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Denver vs Idaho State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 95-82 (OT)
40-46 37-31 18-5
Position#205
Record9-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game77.6
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
Idaho State
USA
Position#279
Record4-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.1
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Idaho State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado Christian
#505
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H23/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
W
67-65
67
65
+2
A30/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#464
W
90-66
90
66
+24
H02/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
L
80-90
80
90
-10
A07/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A14/12
NCAA
Adams State
#458
W
89-83
89
83
+6
H19/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
90-57
90
57
+33
H21/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
W
95-80
95
80
+15
A30/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
L
86-89 OT
86
89
-3
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-31
57-37
42-33
29-28
32-34
35-31
46-30
44-36
39-35
41-55
25-45
49-45
46-32
43-51
48-26
42-31
40-43
55-37
32-39
40-33
159.1Avg total
84.2Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)84.477.6162.0+6.860%
Season at home (6)92.073.2165.2+18.883%
Season away (9)79.380.6159.9-1.244%
Last 10 (10)84.274.9159.1+9.370%
Last 5 (5)86.879.8166.6+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.889.0160.8-17.20%
vs Similar ◀ (19)74.475.6149.9-1.242%
vs Weaker (5)87.668.6156.2+19.0100%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwest
#598
W
85-51
85
51
+34
H17/11
NCAA
Citadel
#311
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A20/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
69-55
69
55
+14
A22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
L
62-77
62
77
-15
A29/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
76-70
76
70
+6
H03/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
67-79
67
79
-12
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A10/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
57-76
57
76
-19
A22/12
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
66-74
66
74
-8
H29/12
NCAA
Montana
#65
L
68-76
68
76
-8
H30/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-19
40-32
23-13
38-49
41-25
28-30
26-37
36-40
33-31
43-39
35-42
32-37
26-33
48-49
25-36
32-40
27-33
39-41
35-35
33-41
138.7Avg total
68.5Scored
70.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)68.167.5135.6+0.531%
Season at home (5)77.461.4138.8+16.060%
Season away (8)62.271.4133.6-9.112%
Last 10 (10)68.570.2138.7-1.730%
Last 5 (5)66.477.4143.8-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.171.3133.4-9.114%
vs Similar ◀ (18)68.472.2140.7-3.833%
vs Weaker (4)71.269.0140.2+2.250%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.9-2.9
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.5+4.51st half: +1.2+1.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -2.9-2.9
DenverIdaho State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado Christian
#505
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H23/11
NCAA
TX A&M Commerce
#290
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A26/11
NCAA
Idaho
#313
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A30/11
NCAA
Colorado College
#464
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H02/12
NCAA
Colorado State
#52
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A07/12
NCAA
Brigham Young
#61
L
25-45
25
45
-20
A14/12
NCAA
Adams State
#458
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H19/12
NCAA
Northern New Mexico
#466
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H21/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#247
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A30/12
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#294
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H31/12
NCAA
74.1Avg total
39.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.133.569.6+2.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.829.368.1+9.571%-
Last 30 away (16)33.837.170.9-3.338%-
Last 10 (10)39.334.874.1+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)38.237.075.2+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.438.673.0-4.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)34.033.767.7+0.342%-
vs Weaker (5)44.627.872.4+16.8100%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northwest
#598
W
45-19
45
19
+26
H17/11
NCAA
Citadel
#311
W
23-13
23
13
+10
A20/11
NCAA
Campbell
#262
W
41-25
41
25
+16
A22/11
NCAA
Pepperdine
#287
L
26-37
26
37
-11
A29/11
NCAA
Lindenwood
#333
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H03/12
NCAA
Fresno State
#304
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A06/12
NCAA
Southern Utah
#320
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A10/12
NCAA
Oregon State
#284
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A22/12
NCAA
Montana State
#213
L
27-33
27
33
-6
H29/12
NCAA
Montana
#65
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H30/12
NCAA
62.0Avg total
31.6Scored
30.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.732.064.8+0.740%-
Last 30 at home (12)35.629.164.7+6.550%-
Last 30 away (18)30.834.064.8-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)31.630.462.0+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)29.635.865.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.134.065.1-2.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)31.932.264.1-0.239%-
vs Weaker (4)34.532.066.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Denver wins
0
Idaho State wins
DateGameScore
19/11/22Idaho State v Denver69-70
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23HOral Roberts86-89 OT
30/12/23ANebraska O.95-80
21/12/23HNorthern New Mexico90-57
19/12/23HAdams State89-83
14/12/23ABrigham Young74-90
07/12/23AColorado State80-90
02/12/23HColorado College90-66
30/11/23AIdaho67-65
26/11/23ATX A&M Commerce71-61
23/11/23HColorado Christian100-68
Idaho Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HMontana68-76
29/12/23HMontana State66-74
22/12/23AOregon State57-76
10/12/23ASouthern Utah74-82
06/12/23AFresno State67-79
03/12/23HLindenwood76-70
29/11/23APepperdine62-77
22/11/23ACampbell69-55
20/11/23ACitadel61-62
17/11/23HNorthwest85-51

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL60%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %60%83%44%
Points / game84.492.079.3
Allowed / game77.673.280.6
Point differential+6.8+18.8-1.2
Avg total162.0165.2159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%67%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%17%0%
Idaho State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL31%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %31%60%12%
Points / game68.177.462.2
Allowed / game67.561.471.4
Point differential+0.5+16.0-9.1
Avg total135.6138.8133.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1611569%72.861.2+11.6
2 Denver159660%84.477.6+6.8
3 Nebraska O.168850%72.969.1+3.9
4 South Dakota Coyotes168850%77.175.5+1.6
5 North Dakota168850%73.271.9+1.3
6 North Dakota St157847%76.772.3+4.3
7 South Dakota St.157847%74.971.1+3.9
8 Oral Roberts136746%74.573.8+0.7
9 UMKC1661038%70.069.6+0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Weber State1410471%76.460.7+15.7
2 Portland State1410471%72.969.0+3.9
3 Montana149564%76.672.0+4.6
4 Northern Colorado137654%79.677.8+1.8
5 East. Washington147750%78.272.5+5.7
6 Idaho157847%71.469.5+1.9
7 Montana State136746%73.273.0+0.2
8 Northern Arizona146843%66.176.9-10.9
9 Idaho State134931%68.167.5+0.5
10 Sacramento State1441029%71.673.1-1.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Denver40371895
Idaho State4631582
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