PythiaBasketballBETA
W League Women
Denso Iris W host Aisin Wings W in the W League Women on 15 November 2026, and the Pythia model names the Iris as the clear favourite, giving them a 91% chance to win largely because their season record of 3-2 beats the Wings' 0-5 record, and their points per game of 62.2 outperforms the Wings' 67.8 while their allowed per game of 60.4 is far lower than the Wings' 85.8; the Iris have also won all five of their games at home, scoring 67.0 and allowing only 51.0, and they just beat the Wings 67-51 on 14 November, while the Wings have lost their last five, including a 51-67 loss to the Iris on 14 November, a 78-98 loss to Toyota Antelopes at home on 8 November, and a 71-96 loss at home on 7 November. In their ten meetings the Iris have won seven times, most recently defeating the Wings 67-51 on 14 November. Pythia projects a 76-61 score with a total of 136.7 points, giving the Iris a 91% probability to win and the Wings a 9% probability, and the Iris are 2% likely to win in overtime. The game will be a decisive showcase of the Iris' superior season performance.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 62.2 | 60.4 | 122.6 | +1.8 | 60% |
| Season at home (1) | 67.0 | 51.0 | 118.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 61.0 | 62.8 | 123.8 | -1.8 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 62.5 | 59.3 | 121.8 | +3.2 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 62.2 | 60.4 | 122.6 | +1.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 62.0 | 72.0 | 134.0 | -10.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (13) | 60.2 | 58.9 | 119.2 | +1.3 | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 67.4 | 59.3 | 126.7 | +8.1 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (5) | 67.8 | 85.8 | 153.6 | -18.0 | 0% |
| Season at home (2) | 74.5 | 97.0 | 171.5 | -22.5 | 0% |
| Season away (3) | 63.3 | 78.3 | 141.7 | -15.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 64.7 | 75.1 | 139.8 | -10.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.8 | 85.8 | 153.6 | -18.0 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (28) | 60.4 | 71.7 | 132.0 | -11.3 | 29% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 68.5 | 58.0 | 126.5 | +10.5 | 100% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.4 | 30.3 | 63.7 | +3.1 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 34.3 | 30.1 | 64.4 | +4.2 | 71% | - |
| Last 30 away (13) | 32.2 | 30.6 | 62.8 | +1.5 | 54% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.8 | 30.4 | 63.2 | +2.4 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 30.6 | 31.0 | 61.6 | -0.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 30.5 | 34.5 | 65.0 | -4.0 | 50% | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 30.2 | 29.9 | 60.1 | +0.2 | 54% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (15) | 36.5 | 30.1 | 66.6 | +6.5 | 73% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 31.1 | 36.7 | 67.8 | -5.5 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 31.6 | 39.3 | 70.9 | -7.8 | 12% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 30.6 | 33.6 | 64.3 | -3.0 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 36.9 | 69.4 | -4.4 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.2 | 44.4 | 76.6 | -12.2 | 0% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (28) | 30.9 | 36.9 | 67.8 | -6.0 | 18% | - |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker (2) | 34.5 | 33.5 | 68.0 | +1.0 | 50% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | Denso Iris W v Aisin Wings W | 67-51 |
| 01/02/26 | Aisin Wings W v Denso Iris W | 55-52 |
| 31/01/26 | Aisin Wings W v Denso Iris W | 48-67 |
| 23/11/25 | Denso Iris W v Aisin Wings W | 53-57 |
| 22/11/25 | Denso Iris W v Aisin Wings W | 79-54 |
| 19/01/25 | Denso Iris W v Aisin Wings W | 55-63 |
| 18/01/25 | Denso Iris W v Aisin Wings W | 77-51 |
| 27/10/24 | Aisin Wings W v Denso Iris W | 57-88 |
| 26/10/24 | Aisin Wings W v Denso Iris W | 71-82 |
| 03/12/23 | Aisin Wings W v Denso Iris W | 51-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Aisin Wings W | 67-51 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Sunshine Rabbits W | 68-56 |
| 07/11/26 | A | Sunshine Rabbits W | 52-51 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Fujitsu W | 60-65 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Fujitsu W | 64-79 |
| 12/04/26 | H | Toyota Antelopes W | 70-51 |
| 11/04/26 | H | Toyota Antelopes W | 69-59 |
| 05/04/26 | H | Toyota Antelopes W | 41-57 |
| 04/04/26 | H | Toyota Antelopes W | 75-66 |
| 30/03/26 | H | Fujitsu W | 59-58 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | A | Denso Iris W | 51-67 |
| 08/11/26 | H | Toyota Antelopes W | 78-98 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Toyota Antelopes W | 71-96 |
| 01/11/26 | A | Hitachi Cougars W | 60-73 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Hitachi Cougars W | 79-95 |
| 22/03/26 | H | Yamanashi Queenbees W | 76-62 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Yamanashi Queenbees W | 65-55 |
| 20/03/26 | H | Yamanashi Queenbees W | 50-76 |
| 08/02/26 | A | Sunshine Rabbits W | 71-61 |
| 07/02/26 | A | Sunshine Rabbits W | 46-68 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWW | 60% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | LLWW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 1 | 4 |
| Win % | 60% | 100% | 50% |
| Points / game | 62.2 | 67.0 | 61.0 |
| Allowed / game | 60.4 | 51.0 | 62.8 |
| Point differential | +1.8 | +16.0 | -1.8 |
| Avg total | 122.6 | 118.0 | 123.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 40% | 100% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLLL | 0% |
| Home | LL | 0% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 67.8 | 74.5 | 63.3 |
| Allowed / game | 85.8 | 97.0 | 78.3 |
| Point differential | -18.0 | -22.5 | -15.0 |
| Avg total | 153.6 | 171.5 | 141.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Fujitsu W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 76.2 | 64.2 | +12.0 |
| 2 |  Toyota Antelopes W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 76.8 | 64.8 | +12.0 |
| 3 |  Chanson V-Magic W | 5 | 4 | 1 | 80% | 68.6 | 62.8 | +5.8 |
| 4 |  Hitachi Cougars W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 74.0 | 68.4 | +5.6 |
| 5 | Denso Iris W | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 62.2 | 60.4 | +1.8 |
| 6 |  Sunshine Rabbits W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 57.0 | 63.4 | -6.4 |
| 7 |  Eneos Sunflowers W | 5 | 1 | 4 | 20% | 58.8 | 71.6 | -12.8 |
| 8 | Aisin Wings W | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0% | 67.8 | 85.8 | -18.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denso Iris W | 20 | 25 | 20 | 28 | 93 |
| Aisin Wings W | 10 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 70 |
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