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Denmark W vs Sweden W Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-98
21-26 15-22 17-23 19-27
Position#28
Record1-3
FormWWLLL
Points / game67.5
Allowed / game67.5
Denmark W
vs
Sweden W 🏆
Position#4
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game60.8
EuropeEuropean Championship WomenRound 5· Gentofte Sportspark
Women2024
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denmark W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sweden W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denmark WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
63-84
63
84
-21
no box
H06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
82-48
82
48
+34
no box
H11/11
European Championship Women
Russia W
#1
L
57-77
57
77
-20
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
60-67
60
67
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
L
63-66
63
66
-3
no box
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
no box
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
81-53
81
53
+28
no box
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
L
69-76
69
76
-7
no box
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
62-75
62
75
-13
47avg 45
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
L
58-66
58
66
-8
42avg 45
A10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-15
13-28
17-19
14-22
16-15
24-12
21-13
21-8
16-25
13-17
12-22
16-13
14-18
15-16
7-16
24-17
18-18
20-18
19-14
6-16
20-19
13-16
21-20
17-16
18-14
21-13
28-12
14-14
20-21
18-16
15-23
16-16
15-19
12-12
19-25
16-19
22-18
4-8
17-22
15-18
137.2Avg total
67.9Scored
69.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)67.567.5135.0+0.025%
Season at home (1)81.053.0134.0+28.0100%
Season away (3)63.072.3135.3-9.30%
Last 10 (10)67.969.3137.2-1.430%
Last 5 (5)70.870.2141.0+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)63.182.7145.9-19.60%
vs Similar (2)73.072.0145.0+1.050%
vs Weaker (11)86.955.3142.2+31.673%
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Belarus W
#10
L
46-58
46
58
-12
no box
A23/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
63-82
63
82
-19
no box
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
70-89
70
89
-19
no box
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
68-75
68
75
-7
no box
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
L
57-71
57
71
-14
no box
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
65-71
65
71
-6
no box
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
64-62
64
62
+2
no box
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
W
76-69
76
69
+7
no box
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
82-52
82
52
+30
78avg 69
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
63-60
63
60
+3
59avg 69
H10/11
European Championship Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
4-11
17-19
15-13
10-25
21-30
19-11
13-16
21-22
18-25
21-23
10-19
14-14
16-13
15-28
23-20
10-19
22-12
8-23
17-17
19-16
18-9
13-20
15-26
18-18
17-13
15-17
14-14
21-20
16-18
23-15
16-16
22-17
14-13
26-7
20-15
11-12
12-16
20-17
20-15
134.3Avg total
65.4Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.260.8132.0+10.5100%
Season at home (2)69.564.5134.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)73.057.0130.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)65.468.9134.3-3.540%
Last 5 (5)70.062.8132.8+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)59.272.5131.8-13.212%
vs Similar (6)58.767.3126.0-8.733%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.356.1132.4+20.186%
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -0.8-0.8
Denmark WSweden W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denmark WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Czech Republic W
#11
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H06/02
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H11/11
European Championship Women
Russia W
#1
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A14/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H24/11
European Championship Women
Austria W
#27
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A27/11
European Championship Women
Montenegro W
#16
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A12/02
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/11
European Championship Women
Sweden W
#4
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A12/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A07/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A10/11
European Championship Women
66.9Avg total
33.1Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)38.533.872.2+4.745%-
Last 30 at home (9)41.332.173.4+9.256%-
Last 30 away (11)36.135.271.3+0.936%-
Last 10 (10)33.133.866.9-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.263.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.742.174.9-9.414%-
vs Similar (2)33.041.574.5-8.50%-
vs Weaker (11)43.127.170.2+16.073%-
This opponent (Sweden W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sweden WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Belarus W
#10
L
14-26
14
26
-12
A23/06
European Championship Women
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
#6
