zwolle W
#10
W
30-20
30
20
+10
A11/10
WBL Women
TopKip Lions W
#6
L
12-20
12
20
-8
A17/10
WBL Women
Grasshoppers W
#1
W
24-18
24
18
+6
A24/10
WBL Women
Orange Lions W
#8
W
32-14
32
14
+18
A01/11
WBL Women
Jolly Jumpers W
#4
W
22-16
22
16
+6
H07/11
WBL Women
42.3Avg total
21.9Scored
20.4Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 35.5
Last 30 (25)
19.5
15.9
35.4
+3.6
68%
44%
Last 30 at home (13)
17.9
14.3
32.2
+3.6
69%
31%
Last 30 away (12)
21.2
17.6
38.8
+3.6
67%
58%
Last 10 (9)
21.9
20.4
42.3
+1.4
44%
89%
Last 5 (5)
24.0
17.6
41.6
+6.4
80%
80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)
18.3
18.7
37.0
-0.4
57%
57%
vs Similar (7)
17.6
13.7
31.3
+3.9
71%
29%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)
21.5
15.5
36.9
+6.0
73%
45%
This opponent (Triple Threat W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Den Helder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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