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Denmark vs Kosovo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 26 Jul 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-75
27-16 17-27 25-22 13-10
Position#27
Record5-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game70.7
Denmark 🏆
vs
Position#32
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game81.6
EuropeEuroBasketRound 3· Arena Naestved
Other2023
Meetings · Denmark v Kosovo
26 Jul 2023
DENM82
KOSO75
30 Jun 2022
DENM105
KOSO71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kosovo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Norway
#28
W
84-68
84
68
+16
no box
H24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
105-71
105
71
+34
no box
H30/06
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A03/07
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
65avg 64
H25/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
75-99
75
99
-24
67avg 64
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
70-74
70
74
-4
63avg 64
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
70avg 64
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
69-61
69
61
+8
68avg 64
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
71-72
71
72
-1
54avg 64
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
60-46
60
46
+14
63avg 64
A22/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-17
25-20
21-14
26-19
20-17
30-17
29-18
14-13
24-9
14-12
12-28
18-14
11-20
26-21
15-18
21-34
23-23
21-26
10-16
17-23
18-16
11-18
24-17
20-14
17-18
17-16
10-16
21-15
18-14
12-16
18-16
21-12
14-21
14-26
22-13
18-6
9-17
12-13
21-10
143.9Avg total
73.9Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)73.870.7144.5+3.145%
Season at home (5)79.869.0148.8+10.860%
Season away (6)68.872.2141.0-3.333%
Last 10 (10)73.970.0143.9+3.950%
Last 5 (5)68.265.4133.6+2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.584.5154.0-15.00%
vs Similar (14)75.178.2153.4-3.136%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.471.5149.9+6.975%
This opponent (Kosovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KosovoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKosovo
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#64
W
84-80
84
80
+4
no box
A23/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
L
67-91
67
91
-24
no box
A26/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
62-86
62
86
-24
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
H18/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H20/02
World Cup
Norway
#28
L
77-86
77
86
-9
no box
A25/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
78-73
78
73
+5
no box
H28/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
92-95 OT
92
95
-3
no box
H27/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
71-105
71
105
-34
no box
A30/06
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
76-49
76
49
+27
74avg 74
H19/07
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
19-25
16-20
24-15
9-21
20-21
13-20
25-29
17-21
12-24
14-22
19-19
23-32
23-23
24-20
19-24
23-15
14-20
17-20
19-22
22-17
11-25
19-27
25-17
18-17
20-16
22-13
18-27
27-15
19-16
18-25
17-25
19-26
17-20
17-30
18-29
18-16
23-8
27-14
8-11
161.0Avg total
76.9Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Season at home (3)82.072.3154.3+9.767%
Season away (2)74.095.5169.5-21.50%
Last 10 (10)76.984.1161.0-7.230%
Last 5 (5)78.881.6160.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)68.385.1153.3-16.822%
vs Similar (9)79.682.7162.2-3.122%
vs Weaker (2)94.588.0182.5+6.550%
This opponent (Denmark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.2+0.2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: -2.6-2.6
DenmarkKosovo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norway
#28
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/06
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A03/07
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H23/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H26/02
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
27-23
27
23
+4
A22/07
EuroBasket
70.7Avg total
36.8Scored
33.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.539.376.8-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.739.977.6-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)37.338.976.2-1.638%-
Last 10 (10)36.833.970.7+2.970%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.265.8+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.043.878.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (14)35.740.175.8-4.421%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)40.437.077.4+3.475%-
This opponent (Kosovo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KosovoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Luxembourg
#64
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A23/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A26/11
World Cup
Iceland
#31
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A28/11
World Cup
Luxembourg
#64
L
46-55
46
55
-9
H18/02
World Cup
Slovakia
#57
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H20/02
World Cup
Norway
#28
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A25/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H28/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H27/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A30/06
EuroBasket
Switzerland
#31
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H19/07
EuroBasket
77.7Avg total
37.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)36.039.575.5-3.431%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.835.973.7+1.947%-
Last 30 away (14)34.143.377.4-9.114%-
Last 10 (10)37.939.877.7-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.835.274.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)33.539.673.1-6.128%-
vs Similar (9)38.838.777.4+0.133%-
vs Weaker (2)46.542.088.5+4.550%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
50.6%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.413.3
65.2%
71.4%13.3
They take 60.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kosovotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kosovo: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.016.4
54.7%
50.6%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.0
32.9%
32.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.615.2
70.4%
71.4%15.2
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 26 Jul 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark
WLWLLLLWWW
Kosovo
WLLWLLLLLW
#27
League position
#32
+6.0
Net rating
-3.1
101.5
Offensive rating
102.3
95.6
Defensive rating
105.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
43.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
21.8%
Turnover %
19.8%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
32.9%
62.8%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.5 · 102.3Defence95.6 · 105.4Shooting49.4% · 52.0%3-point %32.2% · 32.9%Ball care21.8% · 19.8%Off. rebounds36.2% · 25.4%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Denmark   ■ Kosovo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Denmark wins
1
Kosovo wins
DateGameScore
30/06/22Denmark v Kosovo105-71
28/11/21Kosovo v Denmark78-73
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/07/23ASwitzerland60-46
26/02/23HSlovakia71-72
23/02/23HNorway69-61
13/11/22ANorth Macedonia71-74 OT
10/11/22ASlovakia70-74
28/08/22ANorway75-99
25/08/22HNorth Macedonia70-73
03/07/22ANorway64-62
30/06/22HKosovo105-71
24/02/22HNorway84-68
Kosovolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/23HSwitzerland76-49
30/06/22ADenmark71-105
27/02/22HNorway92-95 OT
28/11/21HDenmark78-73
25/11/21ANorway77-86
20/02/21HSlovakia73-77
18/02/21HLuxembourg89-99
28/11/20AIceland62-86
26/11/20ASlovakia67-91
23/02/20ALuxembourg84-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW45%
HomeWWLWL60%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game73.879.868.8
Allowed / game70.769.072.2
Point differential+3.1+10.8-3.3
Avg total144.5148.8141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Kosovo
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game78.882.074.0
Allowed / game81.672.395.5
Point differential-2.8+9.7-21.5
Avg total160.4154.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %20%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia87188%83.865.6+18.1
2 Portugal65183%85.770.7+15.0
3 Poland65183%82.268.7+13.5
4 North Macedonia65183%72.762.5+10.2
5 Bulgaria86275%80.072.6+7.4
6 Slovakia75271%72.671.6+1.0
7 Romania127558%73.271.9+1.2
8 Denmark115645%73.870.7+3.1
9 Norway115645%70.674.0-3.4
10 Switzerland146843%66.570.1-3.6
11 Kosovo52340%78.881.6-2.8
12 Austria135838%74.676.9-2.3
13 Ireland72529%71.985.3-13.4
14 Luxembourg51420%74.883.2-8.4
15 Albania51420%79.287.8-8.6
16 Cyprus121118%63.278.4-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark2717251382
Kosovo1627221075
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