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H26/06
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A14/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
30-27
30
27
+3
H24/11
European Championship Women
Israel W
#26
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A09/02
European Championship Women
Latvia W
#7
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H12/02
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A09/11
European Championship Women
Denmark W
#28
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H12/11
European Championship Women
Estonia W
#31
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A07/11
European Championship Women
Great Britain W
#18
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H10/11
European Championship Women
65.2Avg total
31.4Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)31.431.062.4+0.452%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.531.364.8+2.355%-
Last 30 away (10)29.130.759.8-1.650%-
Last 10 (10)31.433.865.2-2.450%-
Last 5 (5)33.630.464.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)28.534.663.1-6.138%-
vs Similar (6)27.230.557.7-3.350%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)38.427.365.7+11.171%-
This opponent (Denmark W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denmark Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denmark W: 66.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.217.0
38.4%
45.4%34.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.2
28.7%
30.0%21.8
🏀 Free throws17.210.2
59.4%
72.4%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sweden Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sweden W: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.1 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.813.0
38.5%
45.4%26.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.810.0
36.0%
30.0%30.0
🏀 Free throws18.514.2
77.0%
72.4%14.2
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/4 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denmark W
LLLWWLLLWL
Sweden W
WWWWLLLLLL
#28
League position
#4
-1.3
Net rating
+14.4
85.8
Offensive rating
96.4
87.1
Defensive rating
82.0
40.1%
Effective FG%
45.5%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.8%
24.5%
Turnover %
21.6%
39.8%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.7%
3-point %
36.0%
66.0%
Assist %
84.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence85.8 · 96.4Defence87.1 · 82.0Shooting40.1% · 45.5%3-point %28.7% · 36.0%Ball care24.5% · 21.6%Off. rebounds39.8% · 32.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Denmark W   ■ Sweden W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Denmark W wins
1
Sweden W wins
DateGameScore
12/11/23Sweden W v Denmark W76-69
Denmark Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24AEstonia W58-66
07/11/24AGreat Britain W62-75
12/11/23ASweden W69-76
09/11/23HEstonia W81-53
12/02/23AMontenegro W84-81 OT
27/11/22AAustria W63-66
24/11/22HMontenegro W60-67
14/11/21ARussia W57-77
11/11/21HAustria W82-48
06/02/21HCzech Republic W63-84
Sweden Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/24HGreat Britain W63-60
07/11/24AEstonia W82-52
12/11/23HDenmark W76-69
09/11/23AGreat Britain W64-62
12/02/23HLatvia W65-71
09/02/23AIsrael W57-71
24/11/22HIsrael W68-75
14/11/21ALatvia W70-89
26/06/21HBosnia & Herzegovina W63-82
23/06/21ABelarus W46-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denmark W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game67.581.063.0
Allowed / game67.553.072.3
Point differential+0.0+28.0-9.3
Avg total135.0134.0135.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sweden W
European Championship Women 2024
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game71.269.573.0
Allowed / game60.864.557.0
Point differential+10.5+5.0+16.0
Avg total132.0134.0130.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Serbia W550100%88.050.0+38.0
2 France W440100%86.850.0+36.8
3 Turkey W550100%79.257.0+22.2
4 Spain W440100%72.255.0+17.2
5 Sweden W440100%71.260.8+10.5
6 Lithuania W54180%84.866.4+18.4
7 Luxembourg W54180%65.251.4+13.8
8 Slovenia W54180%76.269.0+7.2
9 Belgium W43175%89.860.5+29.2
10 Montenegro W43175%77.563.5+14.0
11 Germany W43175%72.863.5+9.2
12 Italy W43175%64.855.8+9.0
13 Portugal W43175%64.057.2+6.8
14 Hungary W53260%70.462.8+7.6
15 Latvia W53260%70.873.8-3.0
16 Great Britain W42250%70.058.5+11.5
17 Croatia W42250%74.871.2+3.5
18 Netherlands W42250%63.262.2+1.0
19 Switzerland W42250%62.261.8+0.5
20 Slovakia W42250%65.271.8-6.5
21 Poland W52340%78.268.0+10.2
22 Israel W52340%78.476.2+2.2
23 Greece W52340%68.069.4-1.4
24 Finland W52340%65.673.6-8.0
25 Denmark W41325%67.567.5+0.0
26 Ukraine W41325%63.572.0-8.5
27 Romania W41325%71.585.2-13.8
28 Estonia W41325%54.076.0-22.0
29 Iceland W51420%71.677.6-6.0
30 Bulgaria W51420%73.280.0-6.8
31 Czech Republic W51420%60.473.6-13.2
32 Austria W4040%54.075.8-21.8
33 Bosnia & Herzegovina W5050%57.082.4-25.4
34 Ireland W4040%54.890.5-35.8
35 North Macedonia W5050%52.889.4-36.6
36 Azerbaijan W4040%47.0112.0-65.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 36 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denmark W2115171972
Sweden W2622232798
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