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Denizli Basket vs Afyon Belediye Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 85-62
24-15 19-9 24-23 18-15
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game67.8
vs
Position#15
Record4-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game86.1
TurkeyTBLRound 17
Other2014-15
Meetings · Denizli Basket v Afyon Belediye
10 Oct 2015
DEN75
ABE72
17 Jan 2015
DEN85
ABE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denizli Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Afyon Belediye winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denizli BasketTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#18
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H15/11
TBL
Meliksah
#7
W
91-90 OT
91
90
+1
A21/11
TBL
Pertevniyal
#14
W
89-63
89
63
+26
H29/11
TBL
Yesilgiresun
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A06/12
TBL
Final Spor
#13
W
71-61
71
61
+10
H13/12
TBL
Akhisar Belediye
#6
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A20/12
TBL
Istanbul DSI
#16
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H24/12
TBL
Adanaspor
#9
W
97-91
97
91
+6
A28/12
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#4
W
64-63
64
63
+1
H03/01
TBL
Best Balikesir
#2
W
76-55
76
55
+21
A10/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-16
16-12
26-19
29-14
21-22
15-18
26-21
18-19
30-12
20-23
17-12
22-16
21-15
16-20
11-17
30-20
18-13
9-16
27-20
17-12
19-10
20-21
15-13
14-13
20-13
12-13
17-15
20-11
28-31
18-16
23-17
28-27
14-19
21-13
14-19
15-12
21-9
14-12
21-15
20-19
145.2Avg total
78.7Scored
66.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.267.8148.0+12.588%
Season at home (8)81.060.1141.1+20.9100%
Season away (8)79.575.4154.9+4.175%
Last 10 (10)78.766.5145.2+12.2100%
Last 5 (5)74.863.6138.4+11.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)70.565.2135.8+5.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.568.6152.1+14.992%
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Final Spor
#13
L
74-81 OT
74
81
-7
H15/11
TBL
Akhisar Belediye
#6
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A22/11
TBL
Istanbul DSI
#16
W
87-83
87
83
+4
H29/11
TBL
Adanaspor
#9
L
88-101
88
101
-13
A07/12
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#4
L
68-73
68
73
-5
H13/12
TBL
Best Balikesir
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A20/12
TBL
ITU
#17
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A24/12
TBL
Socar Spor
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H27/12
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#12
L
89-95
89
95
-6
A03/01
TBL
Gediz Universitesi
#11
L
82-104
82
104
-22
H10/01
TBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-18
18-17
19-15
22-25
14-18
19-21
9-22
21-10
22-24
20-24
24-25
23-26
23-24
14-25
28-26
12-14
19-17
23-26
14-16
19-19
11-15
22-22
18-23
24-22
21-16
31-29
18-23
13-19
24-16
22-21
28-23
23-26
24-17
18-26
24-26
25-24
12-29
25-22
20-29
167.4Avg total
80.3Scored
87.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.086.1164.1-8.125%
Season at home (8)76.981.1158.0-4.238%
Season away (8)79.191.0170.1-11.912%
Last 10 (10)80.387.1167.4-6.830%
Last 5 (5)84.489.4173.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.587.4162.9-11.910%
vs Similar (6)82.283.8166.0-1.750%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -2.6-2.6
Denizli BasketAfyon Belediye
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denizli BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mersin SK
#18
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H15/11
TBL
Meliksah
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A21/11
TBL
Pertevniyal
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H29/11
TBL
Yesilgiresun
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A06/12
TBL
Final Spor
#13
L
27-29
27
29
-2
H13/12
TBL
Akhisar Belediye
#6
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A20/12
TBL
Istanbul DSI
#16
W
32-26
32
26
+6
H24/12
TBL
Adanaspor
#9
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A28/12
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#4
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H03/01
TBL
Best Balikesir
#2
W
35-21
35
21
+14
A10/01
TBL
69.0Avg total
36.6Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)38.133.371.4+4.862%-
Last 30 at home (8)39.530.169.6+9.488%-
Last 30 away (8)36.636.573.1+0.138%-
Last 10 (10)36.632.469.0+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)37.431.468.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.531.265.8+3.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.234.073.2+5.258%-
This opponent (Afyon Belediye) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Afyon BelediyeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Final Spor
#13
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H15/11
TBL
Akhisar Belediye
#6
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A22/11
TBL
Istanbul DSI
#16
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H29/11
TBL
Adanaspor
#9
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A07/12
TBL
Buyukcekmece
#4
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H13/12
TBL
Best Balikesir
#2
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A20/12
TBL
ITU
#17
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A24/12
TBL
Socar Spor
#10
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H27/12
TBL
MKE Ankaragucu
#12
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A03/01
TBL
Gediz Universitesi
#11
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H10/01
TBL
77.8Avg total
38.2Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)37.139.476.4-2.338%-
Last 30 at home (8)35.036.871.8-1.838%-
Last 30 away (8)39.142.081.1-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.677.8-1.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)35.741.577.2-5.820%-
vs Similar (6)39.335.875.2+3.567%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denizli Basket) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denizli Basket wins
0
Afyon Belediye wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/15ABest Balikesir76-55
03/01/15HBuyukcekmece64-63
28/12/14AAdanaspor97-91
24/12/14HIstanbul DSI69-52
20/12/14AAkhisar Belediye68-57
13/12/14HFinal Spor71-61
06/12/14AYesilgiresun78-72
29/11/14HPertevniyal89-63
21/11/14AMeliksah91-90 OT
15/11/14HMersin SK84-61
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/15HGediz Universitesi82-104
03/01/15AMKE Ankaragucu89-95
27/12/14HSocar Spor87-79
24/12/14AITU94-90
20/12/14ABest Balikesir70-79
13/12/14HBuyukcekmece68-73
07/12/14AAdanaspor88-101
29/11/14HIstanbul DSI87-83
22/11/14AAkhisar Belediye64-86
15/11/14HFinal Spor74-81 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denizli Basket
TBL 2014-15
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game80.281.079.5
Allowed / game67.860.175.4
Point differential+12.5+20.9+4.1
Avg total148.0141.1154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%88%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Afyon Belediye
TBL 2014-15
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL25%
HomeLWLWL38%
AwayLLLWL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %25%38%12%
Points / game78.076.979.1
Allowed / game86.181.191.0
Point differential-8.1-4.2-11.9
Avg total164.1158.0170.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %12%12%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denizli Basket1614288%80.267.8+12.5
2 Sakarya BB1613381%80.269.9+10.4
3 Buyukcekmece1613381%79.971.6+8.3
4 Best Balikesir1712571%80.173.8+6.2
5 Akhisar Belediye1611569%75.671.2+4.3
6 Socar Spor1710759%84.482.0+2.4
7 Meliksah179853%78.475.5+2.9
8 Adanaspor179853%83.382.4+0.9
9 Gelisim Koleji179853%75.275.6-0.4
10 Yesilgiresun178947%73.171.1+2.0
11 Gediz Universitesi178947%74.674.8-0.2
12 Final Spor1771041%82.985.2-2.4
13 MKE Ankaragucu1761135%74.481.0-6.6
14 ITU1761135%74.581.3-6.8
15 Afyon Belediye1641225%78.086.1-8.1
16 Pertevniyal1641225%72.180.5-8.4
17 Istanbul DSI1741324%68.876.3-7.5
18 Mersin SK1731418%66.875.2-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denizli Basket2419241885
Afyon Belediye159231562
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