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Denver vs South Dakota St. Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 79-61
36-25 43-36
Position#239
Record12-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game83.5
Denver 🏆
USA
vs
South Dakota St.
USA
Position#254
Record11-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game72.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Denver v South Dakota St.
12 Feb 2026
DENV79
SOUT61
01 Mar 2025
DENV78
SOUT62
13 Jan 2024
DENV99
SOUT80
16 Feb 2023
DENV75
SOUT80
10 Feb 2022
DENV61
SOUT84
08 Jan 2020
DENV68
SOUT80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Dakota St. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
88-92
88
92
-4
A04/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
L
79-87
79
87
-8
A09/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A10/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
98-87
98
87
+11
H15/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
77-82
77
82
-5
H23/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
86-93
86
93
-7
H24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
82-84
82
84
-2
H31/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
78-71
78
71
+7
A06/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
98-79
98
79
+19
A07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
37-43
51-49
35-33
44-54
37-37
35-45
56-45
42-42
37-45
40-37
46-45
40-48
32-32
37-29
35-27
47-57
40-34
38-37
43-27
55-52
164.5Avg total
82.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.783.5167.2+0.246%
Season at home (11)91.782.8174.5+8.955%
Season away (15)77.884.0161.8-6.240%
Last 10 (10)82.781.8164.5+0.940%
Last 5 (5)82.677.6160.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)74.881.7156.5-6.838%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.685.6167.2-4.030%
vs Weaker (5)85.673.0158.6+12.680%
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H01/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H09/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
65-76
65
76
-11
A15/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
90-62
90
62
+28
H17/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
69-74
69
74
-5
A23/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A29/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
95-72
95
72
+23
H31/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H05/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
67-68
67
68
-1
H07/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-36
48-33
45-50
34-29
33-35
54-44
23-35
42-41
36-32
54-30
32-33
37-41
34-32
37-48
58-39
37-33
28-31
34-46
32-43
35-25
152.4Avg total
77.7Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.972.5148.4+3.444%
Season at home (13)80.869.3150.2+11.562%
Season away (12)70.675.9146.5-5.325%
Last 10 (10)77.774.7152.4+3.040%
Last 5 (5)72.874.2147.0-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.375.7137.0-14.40%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.276.5152.7-0.340%
vs Weaker (11)78.671.2149.8+7.564%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +4.2+4.2
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: +3.0+3.01st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -2.1-2.12nd half: +4.2+4.2
DenverSouth Dakota St.
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/01
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#254
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A09/01
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A10/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
56-45
56
45
+11
H15/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H23/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H24/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A29/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H31/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/02
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
W
43-27
43
27
+16
A07/02
NCAA
76.6Avg total
39.8Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.637.675.2+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.836.778.5+5.177%-
Last 30 away (17)34.538.272.7-3.824%-
Last 10 (10)39.836.876.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.233.072.2+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.040.175.1-5.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.636.673.2+0.060%-
vs Weaker (5)40.634.274.8+6.460%-
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Dakota St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nebraska O.
#219
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H01/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A03/01
NCAA
Denver
#239
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H09/01
NCAA
North Dakota St
#30
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A15/01
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H17/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A23/01
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A29/01
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#338
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H31/01
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H05/02
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H07/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
35.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.734.870.5+0.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.733.471.1+4.256%-
Last 30 away (14)33.436.469.7-3.029%-
Last 10 (10)35.736.672.3-0.930%-
Last 5 (5)36.835.672.4+1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)27.033.760.7-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.738.273.9-2.540%-
vs Weaker (11)39.634.073.6+5.664%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Denver wins
8
South Dakota St. wins
DateGameScore
09/01/26South Dakota St. v Denver87-79
01/03/25Denver v South Dakota St.78-62
03/01/25South Dakota St. v Denver91-70
13/03/24South Dakota St. v Denver76-68
23/02/24South Dakota St. v Denver97-70
13/01/24Denver v South Dakota St.99-80
17/02/23Denver v South Dakota St.75-80
21/01/23South Dakota St. v Denver76-61
11/02/22Denver v South Dakota St.61-84
15/01/22South Dakota St. v Denver80-62
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26ANorth Dakota98-79
06/02/26ANorth Dakota St78-71
31/01/26HNebraska O.82-84
29/01/26AUMKC69-61
24/01/26HNorth Dakota86-93
23/01/26HNorth Dakota St77-82
15/01/26HOral Roberts98-87
10/01/26ASouth Dakota Coyotes72-82
09/01/26ASouth Dakota St.79-87
04/01/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)88-92
South Dakota St.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HSouth Dakota Coyotes67-68
05/02/26HSt. Thomas (Minn.)62-77
31/01/26HOral Roberts95-72
29/01/26ANebraska O.71-80
23/01/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)69-74
17/01/26HUMKC90-62
15/01/26ANorth Dakota St65-76
09/01/26HDenver87-79
03/01/26ANorth Dakota87-90 OT
01/01/26HNebraska O.84-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWWLLL55%
AwayLLWWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %46%55%40%
Points / game83.791.777.8
Allowed / game83.582.884.0
Point differential+0.2+8.9-6.2
Avg total167.2174.5161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%45%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Dakota St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL44%
HomeWWWLL62%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %44%62%25%
Points / game75.980.870.6
Allowed / game72.569.375.9
Point differential+3.4+11.5-5.3
Avg total148.4150.2146.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%46%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 North Dakota St2620677%81.371.2+10.2
2 St. Thomas (Minn.)2720774%83.273.0+10.2
3 North Dakota28151354%77.577.2+0.3
4 South Dakota Coyotes27141352%81.181.1-0.1
5 Nebraska O.27131448%77.577.1+0.4
6 Denver26121446%83.783.5+0.2
7 South Dakota St.25111444%75.972.5+3.4
8 Oral Roberts2662023%71.878.5-6.7
9 UMKC2542116%70.682.6-12.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Denver364379
South Dakota St.253661
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