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Denmark vs Norway Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 69-61
21-15 18-14 12-16 18-16
Position#27
Record3-5
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game74.9
Denmark 🏆
vs
Position#28
Record4-4
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeEuroBasketRound 5· Arena Naestved
Other2023
Meetings · Denmark v Norway
02 Aug 2025
DENM89
NORW71
23 Feb 2023
DENM69
NORW61
24 Feb 2022
DENM84
NORW68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Norway winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDenmark
Date
Competition
Iceland
#31
L
73-89
73
89
-16
no box
H17/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
67-79
67
79
-12
no box
A18/08
World Cup
Kosovo
#32
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A28/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
84-68
84
68
+16
81avg 74
H24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
105-71
105
71
+34
106avg 74
H30/06
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
64-62
64
62
+2
66avg 74
A03/07
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
65avg 74
H25/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
75-99
75
99
-24
67avg 74
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
70-74
70
74
-4
63avg 74
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
71-74 OT
71
74
-3
70avg 74
A13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-26
21-21
12-23
22-19
12-26
15-13
17-18
23-22
17-18
16-20
13-22
27-18
18-17
20-17
25-20
21-14
26-19
20-17
30-17
29-18
14-13
24-9
14-12
12-28
18-14
11-20
26-21
15-18
21-34
23-23
21-26
10-16
17-23
18-16
11-18
24-17
20-14
17-18
17-16
10-16
151.9Avg total
75.2Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.574.9151.4+1.638%
Season at home (3)86.370.7157.0+15.767%
Season away (5)70.677.4148.0-6.820%
Last 10 (10)75.276.7151.9-1.530%
Last 5 (5)70.076.4146.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)69.584.5154.0-15.00%
vs Similar (15)76.677.2153.8-0.647%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)81.374.5155.8+6.773%
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorwayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNorway
Date
Competition
Ireland
#4
W
83-73
83
73
+10
no box
H30/06
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#1
L
59-75
59
75
-16
no box
H01/07
Small Countries European Championship
Kosovo
#32
W
86-77
86
77
+9
no box
H25/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 63
A24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
95-92 OT
95
92
+3
87avg 63
A27/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
62-64
62
64
-2
45avg 63
H03/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
87-68
87
68
+19
85avg 63
A25/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
99-75
99
75
+24
99avg 63
H28/08
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
36-58
36
58
-22
26avg 63
A10/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
56-68
56
68
-12
42avg 63
H13/11
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
33-11
17-24
18-18
8-22
13-13
16-21
22-19
17-22
25-11
27-19
17-25
17-18
17-20
20-25
14-21
15-27
16-19
25-18
25-17
13-14
9-24
12-14
28-12
21-20
21-13
24-23
21-12
34-21
23-23
26-21
16-10
11-16
7-18
11-11
7-13
20-16
13-20
13-14
10-18
146.5Avg total
73.1Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.673.2146.9+0.450%
Season at home (4)75.871.0146.8+4.850%
Season away (4)71.575.5147.0-4.050%
Last 10 (10)73.173.4146.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)68.066.6134.6+1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)64.871.2136.0-6.420%
vs Similar (4)81.076.2157.2+4.875%
vs Weaker (4)90.064.8154.8+25.2100%
This opponent (Denmark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +1.3+1.3
DenmarkNorway
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
DenmarkLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iceland
#31
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H17/08
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A18/08
World Cup
Kosovo
#32
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A28/11
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H30/06
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
W
38-22
38
22
+16
A03/07
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H25/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A28/08
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A10/11
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A13/11
EuroBasket
74.4Avg total
36.6Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.578.4-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.441.179.5-2.836%-
Last 30 away (16)37.639.977.5-2.431%-
Last 10 (10)36.637.874.4-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.636.873.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.043.878.8-8.80%-
vs Similar (15)35.740.776.4-4.913%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.039.181.1+2.973%-
This opponent (Norway) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NorwayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ireland
#4
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H30/06
Small Countries European Championship
Malta
#1
L
21-35
21
35
-14
H01/07
Small Countries European Championship
Kosovo
#32
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H25/11
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A24/02
EuroBasket
Kosovo
#32
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A27/02
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H03/07
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A25/08
EuroBasket
Denmark
#27
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H28/08
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
18-34
18
34
-16
A10/11
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H13/11
EuroBasket
71.6Avg total
34.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)36.735.572.2+1.246%-
Last 30 at home (7)39.434.774.1+4.757%-
Last 30 away (6)33.536.369.8-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)34.836.871.6-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)34.437.071.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)30.437.868.2-7.420%-
vs Similar (4)37.037.074.0+0.050%-
vs Weaker (4)44.231.075.2+13.275%-
This opponent (Denmark) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmarktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.518.2
51.4%
50.6%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.0
32.3%
32.5%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.615.0
69.4%
71.4%15.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Norwaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Norway: 72.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 74.8 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.416.9
47.7%
50.6%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.29.0
31.9%
32.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.511.9
72.0%
71.4%11.9
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/8 games with a box score before 23 Feb 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark
LLLLWWWLLL
Norway
LLWWLWLWLW
#27
League position
#28
+1.9
Net rating
+0.2
103.4
Offensive rating
103.4
101.5
Defensive rating
103.2
50.2%
Effective FG%
47.7%
47.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
21.9%
Turnover %
16.7%
36.7%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.3%
3-point %
31.9%
65.7%
Assist %
66.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.4 · 103.4Defence101.5 · 103.2Shooting50.2% · 47.7%3-point %32.3% · 31.9%Ball care21.9% · 16.7%Off. rebounds36.7% · 30.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Denmark   ■ Norway
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denmark wins
1
Norway wins
DateGameScore
28/08/22Norway v Denmark99-75
03/07/22Norway v Denmark62-64
24/02/22Denmark v Norway84-68
Denmarklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22ANorth Macedonia71-74 OT
10/11/22ASlovakia70-74
28/08/22ANorway75-99
25/08/22HNorth Macedonia70-73
03/07/22ANorway64-62
30/06/22HKosovo105-71
24/02/22HNorway84-68
28/11/21AKosovo73-78
18/08/21AMontenegro67-79
17/08/21HIceland73-89
Norwaylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/22HSlovakia56-68
10/11/22ANorth Macedonia36-58
28/08/22HDenmark99-75
25/08/22ASlovakia87-68
03/07/22HDenmark62-64
27/02/22AKosovo95-92 OT
24/02/22ADenmark68-84
25/11/21HKosovo86-77
01/07/18HMalta59-75
30/06/18HIreland83-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL38%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%67%20%
Points / game76.586.370.6
Allowed / game74.970.777.4
Point differential+1.6+15.7-6.8
Avg total151.4157.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Norway
EuroBasket 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game73.675.871.5
Allowed / game73.271.075.5
Point differential+0.4+4.8-4.0
Avg total146.9146.8147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Portugal550100%86.466.8+19.6
2 Poland54180%82.668.4+14.2
3 Bulgaria54180%77.468.4+9.0
4 North Macedonia54180%71.466.8+4.6
5 Croatia43175%83.871.0+12.8
6 Switzerland106460%71.070.1+0.9
7 Slovakia53260%73.473.0+0.4
8 Romania95456%72.373.4-1.1
9 Norway84450%73.673.2+0.4
10 Austria115645%75.075.7-0.7
11 Denmark83538%76.574.9+1.6
12 Ireland62433%75.784.7-9.0
13 Luxembourg41325%78.079.5-1.5
14 Albania41325%78.288.0-9.8
15 Kosovo41325%79.589.8-10.2
16 Cyprus111109%64.578.7-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark2118121869
Norway1514161661
← all games of the day
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