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TX A&M Commerce vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 61-71
33-42 28-29
Position#290
Record3-4
FormLLWWW
Points / game69.1
Allowed / game74.4
vs
Denver 🏆
USA
Position#205
Record3-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game80.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

TX A&M Commerce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

TX A&M CommerceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#284
L
75-79
75
79
-4
A25/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
H02/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
L
78-79
78
79
-1
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
46-78
46
78
-32
A07/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
46-73
46
73
-27
A09/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
61-81
61
81
-20
A11/11
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
64-86
64
86
-22
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
113-63
113
63
+50
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
W
97-86
97
86
+11
H21/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-40
48-39
37-39
41-39
35-35
43-44
27-42
19-36
17-41
29-32
30-38
31-43
30-46
34-40
60-30
53-33
35-28
22-26
44-45
53-41
149.7Avg total
72.5Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)69.174.4143.6-5.343%
Season at home (2)105.074.5179.5+30.5100%
Season away (5)54.874.4129.2-19.620%
Last 10 (10)72.577.2149.7-4.730%
Last 5 (5)78.474.0152.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)66.579.1145.6-12.621%
vs Similar ◀ (6)73.775.7149.3-2.033%
vs Weaker (10)76.669.3145.9+7.370%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#154
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H17/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
86-68
86
68
+18
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
72-61
72
61
+11
H25/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H04/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A07/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
97-76
97
76
+21
H10/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
W
91-85
91
85
+6
A16/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
74-77
74
77
-3
A16/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
75-82
75
82
-7
A17/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#505
W
100-68
100
68
+32
H23/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-29
37-51
40-12
46-56
32-18
40-43
27-31
41-52
41-40
46-55
51-33
46-43
37-43
54-42
37-43
37-34
30-33
45-49
43-31
57-37
160.0Avg total
82.5Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)87.380.5167.8+6.850%
Season at home (2)98.572.0170.5+26.5100%
Season away (4)81.884.8166.5-3.025%
Last 10 (10)82.577.5160.0+5.050%
Last 5 (5)87.477.6165.0+9.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)67.085.5152.5-18.50%
vs Similar ◀ (19)73.775.9149.6-2.337%
vs Weaker (4)80.073.5153.5+6.575%
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -4.2-4.21st half: +6.3+6.32nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: -1.3-1.3
TX A&M CommerceDenver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
TX A&M CommerceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Incarnate Word
#284
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A25/02
NCAA
Texas A&M-CC
#64
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H02/03
NCAA
McNeese State
#318
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H05/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#139
L
27-42
27
42
-15
A07/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#64
L
17-41
17
41
-24
A09/11
NCAA
Kentucky
#50
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A11/11
NCAA
IPFW
#89
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A12/11
NCAA
University of Sciences
#643
W
60-30
60
30
+30
H16/11
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#113
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A18/11
NCAA
Stonehill
#363
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H21/11
NCAA
72.6Avg total
34.2Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.336.970.2-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.536.575.0+2.033%-
Last 30 away (18)29.837.267.1-7.422%-
Last 10 (10)34.238.472.6-4.220%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.477.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)32.138.971.0-6.921%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)30.834.865.7-4.033%-
vs Weaker (10)36.535.471.9+1.130%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Dakota St.
#154
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H17/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#285
W
40-12
40
12
+28
H18/02
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#343
W
32-18
32
18
+14
H25/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#276
L
27-31
27
31
-4
H04/03
NCAA
UC San Diego
#79
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A07/11
NCAA
Cal Poly
#364
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H10/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#138
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#192
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/11
NCAA
South Alabama
#212
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A17/11
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#505
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H23/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
37.6Scored
31.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.533.266.7+0.340%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.429.464.7+6.057%-
Last 30 away (16)31.936.668.5-4.625%-
Last 10 (10)37.631.368.9+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.636.676.2+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)32.238.871.0-6.717%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)32.231.964.1+0.342%-
vs Weaker (4)39.531.571.0+8.050%-
This opponent (TX A&M Commerce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
TX A&M Commerce wins
1
Denver wins
DateGameScore
04/12/22Denver v TX A&M Commerce84-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/23HStonehill97-86
18/11/23ASaint Josephs Hawks57-54
16/11/23HUniversity of Sciences113-63
12/11/23AIPFW64-86
11/11/23AKentucky61-81
09/11/23ATexas Tech46-73
07/11/23ATexas A&M46-78
05/03/23HMcNeese State78-79
02/03/23HTexas A&M-CC88-93 OT
25/02/23AIncarnate Word75-79
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/23HColorado Christian100-68
17/11/23ASouth Alabama75-82
16/11/23ASiu Edwardsville74-77
16/11/23ANicholls State91-85
10/11/23HCal Poly97-76
07/11/23AUC San Diego87-95
04/03/23HNorth Dakota68-83
25/02/23HNebraska O.72-61
18/02/23HSouth Dakota Coyotes86-68
17/02/23HSouth Dakota St.75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

TX A&M Commerce
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW43%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %43%100%20%
Points / game69.1105.054.8
Allowed / game74.474.574.4
Point differential-5.3+30.5-19.6
Avg total143.6179.5129.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%100%25%
Points / game87.398.581.8
Allowed / game80.572.084.8
Point differential+6.8+26.5-3.0
Avg total167.8170.5166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southland conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 McNeese State75271%79.758.6+21.1
2 Stephen F. Austin64267%80.271.3+8.8
3 Lamar74357%83.776.0+7.7
4 Incarnate Word63350%79.778.8+0.8
5 Nicholls State73443%76.376.4-0.1
6 TX A&M Commerce73443%69.174.4-5.3
7 New Orleans52340%82.675.8+6.8
8 Texas A&M-CC62433%78.369.5+8.8
9 UTRGV72529%73.980.1-6.3
10 Northwestern St.61517%76.079.0-3.0
11 SE Louisiana61517%69.381.0-11.7
12 Houston Christian4040%72.293.5-21.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota65183%77.075.2+1.8
2 South Dakota Coyotes74357%81.169.1+12.0
3 North Dakota St74357%76.675.1+1.4
4 Denver63350%87.380.5+6.8
5 St. Thomas (Minn.)73443%67.062.7+4.3
6 Nebraska O.73443%71.468.9+2.6
7 Oral Roberts52340%69.073.0-4.0
8 South Dakota St.62433%73.772.8+0.8
9 UMKC72529%71.772.1-0.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
TX A&M Commerce332861
Denver422971
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