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South Dakota St. vs Denver Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 87-79
33-35 54-44
Position#254
Record8-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
Position#239
Record8-9
FormWWLWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game85.0
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Dakota St. v Denver
08 Jan 2026
SOUT87
DENV79
02 Jan 2025
SOUT91
DENV70
12 Mar 2024
SOUT76
DENV68
22 Feb 2024
SOUT97
DENV70
21 Jan 2023
SOUT76
DENV61
15 Jan 2022
SOUT80
DENV62
14 Feb 2020
SOUT90
DENV78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Dakota St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South Dakota St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
L
52-64
52
64
-12
A27/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
75-62
75
62
+13
A04/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H06/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
W
68-64
68
64
+4
A10/12
NCAA
Dakota Wesleyan
#480
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H13/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H16/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
87-88
87
88
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
71-99
71
99
-28
A30/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H01/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
22-29
30-35
36-26
39-36
44-41
37-43
39-40
29-24
42-30
52-32
29-40
43-47
38-39
49-49
35-51
36-48
36-36
48-33
45-50
34-29
154.0Avg total
77.1Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)76.072.0148.0+4.047%
Season at home (8)81.267.9149.1+13.462%
Season away (9)71.375.7147.0-4.333%
Last 10 (10)77.176.9154.0+0.240%
Last 5 (5)80.286.6166.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)58.275.8134.0-17.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.575.9155.4+3.564%
vs Weaker (13)78.773.9152.6+4.862%
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
93-89
93
89
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
79-93
79
93
-14
A06/12
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
95-59
95
59
+36
H10/12
NCAA
Alaska-Anchorage
#514
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H12/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
86-105
86
105
-19
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#516
W
129-93
129
93
+36
H17/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
W
86-79
86
79
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A22/12
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
87-74
87
74
+13
H31/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
88-92
88
92
-4
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
48-43
45-46
37-43
42-50
46-29
49-30
45-31
52-30
28-51
58-54
60-38
69-55
40-40
46-39
38-42
47-48
41-28
46-46
37-43
51-49
176.0Avg total
92.5Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)84.585.0169.5-0.547%
Season at home (7)95.180.7175.9+14.471%
Season away (10)77.188.0165.1-10.930%
Last 10 (10)92.583.5176.0+9.060%
Last 5 (5)95.085.6180.6+9.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)73.381.3154.6-8.028%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.780.4157.1-3.757%
vs Weaker (3)87.072.3159.3+14.767%
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: +3.2+3.22nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
South Dakota St.Denver
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South Dakota St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#60
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A27/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#335
W
36-26
36
26
+10
A04/12
NCAA
Idaho
#136
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H06/12
NCAA
Ball State
#288
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A10/12
NCAA
Dakota Wesleyan
#480
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H13/12
NCAA
Wyoming
#148
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H16/12
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#294
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A19/12
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A30/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H01/01
NCAA
North Dakota
#196
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A03/01
NCAA
74.8Avg total
36.6Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.235.973.1+1.347%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.733.973.6+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)34.737.972.7-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.274.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)36.643.279.8-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)26.534.260.8-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)37.738.876.5-1.145%-
vs Weaker (13)39.035.574.5+3.554%-
This opponent (Denver) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DenverLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East. Washington
#261
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H04/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Colorado Christian
#515
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H10/12
NCAA
Alaska-Anchorage
#514
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H12/12
NCAA
CS Fullerton
#187
L
28-51
28
51
-23
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado Springs
#516
W
60-38
60
38
+22
H17/12
NCAA
Northern Colorado
#97
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A22/12
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H31/12
NCAA
St. Thomas (Minn.)
#42
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A04/01
NCAA
80.8Avg total
42.0Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.737.072.7-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.235.274.4+3.969%-
Last 30 away (17)33.038.471.4-5.418%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.880.8+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.281.4+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)33.738.772.4-5.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.935.970.7-1.057%-
vs Weaker (3)38.331.369.7+7.067%-
This opponent (South Dakota St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
South Dakota St. wins
2
Denver wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ANorth Dakota87-90 OT
01/01/26HNebraska O.84-69
30/12/25AArizona71-99
19/12/25AWisc. Milwaukee87-88
16/12/25HWyoming72-87
13/12/25HDakota Wesleyan94-62
10/12/25ABall State68-64
06/12/25HIdaho81-84
04/12/25ANorthern Arizona75-62
27/11/25AUC Irvine52-64
Denverlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26ASt. Thomas (Minn.)88-92
31/12/25HUMKC87-74
22/12/25ATulsa85-90
20/12/25ANorthern Colorado86-79
17/12/25HColorado Springs129-93
13/12/25HCS Fullerton86-105
12/12/25HAlaska-Anchorage97-61
10/12/25HColorado Christian95-59
06/12/25AIdaho State79-93
04/12/25HEast. Washington93-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Dakota St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL47%
HomeLLWLW62%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %47%62%33%
Points / game76.081.271.3
Allowed / game72.067.975.7
Point differential+4.0+13.4-4.3
Avg total148.0149.1147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Denver
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL47%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLWLL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17710
Win %47%71%30%
Points / game84.595.177.1
Allowed / game85.080.788.0
Point differential-0.5+14.4-10.9
Avg total169.5175.9165.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%57%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Summit League conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 St. Thomas (Minn.)1713476%82.572.1+10.4
2 North Dakota St1712571%80.970.1+10.9
3 South Dakota St.178947%76.072.0+4.0
4 Denver178947%84.585.0-0.5
5 South Dakota Coyotes178947%82.483.2-0.8
6 North Dakota1881044%75.375.1+0.2
7 Nebraska O.1771041%76.177.6-1.5
8 Oral Roberts1751229%73.176.4-3.3
9 UMKC1641225%71.881.4-9.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
South Dakota St.335487
Denver354479
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